Future chat group
Chapter 744 Lei Hao’s Threat
Hong Kong Island, Thunder.
The eyes of Leo and Tao Liyu also changed. In fact, as long as the market is open enough, large financial institutions have the strength to not lose to the country's central bank.
During the Asian financial turmoil, scenes of international speculators crushing central banks across Asia are still engraved in financial history. Even though they were eventually withdrawn by China's central bank, people in the industry knew very well that from that time on, Hong Kong Island was not Finance is booming.
The showdown between profit-seeking funds and state power has been going on, but institutions have to face state power, and there are prerequisites for winning. With the current situation of Nikkei 225, Thunder has little chance of winning.
"It is impossible for Japan to force QE at this time! It is just an attitude at most. How can they introduce practical measures? Is Mizuho crazy?" Leo's eyes were shining with an inexplicable look, and thoughts like a storm were passing rapidly in his mind. .
Tao Liyu also had an expression of disbelief on his face. Is a hedging of tens of billions of dollars considered powerful? Of course it counts, but it is extremely difficult to cause a major event such as a stock market crash.
If there were not too many risks accumulated in daily life, things like stock market crashes, financial tsunamis, and market collapses would rarely occur. Then the question becomes, can state agencies arbitrarily brush their faces?
The stricter the supervision, the lower the market freedom, and the more cautious market participants. This is an iron law in the financial circle.
Just like the RMB exchange rate dispute, China is calling for financial marketization. The central government has trillions of dollars in foreign exchange reserves, but can only provide billions of dollars in "support" to institutions such as Thunder. This is not the reason.
You can control it, but sometimes you can't. What kind of turmoil will lead to what kind of policies? This is a tacit understanding between state agencies and other financial institutions.
After all, no one wants to live in a market where referees blow whistles too frequently.
Therefore, the mainstream opinion in the market still believes that the Bank of Japan will not introduce an actual QE policy. Even if it is introduced, the targeted meaning should not be so high. It is better to hand over the funds to college canteens across the country than to Mizuho. If you play like this, who will follow in the future? you play?
"This card is unreasonable!"
"This method is absolutely unreasonable!"
Leo and Tao Liyu said words with similar meaning at the same time, and then their breathing gradually became thicker.
They are all elites in the financial world, who is worse than who? In just a moment, all the variables went through their minds.
In the end, as long as people with good quality passed the test, they all came to similar conclusions.
"Don't close the position! Wait and see!" Lei Hao may not have as much hard power as Leo and others, but he has future information, and he has many more variables and certainties than others.
When Leo and others came up with an idea, he immediately took over the command and quickly issued instructions.
Yangcheng, Thunder, Lei Hao's office.
Looking at the OK gesture in the hand of his colleague from the technical department, Lei Hao used the communication device to issue successive instructions to Leo.
"Let it rise! 19,500 is okay, 19,600 is okay, the upward channel is opened, but it is definitely not 5%. The funds of the bulls are insufficient! The funds of the bulls are definitely not enough! They can't blow up our positions!"
"Brother Tao, tell HSBC that I want a capital position."
"Tell them to die. I will not agree to their conditions. Within five minutes, I will see funds injected into my account. Within one minute, if they don't agree, I will tell them that we will have no chance to cooperate in the future." !”
"Use up my credit limit. I know it is rising. Just in case, add additional funds to the original account. Whether it is our futures company or the channel of our partners, tell them that borrowing funds can come in, and monetary funds can also !”
"Tell them not to force my position to be liquidated, I want my position!"
Lei Hao felt a little nervous. Things had obviously changed, and it was likely that the change had occurred in a short period of time.
In the original time and space, Japan did not have an actual QE policy, but now it has, which proves that Mizuho has more things on the gambling table, so its risks have also become greater.
In this case, what choice would you make now if you were still willing to use the funds? Lei Hao prefers that the opponent also raises the bet. Even if the opponent does not raise the bet, the original chips are enough to give Mizuho a heavy blow.
So where is Mizuho's winning rate? From Lei Hao's overall perspective, as the largest bull, Mizuho's only chance of victory is to short squeeze! As long as Thunder explodes, Mizuho will win.
At a position of around 19,300, it would have been impossible for the Thunder to liquidate its position, because the Thunder's position contracts were "only" 1.5 million.
Even if the company's total capital is US$14 billion, it is only equivalent to a margin of about 10%.
But Lei Hao knew very well that the distribution of his accounts had been discovered. In order to be able to accept the most contracts, the margin ratio of some of the company's accounts was very low. The lowest one would be liquidated at the index position of 20,300.
The situation is very clear. As long as the bulls attack the 20300 position, part of the Thunder's positions will explode. At that time, the Thunder's funds will change from short selling to buying, and then... a vicious circle will occur.
This can be said to be a systemic risk. It may take a few minutes for the company to adjust its layout, and the opponent's chance of victory lies within these few minutes.
In this case, Lei Hao needs the support of the futures company. As long as the futures company does not force the company to close out Lei Hao's position, then things will be simple.
Reallocate funds, replenish margins on lending positions, block the bulls' attack, and finally... kill them!
This was Lei Hao's plan, but in the eyes of others, Lei Hao's situation had reached a very dangerous point.
If one thing goes wrong, Lei Hao may lose most of his funds in the international market.
The reason is also very simple. What kind of organization is the Thunder? A newly emerging “rich” institution; what kind of institution is Mizuho? He is a veteran in the Asia-Pacific financial circle.
Sometimes, futures companies would rather offend Thunder than give Mizuho some convenience. Even if Thunder's funds are more channeled through futures companies with friendly relationships such as itself, Keda, HSBC, etc., at this time, any change will cause a chain reaction.
It's time to take sides.
It's time to verify Lei Hao's weight.
"Yes, this is my request, you can take it as a threat!"
"Nick, I can tell you very clearly, don't touch my position! If Keda dares to breach the contract, I will definitely target you! From China to Asia Pacific, from Asia Pacific to Europe, I will not let you go, as long as there is an opportunity, I will definitely give it all back!"
"Stick to the spirit of your contract!"
"Now, please tell me, are you friends?"
"Or an enemy?"
The employees of the Thunder Technology Department have never been so busy. In just one minute, they opened the communication channels of several organizations. However, while they were busy, listening to their boss standing there threatening other organizations, everyone felt inexplicably a little distracted. feel.
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