Future chat group

If you say that finance is a dirty industry, outsiders may have objections, but if you give it a dark rating, it will be recognized by everyone.

In China, Lei Hao left other things to others, including Qiu Yuting, Su Yiwen, Luo Ziyang, Yu Rong and others, all of whom had deeper connections with some interest communities through various ways. He only needed to make money. enough.

But outside, Lei Hao can't find anyone he can completely trust for the time being. However, the dark side of the United States is even worse than that of China, and he also wants to stretch his hand even longer.

The huge amount of unprotected money in the financial circle is a big piece of fat. Lei Hao has this realization. Any funny accusations made by Americans will crush Forest to death.

Developing more influential customers in various fields is the only way for financial institutions, and Lambert seems to be a good starting point.

"Yingfeng, take out my betting slip." Lei Hao first ordered Li Yingfeng. After taking it, he showed it to Lambert, and then said to Lambert in his unfamiliar English: "I'm optimistic about it." Windy City won, of course, but I was shaken at halftime. Unfortunately, I have my own way of dealing with the bet with Mr. Keith, whether I win or lose."

"Cool." Lambert said with a smile: "This explanation is acceptable and consistent with my analysis."

"Haha." Lei Hao sat there and looked at Lambert with a smile.

The other party said it simply, but he certainly didn't believe it completely. Lei Hao actually didn't care. He was not afraid of cooperating with smart people, but he was afraid that a few fools would hold him back.

Mutual speculation, coupled with a small amount of mutual trust, after testing, Lei Hao can feel Lambert's American sincerity: everything is laid out, what strength is on display for everyone to see, contact, test, and cooperate .

"Lei, you didn't...lose on purpose?" After getting into the car returning, Fox asked in his slightly broken Chinese, with an expression of disbelief on his face.

"I said, there is a plan for winning or losing." Lei Hao was a little tired. After explaining a few words, he stopped talking and just told Fox to make preliminary preparations.

Fox was dubious, but Li Yingfeng, who was sitting next to Lei Hao, had his heart beating rapidly. He had 100% confidence in Lei Hao. He was almost certain of one thing: Lei Hao knew he was going to lose.

Back at the hotel, Lei Hao began to lock himself in the room again. Li Yingfeng was looking for real estate information outside, but his eyes were cast on Lei Hao's door from time to time.

Opening the notebook that recorded information about the future, Lei Hao was writing on it, his eyes also resting on the above message: "The U.S. federal funds rate has risen..."

In addition, some other things are also recorded in the notebook. Finance is like this. One move affects the whole body. The stock market, futures, foreign exchange and other markets affect each other. But now, what Lei Hao needs to grasp is the ability to obtain In order to find the most profitable areas, we may need to reserve some funds and expand some information channels.

For something like a forward interest rate agreement, if it is placed on Forest and Oasis, insurance companies will definitely be involved at that time, and both parties may be required to provide credit collateral. Whether it is funds or other things, the smaller the risk the insurance company needs to bear. , the charges will be less.

Furthermore, the more forward interest rate agreements signed between financial institutions, it will actually affect the interbank lending rate.

For example, a bank needs 10 billion in funds to lend out. They cannot do it in an instant. What should they do if they want to lock in interest rate income? It is a good choice to make some forward interest rate agreements.

Suppose I lend out my 10 billion at an interest rate of 1%. I am sure that I can release the funds before the confirmation date.

When the interest rate is too low, I will not lend. Anyway, if it is lower than 1%, someone will supplement the interest rate difference to me;

When the interest rate is high, I will lend money. Anyway, before the interest rate determination date, I lend it out at an interest rate higher than 1%. I can earn more interest. If I lend more, I may be able to increase the interest rate before the interest rate determination date comes. If it falls below 1%, I might make another fortune at that time.

Even if the interest rate exceeds 1% when the interest rate determination day comes, I have achieved the goal of controlling risks. I have released 10 billion before, I have locked in 1% interest income, and I have achieved my goal.

There are also all kinds of strange calculation methods, the most outrageous is the manipulation of interbank lending rates. Large institutions such as UBS and Keda are investigated by the monitoring department almost every year, and they also need to pay a lot of fines every year. But I still enjoy it, why? The profit is enough.

Lei Hao is not qualified to participate in setting interbank lending rates now, but when he knows the market outlook, he can actually guess a lot of things and is ready to kick Oasis Securities out of the quagmire.

But many people don’t think so. Oasis Securities and Forest’s investment team also think so.

Monday, April 24, is another working day on Wall Street. As usual, various companies still have to hold small meetings. In addition to finalizing last week's decisions, some changes must also be finalized today.

Regarding Lei Hao's bullish attitude towards interest rates, Yaman and others decided to raise objections.

"Since half a year ago, the U.S. federal interest rate has continued to fall. Taking the 12-month period as an example, it fell from 0.8136% to 0.7529%. Lei, the market is not short of money, the economy is weak, and we are even heading towards the era of zero interest rates." Xiao Xiaoxiao. In the conference room, Arman said firmly after hesitating.

When it comes to the stock market, futures and other fields, Arman may not refute Lei Hao's decision, but he comes from a big bank, and he has too much say in things like interest rates.

The economy is weak and companies don't want to borrow money, so it is natural for banking institutions to lower interest rates. When interest rates are low to a corresponding point, companies using money will find it profitable, send out loan demands, and push up interest rates.

This is the same as the stock market. When more people buy, interest rates rise. Without corporate loans and only banks clamoring for loans, it is strange that interest rates do not fall.

And the more supply exceeds demand, the more the target will fall. This is an iron rule throughout the world.

"The contract purchase intention we sent out has not received a good response. Don't you think this is very strange?" Lei Hao spread his hands and asked: "I thought the American financial market was very developed."

Purchasing a forward interest rate agreement means that you have money to collect when the reference interest rate is higher than the agreement interest rate, which is bullish.

Forest has invested nearly 100 million US dollars in protocol currency so far, yes, that’s all.

This is not normal at all. The restrictions on such agreements in the United States are not as strict as those in China. In China, the Thunder have not even obtained access qualifications and only rely on sporadic off-site legal agreements to make a living in this field.

"When banks are not sure that they can release enough funds before the interest rate determination date, they will not take risks. Ray, I have worked at Deutsche Bank and UBS, and I know these things." Yaman tried hard explained.

"I think we've reached a critical point." Lei Hao said concisely. He didn't mind Arman's objection, because the financial world is a big casino, and no one can be sure that his next step is correct.

"I don't think so! To be precise, I don't think this is possible in the short term." Arman's face turned dark and he said: "From having intention to setting up the trading day, settlement day, and confirmation day... Quite close, it’s too dangerous.”

"So, Oasis Securities thinks the same way?" Lei Hao made a joke. From Arman, he saw the necessity of his calculations. He waved his hand and said: "Within a few days, I have more than one Billions of dollars have entered here, and this matter has been determined. What we need to discuss is...how to get the opponent to sign a contract with a larger agreed amount."

The conference room was quiet, and everyone was helpless to implement the "dictator" plan. When the intention was sent to Oasis Securities, the opponent was naturally shocked.

What does it mean to write "as soon as possible" on the trading day? What is the point of writing the 1st on the date? Are the settlement date and confirmation date as close as possible to cause trouble?

Forget it, just write down as much as possible on the agreement amount, you will go to heaven! However, Lei Hao brought up the lost one million US dollars to speak out. If he didn't sign it... it seemed like he would be a bit of a loser.