I Am Not A Mage Lord
Chapter 103: Thought experiment, unstoppable prophecy
Roco's snake demon, pointing to the group's obvious horror thought experiment.
Snake Monster is a monster in Western mythology, such as the basilisk in Harry Potter.
Once in a forum named "lesswrong", a user named "Roco" posted a thought experiment post about him——
Suppose that someday in the future, super artificial intelligence is designed, code-named basilisk (basilisk), which intends to control all mankind and avenge all those who do not obey orders.
What’s even more terrifying is that it will retroactively punish those who have not offered a helping hand in the past few years. Even if the target dies, the consciousness will be implanted in the eternal virtual world for torture.
The post at that time caused a lot of discussion on the forum, and it became more and more intense.
Until the last forum founder Eliezer appeared, he left a message to curse the poster, deleted this thought experiment post, and blocked the discussion of the issue.
At this time, the lofty and vast Ten Thousand Dragons Abyss was magnificent and magnificent in the past, and the dragon bones that symbolized the magnificent life of mythological creatures have lost the hustle and bustle of the past, and the apprentices bowed their heads.
In the field, the light of the mobile phone that can still communicate is lit up from time to time.
The glow of these "privileges" lights up and goes out, spreading to the world with the flood of information.
"Enya?" Wang Ruoling asked nervously.
On the side, Enya was shivering all over, raising her hands and putting them down, her mobile phone seemed to be a hot potato.
She couldn't help holding her forehead, her heart realized that something very wrong had happened here, but she couldn't explain clearly when she was in the situation.
Lin Qi silently stood beside Wang Ruoling and said, "Enya has entered the game completely, and you are considered half in the game."
"Why is this?" Wang Ruoling seemed to have lost his usual reason.
Just like anyone who knows this story, it is difficult to understand why the forum manager yelled at him.
Lynch looked into the distance.
All of this starts with a Newcomb paradox, a thought experiment originating from the optimal choice.
Locke’s snake monster thought experiment is essentially a tribute to this paradox.
"If one day the king of the prophecy mage appears in front of you, he will have two boxes in his hand. Box A contains one hundred thousand secret magic coins, and box B contains one million secret magic coins or nothing at all."
Wang Ruoling's expression moved slightly.
She has a small reputation in a certain range, and her idol passerby has always attracted the attention of many apprentices.
In an instant, four or five apprentices also leaned over and listened.
Liu Kai, Chen Shikun, and Guo Sifei in the dormitory also noticed the movement here and took aim.
"At this moment, the King of Mage gives you two plans. The first option is to take away the two boxes A and B, and the second option is to take away only the box B." Lynch said in a bewildered tone.
"Haha, those who have no problem will choose to take all." An apprentice couldn't help but sneered.
Lynch nodded, "Yes, but this mage king has the most powerful prophecy in the world and can see your future choices."
"If he predicts that you pick the AB box, then the B box will have nothing."
"If he predicts that you will take Box B in Option 2, then Box B will put 1 million in advance."
Lynch continued to scan the crowd as he said, "Will you choose option one or option two now?"
After listening to Guo Sifei for a while, he couldn't help but say, "Isn't it a proper plan to take Box B and get 1 million?"
The surrounding apprentices couldn't help but nod their heads. There was no entanglement in this question.
"Then what if the king of wizards did not affirm that his prophecy is 100% accurate?"
As soon as these words came out, the apprentices instantly changed their colors.
Guo Sifei lowered his head and thought, "If it is predicted that I choose one (AB), but I choose two (B), then my B box will be empty."
Wang Ruoling also got serious, "But if it is predicted that I choose two (B), it means that box B has been put in 1 million, so I will choose one (AB) to take all, and I will get 1.1 million. Is it the option with the highest rate of return?"
Chen Shikun retorted, "But he predicted that you would choose one for this reason. Isn't your B box empty? Is the prediction correct?"
"No." Liu Kai also reacted, "Since it predicted the one I chose, it means that box B didn't have any money in it, so I chose box B two, and I didn't get anything."
"It's not right." Guo Sifei continued to retort, "Then he should be able to predict that I want to fight for two (B), and there must be 1 million in box B."
Liu Kai continued to shook his head, "He predicted your greedy thinking, knowing that you must choose one, so Box B still has no money."
At this moment, everyone was silent.
This means that the predictions of the king of wizards have been predicting their predictions, endless loops.
I predicted what you predicted my prediction——
Therefore, we often see all kinds of weird snake-like moves in the game.
When the bicycles crossed frontally, they often turned around and bumped into each other.
However, at this time, Wang Ruoling had opened her mouth and was in shock.
Because she has already formed in her mind--
丨Select丨Prediction One丨Prediction Two丨
丨Choose one丨AB (100,000)丨AB (1.1 million)丨
丨Choose two丨B (0 million)丨B (1 million)丨
So no matter how the other party predicts, she seems to be more cost-effective to choose one, either 100,000 or 1.1 million.
But if you choose two, there is only a difference between 0 million and 1 million.
At this moment, Wang Ruoling and Lynch looked at each other, and instantly understood what Lynch wanted to say.
Replace the entire model.
Box A is replaced with "Help Doomsday Lord".
Box B is replaced with "Safety" or "Sink into hell".
Even at this time the doomsday lord has not yet appeared, the smooth realization of the prophecy depends on everyone's choice.
Then they will face two choices——
Choose one, take the A+B box, and follow the help "Doomsday Lord~www.wuxiaspot.com~ to finally get "safe".
Choose two, only take the box B, don’t help the "Doomsday Lord", and finally get "Sink to Hell".
Naturally, normal people will choose one.
Wang Ruoling couldn't help walking to Lynch's side. At this time, the apprentices around them all discussed the wonders of Lynch's thought experiment, and even preached in the ears of the lecturer.
The girl pressed against Lynch’s earlobe and said.
"Your initial prediction of the King of Mage is a thought experiment about how the rate of return is the highest under free will. The original B box with the highest rate of return has become the lowest rate of return. This is different."
Lynch nodded, and whispered to her another thought experiment-Pascal's bet.
This is the argument put forward by the French mathematician, physicist, and thinker Pascal in his book "Records of Thoughts"——
"I don't know whether God exists. If he does not exist, there is no advantage to being an atheist. But if he exists, I will have great disadvantages as an atheist. Therefore, I would rather believe that God exists."
Believe in God. If there is God, you will get eternal life. Without God, you will waste your prayers.
Do not believe in God, there is no eternal life if there is a God, and time is saved if there is no God.
"You can spend a limited amount of time in exchange for infinite possibilities. I am afraid that everyone will choose, and naturally everyone will choose." Wang Ruoling said with emotion, and the apprentice who secretly heard it behind him also looked suspicious.
Lynch nodded, this is the subtlety of that prophecy——
丨Blank丨There is a Doomsday Lord丨There is no Doomsday Lord丨
丨Choose one丨Safe丨Waste energy丨
丨Choose two丨Sink into hell丨Save energy丨
In this way, normal people can't help but choose one, spread, help, and follow this doomsday lord.
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