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Chapter 673 Funds
The stock market is a very strange thing, it has inertia, and major institutions have analyzed this topic.
When the index is trending up, the funds required to reverse the market trend are far less than following the trend. To explain it in layman's terms, it is called: the role of wallflowers.
Unless the national team takes action, otherwise, the stock market will develop according to the current situation, and it will probably fluctuate and rise.
"I need to talk to my colleagues in the company again." Qin Yu raised his head and shifted his gaze from the document to Lei Hao, with a wry smile on his face: "Qingyu is not as good as Lei Hao, and our management authority over client funds is not Supreme authority.”
"In Hanlong, I can't keep my word." Song Dongyuan also shook his head, "We also need to have a meeting to study."
"Me too."
"We can't make a decision now."
As long as they are working in the circle to make a living, they all say they need time.
On the contrary, outsiders like Liu Xingdong and Luo Gaiting were relatively pure. They did not speak and waited for Lei Hao to send the others away before asking for details.
Lei Hao explained seriously. The knowledge of Liu Xingdong and his group was no longer enough, but they understood the most important point.
"Risk equals profit. If the risk is high, the profit will be high. Of course, the probability of loss is also high. This is normal." Liu Xingdong muttered. Thinking of Lei Hao's record and estimating the possible losses, he gritted his teeth. The expression on his face became serious.
"Tiger, go ahead and do it. I will help you persuade the investors here in Yangcheng." Liu Xingdong made up his mind and said, "Don't worry, no matter whether you succeed or fail this time, we will always believe in you."
"I am willing to work with Mr. Su to persuade investors in Hong Kong Island. Mr. Lei can rest assured that there will be no problem with the operation of Hong Kong stocks." Luo Gaiting's pressure was much reduced.
According to Lei Hao's analysis, A-shares are the first to bear the brunt, and the Hong Kong Island market is only affected by the linkage. As long as the mainland market does not lose, Hong Kong Island will be as stable as Mount Tai. Even in some cases, Hong Kong Island's funds cannot be quickly mobilized and replenished. Come to the mainland.
"Don't worry about Hong Kong stocks. I believe in the courage of our compatriots on Hong Kong Island." Lei Hao nodded.
Think back to the Asian Financial Crisis, when Hong Kong people, with the support of the Mainland, resisted international financial speculators, wiped out their wealth and kept the Hang Seng Index, which gave the whole world a good experience.
In comparison, the mainland financial circle and a group of mainland upstarts are a bit like flowers in a greenhouse. The mainland securities market is more chaotic and the market psychology is more fragile.
After leaving Thunder Investment, Qin Yu, Song Dongyuan and others did not return to Shanghai and Yanjing because they needed to get together in the evening. Instead, they went to the booked hotel to rest. In fact, they were preparing to discuss it with people in the company.
"This is very strange. Shibor is going to rise and liquidity is tight. Logically speaking, this is conducive to the decline of the stock market. However, whether from a fundamental or technical perspective, the stock market tends to rise, and the impact of the interbank lending market will not be big. ..." In the hotel room, Qin Yu was listening to the analysis of the company's research department.
"I'm very confused. Mr. Lei said that the stock market will rise and then fall. Why? There are doubts about the prerequisites. Mr. Song, how do we operate?" Song Dongyuan was also in the hotel listening to the conclusion of the research institute.
"What is he planning?" Qin Yu felt like his head was spinning.
"What does he know?" Song Dongyuan also had a headache.
"No matter, let Lei Lei take the lead. I can agree, but the agreed amount cannot be too high. I won't let go of the number." Qin Yu, Song Dongyuan and a group of people in the circle all made up their minds.
You can agree and let's see how the situation develops first. If things go through as Lei Hao analyzed, then everyone can gain more confidence and then add more money.
At night, Lei Hao got this ambiguous answer.
"Lei, our search for information is deeper and our analysis is more thorough. You are right. The probability of the RMB being shorted has increased." On the screen, Yaman was talking: "As far as I know, The expected increase in Shibor has greatly increased the cost of shorting the RMB, but if..."
It was 11 o'clock in the evening and it was 10 o'clock in the morning in New York. After meeting with a group of investors, Lei Hao still stayed in the company for a video conference with LEI.
"If there is corresponding space, it is not something that cannot be operated. Moreover, from a fundamental analysis, the rise of Shibor is exactly an opportunity. The People's Bank of China is determined to promote financial marketization. In this case, the possibility of strong intervention in the market is invisible. Time has been reduced.”
"The rise in Shibor has led to an increase in costs, but don't forget that on the issue of dollar appreciation, the Federal Reserve will meet again at the end of this month, and there may be variables thrown out by then."
"Based on the information we collected, we can see that when Shibor is almost certain to rise, the U.S. dollar is not converting into RMB. This is abnormal..."
In the financial circle, those who do research and analysis are all data geeks. Arman’s analysis of the market is based on data analysis. Coupled with similar cases in history and the direction drawn by Lei Hao, he can still see the underground market. Hidden undercurrents.
But in many cases, this is how financial markets are, have you seen it? so what? You always have only two choices, follow or hedge.
The risk of following is small and the return is low, while the risk of dueling is high and the return is high. With the funds in Lei Hao's hands, taking into account the values of risk and return, if Yaman is given the option, he will definitely follow the trend.
Standing on the side of the winner is a skill that every practitioner who enters the financial circle should learn. Judging from the current situation, it is relatively safe to short the RMB and obtain some due profits.
"Leo, what's the price for the ATE contract?" Lei Hao nodded to Arman and asked Leo again.
"If we sell it now, it will cost 1.6 billion. Including the official market chips, it will barely be more than 200 million to 300 million. Wait half a year and there should be another 200 million to 300 million." Leo said.
In the video, all LEI executives were breathing heavily. This was US dollars. This was the largest profit Lei Hao had ever harvested in the United States.
However, Ant Energy Group is still able to survive. Although it is exhausted, it is obviously not without the possibility of hanging on.
"Sell to HSBC and Keda." Lei Hao ordered, and then said: "On this condition, I will ask them for more credit lines and trading channels, and I will use them."
"Thunder?" Leo's liver trembled.
"BOSS?" Arman also had a premonition.
"..." Fox, who had been silent, and Taylor, who was temporarily on the sidelines, were silent.
"If you have opponents, you will have profits, right?" Lei Hao said with a smile.
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