Paranormal incident investigation notes

Chapter 162 Elimination Method

Lu Ming knew that by predicting the weather conditions at a limited place within a limited time in advance to achieve a targeted crash of a plane, this speculation could be ruled out by his side.

It is not a closed system, but an open one, and its internal changes are closely related to external changes.

To predict subtle changes there, one must also predict changes within a certain range outside. To predict changes within a certain range of the outside world, we have to predict changes in a larger range, all the way to the entire earth.

But one Earth may not be enough. Outside the earth, the moon, the sun, and cosmic rays will also have a great impact on the earth's climate. I'm afraid even their factors need to be taken into consideration.

At that time, it will not just be a prediction of the earth, but... an entire universe.

What is the difference between this and "unpredictable prophet"?

However, since this possibility has been eliminated, there is only one possibility left.

The secret organization hidden behind Sun Lide used some unknown means to "manipulate" the climate, deliberately causing the climate to appear in such a state, and through the influence of the climate, caused the plane to crash.

Lu Ming pondered for a moment and then continued to ask Professor Si Hao: "Do we have any means to deliberately control the climate in that area to make it appear in a state that is just right to cause a plane to crash?"

Professor Si Hao glanced at Lu Ming unexpectedly, as if he was surprised how he could be so whimsical.

"How is this possible? This is impossible, this is ridiculous. Let's put it this way, even if it is an animation simulation, it is extremely difficult to simulate the subtleties of nature with a certain accuracy, let alone manipulate it in the real world. ”

Another professor added: "You must have heard that in animated movies, things like water flow and hair are the most difficult to make, right?"

Lu Ming had heard of this.

The most important thing is that they have too many details, are too complex, and have too many influencing factors.

For example, take a river. On the surface, it seems that the water is flowing quietly. It seems that it is not difficult at all to express it in the form of animation. But once the accuracy is improved, the difficulty will increase dramatically.

Because every ripple in the river, every small countercurrent, the interaction between the river and every stone on the shore, the interaction caused by this interaction with other water flows, the ripples caused by a fallen leaf, etc., etc., Taken together, it is a huge chaotic system.

The same goes for animal hair.

For this kind of thing, if the accuracy of the simulation is improved a little, the computing power required will increase at least ten times.

This is why movie audiences, when seeing a more realistic, detailed animated river, animal hair, etc., will exclaim words such as "I see the money burning".

"It was just a virtual simulation, and it was already so difficult. Now, you are saying that you want to control the airflow in a huge space in the real world, like a simulated animation? This level of difficulty is unimaginable."

Professor Si Hao shook his head repeatedly.

Another professor continued: "This is not just a question of how to control it, but a preliminary modeling. I am afraid that it will not be possible to put all the supercomputers we have in the human world into it."

"Uh, Chief Zhang, Chief Lu, if you still can't understand the difficulty of this, then I can say this. Compared to what you guys suspect, 'a secret organization causes the plane to crash by manipulating the climate,' you might as well It is suspected that 'the secret organization directly destroyed the plane, but only disguised the appearance caused by the weather'. After all, the difficulty of the latter is much lower than that of the former."

Lu Ming was surprised again.

The secret organization directly destroyed the plane, but only disguised the appearance caused by the weather?

Doesn’t this mean that the accident investigation team led by Professor Cheng Yu, the interaction data obtained from each piece of aircraft debris and the environment at that time, and the impact of climate on each piece of aircraft debris, are all disguised?

The difficulty involved was so great that Lu Ming could not even imagine it.

But even so, compared to his previous speculation, this is still easier?

Professor Cheng Yu pondered and said: "You want to disguise an appearance that is enough to deceive us? Well, I know this is simpler than the other speculation, but I still have to say that this is impossible."

Lu Ming sighed, feeling a little helpless in his heart.

This concludes the meeting.

I thought that with the help of so many professionals, I would be able to find some clues to verify my ideas. But he didn't expect that even his few guesses would be completely overturned by the experts' data.

Although I can put forward ideas such as "The secret organization's technological level is extremely high, beyond our imagination, they can do what we can't do," but strictly speaking, this is an excuse and a lie.

Because it doesn't make any sense.

If when you encounter a problem, you blame it on "super technology", then there is no need to do anything.

"It's not prediction, it's not climate manipulation, it's nothing. I have no idea how to check next."

Facing Zhang Dingshan, Lu Ming was helpless.

Almost all possibilities have been blocked and denied. But the reality is clearly before our eyes, and it clearly shows that Sun Lide knew about the crash several days in advance. So, how to explain this?

There is no way to explain it. At least Lu Ming's head was full of mush right now and he couldn't think of anything.

He felt that this case was more difficult than the previous Mountain God and Haunted House cases.

In the first two cases, there are at least a few clues for us to pursue. And what about this case? Not a single clue.

"Maybe He Wei will find something there. Don't be anxious, just wait and see."

"Now, we can only wait."

Lu Ming sighed.

At this moment, in the Hongyu City Public Security Bureau, in a specially allocated office hall, dozens of security officers were busy checking documents one after another.

He Wei was sitting behind a desk, also facing a lot of information with a focused expression.

In the investigation of Sun Lide, He Wei adopted the elimination method.

The so-called elimination method means that if all the impossible are eliminated, the clues must be hidden in the remaining possibilities that cannot be eliminated.

First of all, He Wei once again retrieved detailed information about Sun Lide, and specially selected a team of psychology experts to analyze in detail every piece of recorded video information about Sun Lide, and first determine 100% of Sun Lide's mental state. There are no unusual points.

