Pupils of Judgment: Opening Design Accidentally Judges Criminals

"It's a matter of probability!"

"What do you mean?" Fuyue blinked Bakazilan's big eyes.

Xu Mo pointed to the tablet and explained: "The weather forecast is clearly written, and the probability of precipitation is 25%.

"This means that there is only a 25 percent chance of a thunderstorm on the day of the crime."

"At the same time, this is only localized rainfall."

"In other words, it is very likely that it will rain in some parts of Yumi Town and not in some areas."

"At the same time, in order to verify this statement, I also specially checked the specific rain situation in Yumi Town."

"It did rain in the village of Zhangjia, where the disappearance of nine children occurred, but in another village relatively far away, it did not rain."

"In other words, the probability of precipitation in the weather forecast is 25 percent, and in the case of localized rainfall, it is actually even lower!"

"In this case, Zhang Mingcheng did not choose to herd sheep, but went to the slaughterhouse."

"This is clearly not in his interest situation!"

"And as for why I say that, I hope everyone can think about Zhang Duo's choice first, and then tell me the answer!"

Hearing this, everyone immediately recalled in their brains what Zhang Duo did on the day of the crime, and soon everyone realized the problem.

"I know!" Bai Yao was the first to figure it out.

From beginning to end, Zhang Duo gave the same statement, that is, on the day of the crime, she was farming with the neighbors who worked together on weekdays.

And this farming means that they harvest rice, and when cutting rice, they also need to avoid rainy days as much as possible, so as to ensure that the subsequent rice is better preserved.

You know, many villagers still chose to work in the fields that day, which shows that everyone did not take the rain to heart.

Since so many villagers feel that the probability of rain is not high, why does Zhang Mingcheng think that it will definitely rain?

You know, for people like him who specialize in farming, not letting the sheep out to graze means feeding themselves.

Feed costs money to buy, this in and out, is not a small amount!

Even the villagers who harvest the rice are willing to gamble to work, but Zhang Mingcheng would rather spend a sum of feed money because of the small probability of rain?

You know, this day's feed costs less than three or five hundred yuan, which is not something he can earn back by working in the slaughterhouse for a day.

In addition, today's people pursue taste and quality, and will be more inclined to choose grazing sheep than sheep who eat feed.

Sheep that graze sell for a better price than sheep that eat feed.

This transaction is a loss, can Zhang Mingcheng, a businessman, not understand?

Such a reasoning, Zhang Mingcheng's statement seems reasonable, but it is actually contrary to common sense, especially after comparing the behavior of Zhang Duo and others on the day of the crime, it is even more obvious.

Moreover, speaking of which, there is no contradiction between Zhang Mingcheng herding sheep and going to work in a slaughterhouse.

He can go to work in the slaughterhouse after releasing the sheep.

Generally, the flock will return to the old nest under the leadership of the leader after eating and drinking, which is common sense.

"If you think about it like this, it is very likely that Zhang Mingcheng did not tell the truth!"

"Did he say this on purpose to create an alibi?" Bai Yao said.

"It's also possible that he already knew something and deliberately didn't herd the sheep that day." Shao Yuning also added.

"Then you say, when the Continental Department solved the case four years ago, did you find such a problem?" Fu Chu analyzed from another angle.

"I don't think they should have thought of that yet." Xu Mo touched his chin and said.

"I saw that in the detailed case records, no one had analyzed the weather conditions on the day of the crime with Zhang Mingcheng's statement."

"This shows that the people who investigated that year should not have realized this."

"However, I also noticed that in the pre- and post-investigations, there were tranquility officers who repeatedly investigated Zhang Mingcheng's house, the farm, and the slaughterhouse where he worked."

"This shows that someone should have realized that there is a problem with this Zhang Mingcheng, but they did not explore it deeply!"

This is actually a very common state in the process of investigating a case.

Like now, regarding the weather forecast, if Xu Mo had not thought of conducting in-depth research, everyone else would not have realized that there would be so many problems in the middle.

At that time, there were so many people involved in the investigation of the disappearance of the nine children, but for some unspeakable reasons, the people who really insisted on investigating from beginning to end were almost none.

Then it is indeed possible that no one has found such a deep hidden clue.

"Then are we going to start investigating from this Zhang Mingcheng today?"

Fu Yue swallowed the last bite of the bun, looking energetic, and could not see the sleepiness when he got up in the morning.

"That's right!"

"If everyone is full, let's pack up and go!"

While Xu Mo was still eating breakfast and analyzing the case, many residents of Yumi Town had spontaneously assembled, carrying hoes and shovels and other tools, and walked towards the only mountain in town.

Since Yumi Town is on an independent island, the water vapor is high and the soil is crispy, so every time there is a heavy rainstorm, there will always be landslides or small mudslides in some places, resulting in blocked roads.

If it were more serious, the ancestral tomb of the Zhang family on the other side of the cliff could be washed away.

Therefore, the residents here have developed a habit that after each rainstorm, everyone will go to the main traffic road and the mountain to check it out, and the dredging should be dredged in time, and the repaired should be repaired immediately.

It's just that this time, I'm afraid no one thought that there would be a "surprise" waiting for them ahead!

"Then next, we still need to act separately!"

"Li Feng, Zhao Bai, you two stay and continue to monitor Zhang Gaohui!"

"Although it is daytime, it stands to reason that he should not run to the place where the body is hidden at this time, but just in case, you two still need to monitor closely!"

"Received!"

"Others, come with me!"

"Let's go to Zhang Mingcheng to see what is going on!"

After Xu Mo gave the order, everyone quickly took action.

In the seven-seater car, Xu Mo was driving, and just happened to see many villagers with hoes and shovels walking in the same direction along the way.

He always felt in his heart that something might have happened.

Between driving, Xu Mo said to Fu Chu sitting in the passenger seat and Fu Yue, Shao Yuning, and Bai Yao in the back seat: "In fact, I suspect that Zhang Mingcheng has another reason.

"It is precisely for this reason that my suspicions of Zhang Duo have deepened!"

"I don't think Zhang Duo may really do something, but she must know something!"

Xu Mo's serious voice made everyone in the car realize that what he was talking about now was very important.

"Is there a problem with Zhang Duo's confession yesterday?" Fu Chu thought carefully before asking.

"Yes!"

"Did Zhang Duo say anything?" After hearing Fu Chu's words, Fu Yue also began to seriously recall Zhang Duo's words.

Zhang Duo said that the reason why she called the Security Bureau at two o'clock in the afternoon to report the case to find the child was because it suddenly rained and she was afraid that something would happen to the child.

So, if you link this message to Zhang Mingcheng...

"I know!" Fuyue suddenly figured it out and said excitedly.