Future chat group

In the final analysis, the operation of the securities market is about mutual calculations. However, there are only two directions for market fluctuations, but there are thousands of ways to operate.

When it came to the RMB exchange rate, Lei Hao showed a "keen sense" of market psychology, or to be more precise, his operations made insiders believe that the title of financial wizard was not inappropriate.

It's just that that operation method is more cumbersome and not suitable for the current Nikkei 225 Index futures market.

If the last operation was like a dragon with all kinds of changes, this time it can only be two dragons playing with a pearl. It is not cumbersome, but there are a lot of timely hedging.

Bulls dare not sell all their funds at once, because from the organizational structure, they cannot get the futures company's commitment to Thunder's default, so selling them all is equivalent to exposing their entire exposure.

Then the rhythm of bullish attacks must be particular, and they must strive to achieve strategic goals and confuse the market. Every time they sell an order, traders must spend a lot of time thinking.

What the short sellers need to do is to defend. The simplest way is to throw all the funds into it and fight to the death. But like the bulls, the Thunder are unwilling to take this kind of risk. Besides, they have Lei Hao here, and they plot against each other. There are advantages.

People from Lei Ting, people from Qing Yu, people from Hanlong, people from Keda and other institutions... The last operation came to everyone's mind, and their hearts suddenly became inexplicably biased.

"If there is a day when we face the Thunder, we should never consider tactical means and just throw all our funds away."

"I feel a little sad for the bulls."

When Lei Hao successively responded to the upward impact of bulls with large orders at the right time, the people watching the market trembled in their hearts again.

It's not a sure win if you hit 20300, but it hurts if you can't hit it.

If you think about it from another person's perspective, you will feel shuddering just thinking about the situation where your order rhythm is completely seen through.

What else are you playing? Your rhythm is all seen through, you are in a state of being overwhelmed tactically, and you have very few options.

Funds are limited, but the way to place orders is unlimited. Through the channels of its affiliated futures companies, Keda and other institutions even saw signs that Thunder had reverse operations from 20250 to 20295 points.

This is equivalent to not being happy after winning, and even trying to play with your IQ.

"It depends on whether Mizuho dares to gamble."

"If we cannot attack for a long time, there will be more variables."

"Maybe the variables will move in a bullish direction? Nikkei 225, the spot price is the Japanese stock market after all, and Thunder has no foundation in Japan."

The tactics are completely targeted, and there is no need to talk about the strategic purpose. At this time, the bulls have only one choice. Should they put all their chips on the table?

The people in the Thunder are worried. It is true that it is very satisfying to crush the opponent tactically, but if a dog jumps over the wall in a hurry, who can stand it? If the bulls try their best, it's hard to say whether the Thunder will win or lose.

The advantage is that a tactical victory can give the market a signal: the shorts are able to do so, but the bulls are not.

This is only a small advantage to others, but it is very important to Lei Hao.

"They don't dare to bet. Mizuho has encountered more difficulties than we imagined. The Bank of Japan's QE is a signal." Lei Hao felt extremely confident.

This certainty is due to both future information and Lei Hao's own analysis.

Looking around the world, which big organization can be similar to the Thunder? In terms of asset volume, the Thunder is not a big institution, just a small fish and shrimp. However, it has a lot of funds and most of its assets are currencies. This makes it difficult for the Thunder to establish an advantage off the court, but conversely, it does not need to be afraid of risks. Spread to non-monetary assets.

Mizuho Financial Group's assets exceed one trillion U.S. dollars. If it does not consider losses, let alone Thunderbolt, even if all Chinese private financial capital is pressed in, it may still have a chance to win.

But the assets of large financial institutions are not all currencies. Even if they are currency assets, large institutions have a lot of risk exposures that need to be settled.

For example, if you hold stock assets worth 100 billion, you need to adjust the security risk and do hedging. If you hold bond assets, you need to buy CDS. If you hold fixed assets, you need to prepare Set aside enough funds and buy enough insurance. These can all be counted as financial risk control.

Large institutions may seem prosperous, but their own operating rules determine that the funds they can mobilize are limited. Throwing tens of billions of dollars into the Nikkei 225 is enough to make the risk control department jump.

Lei Hao's analysis concluded that the bulls will not throw all their chips in and use the market process to express it, but they need the Thunder to make a choice.

Whether to increase the intensity of short selling and suppress the index, or to maintain a tacit understanding with the bulls and wait for the next change in the market, all can be achieved through the mobilization of funds.

"It is not a good thing for us to steadily accumulate funds and push the index down." Lei Hao quickly gave the order.

Short selling at a high level represents more profit margins, and Thunder does not have a lot of money to suppress the crazy bulls, so choosing to stably short sell at a high level is also a way.

But this method is equivalent to acknowledging the current price and bearing the previous book losses. By the end of the day, the Thunder's intention will be revealed: they will hold the bonds overnight.

Nikkei 225 Index futures, the official market position is nearly one million lots? Have you hedged nearly two million contracts off-market? This is no simple matter.

"I don't know the distribution of Mizuho's funds, and I don't know how much Mizuho's exposure has been exposed, but now it definitely takes greater risks than the original time and space. In this case, if the market doesn't teach it a lesson, ..." Lei Hao thought silently in his heart: "Then I have nothing to say."

To sum up, Lei Hao is bearish about the market outlook. His previous operations have always played a role in inducing Mizuho to expose more risk exposure. In this case, what should have happened in the first place has more reason to happen now.

In Yangcheng, Thunder's trading department, a group of people are quietly waiting for the market outlook. The Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets are doing well now. Although Japan's QE and the Nikkei Index are soaring, it has mixed results for the Chinese stock market. , coupled with the mutual restraint of big funds, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets still fluctuated within a narrow range.

However, everyone knows that the outcome of the Asia-Pacific market has decisive guidance for the domestic market, so there is a lot of pressure on Yongze and the others.

On Hong Kong Island, Leo and Tao Liyu were even more stressed. Originally, Lei Hao handed over the project to his subordinates. When the Bank of Japan unexpectedly took action, he immediately took over the baton. This led to the contribution of Leo and Tao Liyu. The speed is greatly reduced, and it even feels like soy sauce.

If they win, it's easy to say. If they lose, the financial losses alone will be enough to overturn the construction of many projects of Thunder and LEI. The group is likely to temporarily shrink and limit its pace to the market in the Greater China region.

Of course, the risk is high, which means that the benefits will not be small. If we can win, it will depend on the domestic battle, and we can successfully gain a foothold in the Asia-Pacific, whether it is a senior executive like Su Yiwen who prefers the organizational system, or an elite in the investment department like Tao Liyu , the following time is the peak of their financial career.

Everyone is full of expectations.