New Shun 1730

Mediation is not an end, but a means.

The essence of this "mediation" is to take credit for the great success of the time, place, and people, and to make things that are obviously Taoist and natural, make it look like he has put in a lot of effort and owes the credit to Liu Yu's mediation.

The main thing is to get the form right and make the movement bigger.

The trade between the Danish East India Company and Dashun was only an entry point for mediation and was not a key factor.

He wants to pretend that it was through his mediation and Dashun's influence that Denmark gave up his qualification as Crown Prince of Sweden.

To make an inappropriate analogy, the train is moving forward, Liu Yu pretends to push it from behind, and then tells the world that he pushed the train away.

Judging from geopolitics and the conflicts between several major European countries, Denmark can only indulge in lip service and dare not really go to war.

It's not that Denmark is afraid of Russia. The army may not be able to defeat it, but the Russian navy may not be able to defeat Denmark.

The real reason is something else. This can be inferred.

Once the Austrian Succession War continues as it is now, the rise of Prussia will become inevitable after Dashun decides to declare war on the Netherlands.

Then, the top priority of European diplomacy in the future will be Russia.

It can be said that the Russian-British alliance or the Russian-French alliance will be the most critical link in the European diplomatic situation in the future.

Although it sounds confusing, it is true that Britain only needs to win over Russia before it can win over Prussia.

Britain could only use Russia to frighten Prussia, thereby disintegrating the Franco-Prussian Alliance.

The basis of the Anglo-Prussian alliance was that Russia and Britain seemed to be close, which could prompt Prussia and France to break their alliance and surrender to Britain.

Prussia and France had no direct conflicts at this time. What they were most worried about was being caught between Austria and Russia.

Otherwise, Britain would not be able to pull Prussia directly.

Because Prussia knew very well that being pulled by Britain meant being enemies of France and Austria at the same time. Prussia is not stupid. The reason why Prussia voted for Britain was to join the Anglo-Prussian-Russian alliance and avoid fighting on two fronts, because it was definitely impossible for Austria to side with Prussia.

On the French side, although they are not consistent, they are similar. They must first win over Russia.

Russia, a huge country, is so far away from France. As the hegemon of Europe, France is absolutely qualified to talk about "diplomacy at a distance and attack at home".

What France wants is a weak Germany. Neither Austria nor Prussia can be too strong. The more chaotic and broken Germany is, the happier France will be.

Britain and France are feuding, Germany is in chaos, Poland is scum, so of course the important chess piece that affects the balance of Europe is Russia, which is located on the border.

Even if a Franco-Russian alliance cannot be won, Russia and France must not be allowed to become too hostile.

Especially under the background that the Marquis of Lachetadie participated in the coup and Elizabeth, a pro-French faction, came to power, it was entirely possible to realize a Franco-Russian alliance.

Britain and France, the two major powers, are trying to pull Russia away at this time.

So, if Denmark and Russia really have a dispute over the Swedish Crown Prince, will Britain and France support Denmark? Neither Britain nor France supports Denmark, and both are trying to please Russia. Denmark relies on Mao to start the war?

Liu Yu has seen Britain's consistent style.

Appeasement, betraying the interests of other countries.

Silesia, Austria, is an example.

Britain directly mediated from the beginning, allowing Austria to cede Silesia to Prussia in exchange for peace in Europe and in exchange for Britain not having to fulfill its obligations under the Basic Law of Austrian Succession to the Throne.

Liu Yu also saw France's consistent style.

Pay lip service but don't deliver.

It was agreed that Sweden would go to war with Russia and Mao would not give any money or guns. Now that Russia is likely to be pro-French, is it going to cause a big conflict with Russia because of the Swedish heir issue?

As for the only big country left, Austria.

As long as Russia did not officially join the Franco-Prussian Alliance, Austria must maintain good relations with Russia, and it is impossible to offend Russia because of Denmark.

After all this calculation, it is impossible for Austria, France, and Britain, the three major countries, to support Denmark and offend Russia... As long as the Danish monarch's brain is not rusty and has a little bit of rationality, it is impossible to really start a war.

As for the trade between Dashun and Denmark, it is just an illusion by Liu Yu to show that "Dashun is influential".

It's like he knew that it was going to rain when the swallows flew low, so he stood on the ground and pointed to the sky, and the sky started to rain. It had nothing to do with him pointing to the sky, but he wanted others to think that the rain was coming from him pointing to the sky.

Of course, there are benefits to doing this. Dashun's appearance in the Russian coup was amazing, and he needs to make persistent efforts to expand his influence.

As for the intrinsic benefits, there are more.

At the very least, there is an issue of diplomatic credibility. If you cooperate with Dashun, you will not suffer any loss. Even if they are not allies, as long as they cooperate and help is needed, Dashun will help. It won’t be like Britain and France.

This diplomatic credibility is not the same as the credibility that Dashun may have in the future by declaring war on the Netherlands.

Declaring war does not involve credibility.

In fact, in Liu Yu's view, the Swedish ambassador's concerns are very problematic.

If Russia is willing to accept a pro-Russian Swedish royal family, then Russia will not create extraneous problems and enter Stockholm on the pretext of preventing Danish interference, but will really protect the smooth succession.