This time point is July 5th.

After identification, it was found that the line EU7655 on the note was written on July 12th.

Then, take July 12th as the base point - because on this day Sun Lide must have known about the imminent crash of the flight. Using this as the base point, moving forward, we will determine that Sun Lide's mental state is 100% abnormal, that is, he has already known The time of the crash.

Finally, a team of psychology experts determined this time point to be July 10th.

That is to say, the period from 9am on July 5th to 12pm on July 10th is a fuzzy zone. During this period of time, members of the psychology expert team could neither confirm that Sun Lide knew about the crash, nor could they confirm that he did not know about the crash.

On the other hand, this means that the time when Sun Lide knew about the crash must have been within this time period. The secret organization must have contacted Sun Lide during this time period, then completed communication with him and told him about the matter.

After determining this time range, the next thing to do is to eliminate.

He Wei did not look for "when did the secret organization contact Sun Lide", but "when did the secret organization definitely not contact Sun Lide".

The latter can be confirmed through many means. For example, call records, road monitoring, monitoring of entering shopping malls, monitoring of entering workplaces, medical records, witness and physical evidence, etc.

When the road surveillance captured Sun Lide walking on the road, it must not have been the time when Sun Lide came into contact with the secret organization. The same cannot be said for walking with colleagues on the way to the cafeteria. Definitely not when eating with colleagues.

The same must not be true when someone sees him walking back to his office.

In this way, many time periods are excluded one by one.

Adopting this method, He Wei led the security guards and the assembled experts to eliminate a total of 36.5% of the total 123 hours between 9 a.m. on July 5 and 12 noon on July 10. Hours.

The remaining 86.5 hours belong to the suspect period.

According to different time period types, He Wei began to classify them.

There are some special periods. For example, sometimes Sun Lide works alone in the office. People only see him walking into the office and then walking out of the office after a period of time. But what exactly he did in the office, no one can know. prove.

However, through detailed network communication investigation, telephone call investigation, etc. during this time period, no suspicious points were found. Therefore, although this time period is still a suspect period, the suspicion is very low, so it is classified as a fourth-level suspect period.

Or when he went home to sleep at night, Sun Lide's wife testified that Sun Lide and she fell asleep together. After she woke up, Sun Lide was still sleeping, but she did not know what Sun Lide did while she was sleeping.

Because they slept together in the same bed, it was impossible for Sun Lide to do anything that made a lot of noise, and the community surveillance showed that no one had entered his home, and there were no calls or communication records, so he was classified as a fourth-level suspect. time period.

The next higher level is the third-level suspect period, then the second-level, and the first-level.

There was no monitoring, no one saw it, and the period during which Sun Lide's behavior could not be determined was considered first-class.

The first-class suspicion period is undoubtedly the one that deserves the most detailed investigation.

At this moment, a large number of security officers, led by He Wei, are doing this.

At this moment, there was a long line on the computer screen in front of He Wei. This line is divided into many line segments of different lengths, and each segment has a different color. Under the line segment, the start time and end time are marked.

Some of them are black, which means this is a suspect-free period. The blue one means the fourth-level suspect period, and the highest level first-level suspect period is dazzling red.

At this moment, she saw that the starting time was 9:36 am on July 7th and the ending time was 9:42am on July 7th. The total length was six minutes. The color Suddenly it turned black.

This means that the suspicion during this time period has been completely eliminated and turned into a no-suspect period.

She clicked on it, and a new report appeared in front of her.

"While verifying, seven groups of people found that Sun Lide did not disappear during this period, but went to the Fuqiang Cigarette Hotel to buy a box of cigarettes. The surveillance video in the cigarette hotel captured the entire process of him purchasing cigarettes, as follows .Based on this, the suspicion of period No. 1025 is eliminated.”

He Wei opened the surveillance camera and saw the familiar figure of Sun Lide.

He walked into the cigarette shop. After a brief conversation, he paid, took a box of cigarettes, opened it, lit one, and walked out.

This is consistent with the image of Sun Lide with only a cigarette butt left in his mouth in the road surveillance during period 1026.

Shortly thereafter, the color of the line segment numbered 714 also changed, from red to blue, representing fourth-level suspicion.

"During this period, we visited three elderly people who were playing chess in the afternoon. The elderly people said that they saw Sun Lide walking by and his expression was normal. However, because the suspicion could not be completely ruled out, he was demoted to the fourth level."

During this total of 123 hours, it was investigated and eliminated by many investigators bit by bit, minute by second.

Now, the number of red line segments on this entire straight line has been extremely small, with only four or five remaining. Among them, the longest one spans more than three hours.

He Wei thought for a moment and made a decision.

She put more investigative power into this period.

"During this period, Sun Lide participated in a mountain climbing activity organized by the company and climbed the mountain with many colleagues. But soon after he started climbing, Sun Lide began to act alone and left the public's sight. No one knew what he did. Until When the activity came to an end, he came to the foot of the mountain and left here together with his colleagues.

From Sun Lide's "disappearance" to Sun Lide's "appearance", a total of 2,635 people appeared in the scenic spot during this period.

Now, manpower is allocated to conduct background checks on all 2,635 people. "

Any one of these two thousand people might belong to that secret organization, and any one might have had contact with Sun Lide.

Since you don’t know who it is, let’s check them all.

He Wei gave an order, and at least 5,000 security officers from all over the world joined in this work.

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