I Am Not A Mage Lord

  Chapter 217 True and False Stories

   "What do you mean?" Several apprentices in the field asked persistently, "If the information waterfall and the herd effect are the same thing, there is no need to use the same term."

  "Herding effect" They clearly refer to a common phenomenon in the market behavior of some companies in management, and it is used to describe the herd mentality of economic individuals.

  The herd mentality can easily lead to blind obedience, and it generally appears in highly competitive industries. And there is a leader (the leader) in this industry that takes the main attention, then the entire flock will continue to imitate the leader's every move, where the leader goes to graze, and where other sheep go to pan for gold.

  Whenever a new legendary wizard appears in a school, the number of new students of that school in the middle of the following year will automatically be convex.

   "This is a true school." Chen Shikun sighed helplessly as he looked at the few people who followed Lynch's questioning.

Just like the reasoning process in some classrooms, there are often simple deductions such as "obvious" and "easy to see", while the truer school has the spirit of breaking the casserole to the end, and deeply pursues the points in the teaching materials that the teachers feel are irrelevant. .

   "It's actually not a big deal."

  Linqi smiled at the corner of his mouth, who understood the whole logical link.

  "Information waterfall, strictly speaking, should be an art of ‘rumour’."

  His tone is full of self-confidence and ingenuity.

  Once upon a time, when Lynch spoke in front of the public, he could not help but tremble slightly in his heart, and even his brain would fall into a blank space, but he was able to quickly control his recovery.

  Now it is only a few weeks, even if these rely on the memory palace and the time dragon, they have cultivated a strong confidence in him, allowing him to talk to everyone.

  Success is the fastest way to develop self-confidence.

  Even if you are a scumbag, as long as you do the low-level problems of dimensionality reduction, you can quickly develop self-confidence and become a fan of a subject.

"If you are on the street and you see someone looking up at the sky, you might also watch it together. At this time, the third person passing by will see the movements of the two of you, and if you may not be sure, they will follow. Eventually the whole street will meet There was a group of people looking at the wonder of the sky with only white clouds drifting across. In fact, the first person was just a nosebleed."

"In the rankings of some works, even if the quality of the two works is similar, as long as the rating of the other one is higher than one level, then later people will tend to give high praise and high scores, and the gap will increase. Bigger."

  Speaking, Lynch’s eyes gradually deepened, staring at the "transformer" who was **** by the five flowers and only walking with his feet.

  "Our judgment will be affected by the judgment of others, even if we don’t know the reason for their judgment."

   "Can you prove it?" Wang Ruoling instantly noticed the problem.

   Lynch smiled at the corner of his mouth, "We just assume a hidden information A of 0 or 1, and then everyone is sorted in a queue. Everyone has a private information B that is also 0 or 1, and is independently distributed."

  "If the private information B is consistent with the hidden information A, it is considered correct, and the inconsistency is wrong. The only condition we know now is that the probability of everyone's private information being correct is p, and it is greater than half of the probability."

"Next, in order of sequence, everyone will write down their guessed 0 or 1 as public information C. Everyone can see other people’s public information, but cannot see that the probability of being correct is greater than the general private information. ."

  "Then if the public information written by the first two people is 1, how will the third, fourth, and fifth digits be written next?"

  Listening to Lin Qi’s slightly slurred remarks, the apprentices below could be selected as the first batch, none of them were idiots. Rika built the entire tree diagram in his mind in an instant, and slowly woke up.

   "Even if I have 0 in my hand, I will choose to write 1." Chen Shikun muttered to himself.

   "Yes, because I know that everyone's correct rate is more than half, so my audience's point of view is." Liu Kai also understood.

   "As long as the number of people is large enough, everyone will give the same guess?" Wang Ruoling also looked sideways at the shapeshifter.

  Linqi nodded, silently spread out the paper on the information waterfall in the palace of memory, and set out the specific mathematical proof process according to the text.

"When two people in the queue announce the same guess, the third person will give up their information and choose to believe the first two people. This is not the herd effect and blindly following the trend, but based on probabilistic judgments, so the third person himself The private information of the company can no longer affect the transmission of information and is completely irrelevant. Therefore, no matter how fake rumors are, only two extras are needed."