If Russia is unwilling to accept a pro-Russian Swedish royal family and chooses to secede all of Finland, then there will be no confrontation between Russia and Denmark in the case of the crown prince issue.

But since the Swedish ambassador said so, Liu Yu also borrowed the donkey.

"Mr. Ambassador, I can mediate Denmark's affairs. You also know about the Danish East India Company, and now that China and Sweden are cooperating to form a trade company, the Danes have to listen to my attitude, or at least exert great pressure."

"I can guarantee with my personal reputation that I will mediate Denmark. However, I can't say too much about Sweden. After all, the Swedish Parliament needs to discuss this matter and come up with a plan to deal with it."

"Of course, it's a pity that you hope for a miracle on the battlefield, completely annihilate the Russian troops entering Finland, and force Russia to make unconditional peace. You should also know that the idea of ​​seizing Petersburg is just to incite the domestic public sentiment. In fact, politicians know very well that it can't be done, at least not under the condition that the Fourth Russo-Turkish War has ended, right?"

"Miracles on the battlefield are at most unconditional peace."

The Swedish ambassador said sadly that the politicians knew the outcome in their hearts, but things had come to this point and they had to do it.

As for annihilating the Russian army in Finland, it was simply a joke.

The Russian army was led by Marshal Lacy, who performed brilliantly in the War of the Polish Succession, conquered Warsaw and Danzig, and then won excellent results in the Fourth Russo-Turkish War. He was the most capable marshal in Russia at that time...or the only marshal in Russia who could fight at that time.

His tactical style was varied, and he was particularly good at siege warfare, sea-land combined operations, and naval landings. He was also a standard marshal of the Chief of General Staff style, and was particularly good at organizing marches, camping, training troops, and tactical system reforms.

Sweden now has no one who can fight. Politicians are shouting that they want to go to war, but when they really get to the battlefield, they have already sent 7,000 people this year, and it is obvious that they will not be able to win next year.

At the beginning of the war, the military asked the politicians about their ideas, and the Swedish politicians answered very straightforwardly: attack Petersburg as quickly as possible and force Russia to seek peace.

This is equivalent to saying nonsense. Now the military can't clean up the politicians' butts, so they can only rely on diplomacy.

France is definitely not to be counted on, and the Swedish ambassador can only pin his hopes on Liu Yu.

He understood that Liu Yu's mediation with Denmark was to use one of the few trade cards that Dashun could play.

Because Dashun and Sweden have a cooperative trade company, and Sweden's East India Company was previously a dog-eat-dog company. It was obviously a Chinese trading company, but it had to be named East India, but in fact it had no share in India.

The "East India Company" of Sweden and Denmark is absolutely in conflict.

The main direction of purchase for both companies is Dashun.

The categories of purchase for both companies are tea, silk, and porcelain.

The main smuggling directions for both companies are Britain and North America.

Now China and Sweden are cooperating, and Dashun has an absolute monopoly on the source of goods. Therefore, in the view of the Swedish ambassador, if Liu Yu really comes forward to mediate, it can be expected that Denmark will definitely make concessions.

Because from the perspective of Denmark, Dashun's mediation is not mediation, but an excuse for a trade embargo.

For Dashun, since it has cooperated with Sweden, it can only obtain the greatest benefits by cutting off Denmark's supply of goods. By cutting off the supply of goods, the Sino-Swedish Joint Trade Company can quickly seize the market of the Danish East India Company.

Considering this, Denmark felt that it was better to agree to Dashun's mediation and not let Dashun find an excuse for a trade embargo.

Perhaps, in Denmark's view, the essence of this mediation is not for mediation, but for the Sino-Swedish Joint Trade Company.

A qualified diplomat should at least be able to predict others' predictions and suspect others' suspicions. This is the basic passing line.

The Swedish ambassador believed that Liu Yu's mediation was useful, so the final hidden worries of the whole thing were solved.

He neither daydreamed of a miracle on the battlefield or the annihilation of the Russian army in Finland; nor did he consider whether the French mediation could be effective.

Liu Yu's method was still the most appropriate and the most compromised.

Moreover, it seemed that Sweden was going to become a vassal state, but in fact, it was the most beneficial to Sweden.

Because the Swedish king is nothing but a rubber stamp, it doesn't matter who is in power.

If you want to make your words work, you must first defeat the parliament, kill the two parties, and kill the industrial and commercial bourgeoisie and the emerging class. This is impossible in Sweden, where the feudal foundation is not deep, and the difficulty is also against the sky.

It seems that Sweden has changed a king who is "pro-Russian" or has a close relationship with Russia, but in fact, if it can be exchanged for Russia not occupying Finland, Sweden will make a fortune.

The biggest worry of the Swedish ambassador is that Denmark will also stupidly demand the right to inherit the throne, causing Russia to send troops to Stockholm in the name of "protection", and then it will be ruined. When a scholar meets a soldier, he can't explain his reason.

But as long as Russia does not send troops, the parliament and the two parties can kill the foreign king who has no foundation at all.

In war, the top hat party is not good; in industry and commerce, the casual hat party is not good.

These two parties can play political struggles, unite to fight against dissidents, limit monarchy, incite emotions, and create political correctness.