Little Farmer Big Star

Soon, such a post appeared on the Tianya community children's forum.

"In-depth analysis of "Wolf is Coming", come and watch."

"The host just said that there is a hidden mystery in the fairy tale "The Wolf is Coming". Now the host will analyze it. Are you all ready?"

"Don't ink the landlord, hurry up!"

"That's right, don't talk so much nonsense!"

"It seems that the judges can't wait any longer, so let's go straight to the dry goods.

First, analyze the reason why the farmer did not go up the mountain for the third time from the perspective of probability.

The farmer heard the child shout "Wolf is coming" three times.

The first time I heard it, because it was the first time I heard it, out of trust, I thought it was true, so I went up the mountain.

The second time I heard it, after being deceived for the first time, the farmer thought that the probability of being true was only 1/2, but the probability was higher, so he went up the mountain again.

The third time I heard it, with the first two being deceived, the probability that the farmer thinks it is true is only one-third, and the probability is relatively low. So there is no uphill.

To sum up the analysis: because the farmer has a simple and kind nature, he will give a helping hand in the first two times when he went up the mountain. But he was very angry when he was fooled twice. In the third case where it was difficult to distinguish between true and false, the farmer thought the probability was low, so he did not go up the mountain.

This is actually an emotional factor, which affects his judgment on the value of behavior. That's why he didn't go up the mountain for the third time.

This also shows that everyone has a selfish and indifferent side. "

"I admire the landlord, even the probability problem has come out."

"The landlord's analysis makes sense, but I disagree. I don't think it's because of people's selfishness and indifference that they didn't go up the mountain for the third time. After being cheated twice, everyone will think that the third time is also fake. Farmers don't go up the mountain. Understandable."

"I agree with the upstairs, the landlord is too arbitrary."

"The upstairs upstairs is right. It is understandable that the farmer didn't go up the mountain. The brat can only blame himself."

"Don't be anxious, judges. You won't think so after the analysis of this host is finished."

"Then the landlord, you should continue to talk!"

"That's right, go ahead, we'll watch."

"Okay, all the judges, listen to the continuation of this host.

Now let's analyze it according to the severity of the ending:

1. The third time "Wolf is coming" is true: the result will threaten the lives of children and sheep.

2. The third "Wolf is coming" is false: the result is only a loss of the farmer's strength and time.

By comparing the analysis of the severity of the results, we can see that the result of '2' is relatively insignificant compared with the result of '1'.

No matter how many times '2' occurs, it cannot be compared to '1' occurring once.

Because life is the most precious.

Of course we have to teach our children to be honest; we have to teach them not to make fun of such important things as their own lives and the lives of others.

But what we need to see more is: For adults, no one is perfect, and children's lives should not be ignored just because of their lying and ignorance. No matter how many times you are fooled, you should go to the rescue.

Because as long as it is true once, it is worthwhile for us to waste more energy and time.

In my opinion, we should also realize that when our own or others' lives are threatened and we cannot judge the authenticity, we would rather believe it than believe it.

All right, judges. The landlord's analysis ends here. Not all are correct, everyone can discuss and discuss. "

"Oh, I completely knelt down to the landlord, so many things can be seen in a fairy tale."

"The landlord is indeed a god, and what he said is indeed reasonable."

"So, this fairy tale should not only educate children, but also our parents?"

"Who is this author? Come out, and I promise not to hit you."

"The author originally meant this, or did we think too much?"

"I silently picked up the magazine,

Ready to watch it again. "

"..."

Seeing this, Li Fan could only smile bitterly in his heart.

It is true that you are thinking too much.

Who are the people in this forum, who have researched each one so thoroughly. It also prevents people from writing books.

However, these are classics that have been handed down for thousands of years, and they are indeed worthy of your study.

It doesn't matter what kind of result you get.

Because no matter what the result is, there is no right or wrong. It's just that everyone's perception is different.

...

In the provincial capital, in a high-end apartment.

A middle-aged man in his 40s was sitting on the sofa.

Holding a copy of "Interesting Children" in his hand, he frowned slightly, as if he was thinking about something.

"Lao Yang, what are you thinking?" A beautiful woman in her 30s came over and asked.