   "If the first two people announce different things, then the third person will choose to believe in themselves, and become the new information sequence number one, and continue to wait for the formation of an information waterfall."

  This is "The Emperor's New Clothes"!

  Want to terminate, only when the little girl appears, she looks at her private information 0, looks at the series of 1, and resolutely announces her private information 0, that will interrupt the spread of the entire sequence.

   "Student Lynch, do you mean that the information waterfall is a model of rumors?" Guo Sifei in the corner of the station was excited, and he seemed to have grasped the key points.

  Linqi smiled, and I have to say that the three people left behind by the ancestors become tigers, there is indeed some truth.

   "That's not right, then it will be impossible for the rumors to be refuted." Another apprentice asked rhetorically.

   Lynch shook his head, “Our model is based on the fact that the correctness rate is equal and greater than the average. This is also the key to the success of future generations. This is a strong restriction. Real rumors do not satisfy this point.”

   Lynch slowly stretched out his hand and pointed at the apprentices beside the Shapeshifter.

  "If someone believes that the 100% accuracy of the private information in his hand is the ultimate truth, then he will also break the sequence of 1 and tell everyone the fact of 0."

   "Snatching You Silui can completely leave and sign the contract and we can reach a certain underground tomorrow. There is no need to leave a shapeshifter to pretend to be a corpse."

   "Even the deformation ability of the shapeshifter itself is enough to transform into You Silui's appearance, there is no need to deliberately disguise as the appearance of peeling off the skin. In this case, superfluous, it will increase the risk of exposure."

  In fact, after Lin Qi knew that You Silui’s **** had a mysterious message left by the demon that could affect the dark coffin, he had no time to intervene in that organization for the time being.

  But it is impossible for You Silui to lose this mark, so this made him judge that the other party was fake.

  The apprentices who originally thought something was wrong, their eyes widened, and they looked at each other suspiciously.

  The biggest fear of the unknown is that the familiar people around him are quietly replaced and continue to lurch aside!

"This?"

   "Is it possible?"

"Yes." Lynch said loudly, "According to Occam's Razor Law, if it is not necessary, don't add entities. Transfiguration is an example of 0 and 1 for the information criterion. The first apprentice who proposed the story gave a guess 1 , The second apprentice who should agree also gave Guess 1."

   "Naturally, all of us, in front of the skinless You Silui corpse, will imagine this terrifying legend and connect it in series."

   Suddenly several people couldn't help but yell, "Why is this?"

  Wang Ruoling, who was standing aside, also looked indifferent, "It means that the other party deliberately rooted the story of'Faceless Senior Sister' in our hearts!"

   "So it is very likely that the apprentices who have spoken out to prove the existence of the story are also Shapeshifters!"

   Suddenly, a terrifying sense of suspicion and fear burst among the many apprentices.

  They finished the group early last night, so for the target candidates who spoke out, the members of the group instantly recognized them.

  Following the identification, the apprentice crowd puts into the rippling water ripples, and constantly regroups and condenses into a new circle.

  Everyone was shocked to realize that the people who should and the "Story" had got together last night, tightly surrounded the shapeshifter who was **** by the Big Five Flowers.

Gradually, amidst a cry of exclamation, these apprentices who have happened, the outermost skin of UU Reading www.uukanshu.com looks like a melted candle, one by one removed to reveal the original appearance of the deformed monster, and the whole body is pale. And Sui people.

"You guessed our strangeness from a little bit of inconsistency, guessed that we deliberately rooted this story, and the apprentice mage did this. If you become an official first-level mage, how terrible it will be. ?"

The shapeshifter headed by    sighed with emotion, and with a light stroke, the rope that had been **** last night immediately unhooked and fell down.

  "What kind of spell is this?" The young apprentice in the inner circle saw this scene and couldn't help taking a few steps backwards, feeling cold.

  After the apprentices went deep into the misty forest according to the established plan, their first destination was the Luoxi Canyon ahead. At this moment, they were still in the woodland surrounded by towering giant trees. It was not an open field, and it was difficult to launch a large-scale charge.

   "I'm mainly curious, why did you do this?" Lynch asked back, "What is the reason for this story?"

   "Because, these are the predecessors of spells."

The shapeshifter led by    let out a sharp laugh.

  "Belief is the most basic criterion of illusion."

  (End of this chapter)