"Leaders, I don't know if you have noticed. It's a bit uneasy here recently..."
Xu Huasheng stood in front of the world map and pointed directly at Iraq.
"Leaders, the eight-year Iran-Iraq War has left Iraq heavily in debt, and the weak Kuwait is one of Iraq's largest creditors. In the past two years, Iraq has been trying to join OPEC in reducing production and raising oil prices. However, Kuwait not only did not cooperate with Iraq in reducing production and raising prices, but instead increased production and sang a different tune from Iraq. The reason for this is very simple. Kuwait and Iraq have a border dispute, and Kuwait wants to use this matter to force Iraq to compromise..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone in the conference room nod their heads. They knew this.
"But Kuwait made a wrong calculation this time. Who is Saddam? Would such an arrogant person agree to this? Saddam has always felt that Iraq is a buffer zone between Arab countries and Iran. In the Iran-Iraq War, Iraq suffered the pain of war for Arab countries. So Saddam has been asking Saudi Arabia and Kuwait to forgive Iraq's tens of billions of debts in the past two years. Do you think Saudi Arabia and Kuwait will agree to this request?"
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone laugh. What a joke, I would not agree if it were me. Whose money is blown by the wind, not to mention that this is a debt of tens of billions of dollars.
"Look at the location of Kuwait. It is the throat of Western countries transporting oil from the Middle East to them. The Soviet Union must know this. So, I guess the Soviet Union will never miss this opportunity. They will definitely encourage Saddam behind the scenes. As long as Iraq occupies Kuwait, it will be equivalent to the Soviet Union blocking the throat of Western oil. At that time, Western countries will only have two choices for Iraq, fight or not fight..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone nod their heads. This seems to be the case. With the Soviet Union's style of doing things, it would definitely do so. The Soviet Union was very good at the proxy war routine.
"If they fight, Western countries may fall into the quagmire of war. At that time, this place may become the second Afghanistan battlefield. Fighting for ten or eight years will directly drag down the Western countries led by the United States. Even if they can't drag them down, it can also reduce the pressure on the Soviet Union."
"If they don't fight, the oil lifeline of Western countries will be in the hands of the Soviet Union. At that time, the Soviet Union can raise prices if it wants to, and it can slaughter Western countries if it wants to..."
"As long as Iraq invades Kuwait, whether Western countries fight or not, the Soviet Union will win..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone's eyes light up. After Xu Huasheng's analysis, they instantly figured it out.
This move is a win-win. Fight or not, the Soviet Union will take advantage.
"So, I guess Iraq will definitely invade Kuwait, and it must invade Kuwait, because the Soviet Union will not allow it not to invade. From Iraq's perspective, there are many benefits to Iraq's invasion of Kuwait. Not only can Iraq save tens of billions of debts, but it can also take Kuwait into its pocket, which has 10% of the world's oil reserves. At that time, Iraq can not only raise oil prices, but also have more oil. With Saddam's character, how could he miss this opportunity? You know, Saddam has always believed that he is the third in the world..."
Xu Huasheng's words made everyone clear, so this is the situation.
At this moment, they understood why Xu Huasheng wanted to speculate in oil. Because once Iraq invades Kuwait, international oil prices will definitely soar.
"What if Iraq does not invade?"
One person couldn't help asking.
"If you don't invade, then don't invade. If you don't invade, international oil prices won't fall sharply. Global oil demand is strong now. With the development of economies of various countries in the future, global oil demand will certainly continue to increase. The possibility of a sharp drop in oil prices is very small..."
Xu Li's words made everyone suddenly realize that they now understood Xu Huasheng's thoughts.
Yes, oil prices are not volatile at present. With the development of the global economy, oil demand will definitely increase, so oil prices will definitely rise.
Stock trading, isn't it just about probability?
"Mr. Xu, if Iraq really occupies Kuwait, how do you think it will develop next? Does the United States really dare to take action against Iraq?"
Director Yun asked curiously. This question also made everyone look at Xu Huasheng.
"It's not a question of whether they dare or not, but that the United States will definitely take action."
Xu Huasheng said directly.
"Why?"
In the conference room, a middle-aged man in military uniform couldn't help asking, Xu Huasheng's words were too sure.
"It's very simple. First, the United States and Western countries will never allow Iraq to challenge their authority and theirThe world order created by the United States. Especially the petrodollar system created by the United States, which is the biggest weapon for the United States to rob the world in the future. Whoever dares to challenge this system will be the absolute enemy of the United States. This is the lifeblood of the United States..."
Xu Huasheng said seriously, and this made everyone ponder. The petrodollar system, they have also been discussing in recent years, and some people have even seen the essence of the petrodollar.
"Second, the United States needs a war to kill the Soviet Union..."
When Xu Huasheng said the second sentence, everyone's face changed.
"Mr. Xu, your words are too alarmist. Can the United States kill the Soviet Union? You know, the Soviet Union is the most powerful country in the world..."
In the conference room, a middle-aged man directly refuted with a serious expression. Hearing this, Xu Huasheng laughed.
"Leader, the Soviet Union used to be the most powerful country. But it may not be now. Although the Soviet Union has the most powerful military force in the world. But the economy is a mess. There is serious corruption in the country, daily necessities are in short supply, and the people are not full, but the oligarchs are eating oil from the corners of their mouths. Why did the Soviet Union withdraw its troops from Afghanistan? It's because it has no money. Dear leaders, the giant Soviet Union is sick, and it is terminally ill. It can no longer hold on. To put it bluntly, leaders, why do we need to reform? "
Xu Huasheng's question made everyone's face serious all of a sudden.
Why? It's because it has to be changed.
Director Yun also looked at Xu Huasheng. Today, Xu Huasheng brought him too many shocks.
This vision, this world view, this judgment of various situations, is amazing.
"Mr. Xu, do you mean that if the United States takes action, the Soviet Union will not send troops?"
Director Yun asked directly, and Xu Huasheng nodded.
"The Soviet Union is no longer able to send troops, leaders, you should have some understanding of the current situation of the Soviet Union. Now the country is a mess, and the Soviet Union has no ability to send troops to fight the United States face to face. At most, it can only support Iraq in secret, what a pity..."
Xu Huasheng sighed, and this made everyone curious again.
"Will Iraq lose? "
Xu Huasheng's words prompted a person in the conference room to ask back.
"It's not that we will lose, it's that we will definitely lose, and it's a clean and neat defeat. Leaders, if this war starts, the United States will definitely not let it drag on for too long. The lessons of the Vietnam War are very vivid in the United States. Once the war starts, you will know that the steel torrent is outdated. The future war will be precise, information-based, and integrated with air and space. "
Xu Huasheng said directly, and everyone in the conference room widened their eyes, with disbelief on their faces.
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