The middle-aged man raised the book in his hand and said, "Oh, there are a few stories here that are not bad."

The beautiful woman sat on the sofa opposite, picked up an apple, and said while peeling: "You are talking about the articles "The Tortoise and the Hare", right? The reviews on the Internet are also very good. Let me see, maybe he is your opponent."

The middle-aged man smiled lightly and said, "Adversary? It's too early to say that. It's just a few excellent short stories. Sometimes a short story is all you need is an inspiration. Let's see how the quality of his next work is." .”

"Really?" the beautiful woman asked: "Then if he is really qualified to be your opponent, what are you going to do?"

The middle-aged man snorted coldly: "What should I do? Just beat him to the ground. Until he is no longer qualified, he becomes my opponent."

The beautiful woman secretly thought, indeed.

"But he's just a rookie."

The middle-aged man shook his head and said: "In my eyes, there are only opponents, not newcomers. Besides, since he can become my opponent, it means that he is not an ordinary newcomer."

After the middle-aged man finished speaking, he got up and walked towards the study.

The beautiful woman looked at the back of the middle-aged man and sighed softly.

He only has fairy tales and opponents in his eyes. If someone can become his opponent, he will beat the opponent desperately.

He did this for two reasons. One is because he doesn't allow it, and his current status as the number one fairy tale person is threatened; the other is that he also regards this as his only pleasure. As for how the outside world would evaluate him, he never cared.

As long as the outside world recognizes his status as the number one person in fairy tales, that's enough.

"Well, if he can let go of the vanity of being the first person in fairy tales, his achievements in the future may be even greater than now."

The beautiful woman could only sigh in her heart.

The middle-aged man came to the study room, where most of the books were related to fairy tales.

After lighting a cigarette, he continued to read "Interesting Children" in his hand.

"Judging from these fairy tales, you are a talented writer. I hope you can really become my opponent. I have been lonely for a long time. I have been waiting for an opponent for the long fairy tale I have been preparing for many years. Now, It's finally coming."

This middle-aged man is Yang Jie who is known as the "Little Fairy Tale King".

This is what the outside world calls him.

Most of his peers called him a "fairy tale lunatic", and his opinions were mixed.

...

In the qd group of "Sunshine Author".

"What do you think of the new author in Ququ?" Several authors in this group all jumped from Ququ to Sunshine a year ago.

"It's okay, Guqu probably depends on him now."

"I didn't expect the fun to come alive."

"It's still too early to be alive, he can hold up a piece of the sky as a newcomer."

"If he can really hold up the sky, someone will make him unable to hold up."

"I see, this may just be a conspiracy by Tang Quan. Those fairy tales were not written by that man named Li Fan at all. They were bought by Tang Quan at a high price somewhere. They were deliberately described as a newcomer." The author's works, in order to create a topic of entertainment. This is a good method used by those who run magazines. "

"Yes, what Lao Yang said makes sense. In my opinion, this is the last struggle of fun."

"I'm talking about brothers, we are also the authors who have come out of the fun anyway. Isn't it a bit rude to say that?"

"Hehe, we're just discussing things based on facts, just talking."

"What are you talking about? I just can't stand the resurgence of interest. What's the matter?"

"..."

No one spoke anymore. Although they are both authors who come from fun, each person has a different mind.

Some people are grateful, some don't show any emotion, and some people are resentful, wishing that the other party would stop publishing or go bankrupt immediately.

...

At this time, the same thing was being discussed in another Sunshine author group.

"Do you think fun can turn around?"

"I don't know if the fun can turn around. It has nothing to do with us. I only know that these fairy tales are really well written."

"Yeah, I can't believe it was written by a new guy. I don't know if it's true."

"When this newcomer grows up, I'm afraid he will become a 'fairy tale king' again!"

"That's true. It's a pity that some people may not let him grow up."

"Hey, let me tell you that if you have time to talk about this, you might as well study the works of that newcomer. Write more Braille and earn more manuscript fees."

"That's right, I've researched that newcomer's work several times. Don't tell me, I really found some inspiration."

"It's being studied."

"Hey, take a look at my article "Poisonous Mushrooms". Please give me some comments."

"..."

...

Thanks to every friend for their collection, recommendation and reward. Thanks!