Rebirth of the Official Business Route

An economist more popular in Asian countries than Paul Krugman-Nesbitt? "Ye Jianbin said.

"You mean "Major Trends in Asia" by Nesbitt?" Zhang Ke asked Ye Jianbin, "Does a domestic publishing house translate his monograph? I only have an English version in my hand. His views are indeed very popular in Asia. , There should be a translated text in China."

"Well, the Foreign Languages ​​Publishing House published the Chinese edition in July, and it was recommended by my third uncle to read it," Ye Jianbin said with a smile, "After all, everyone wants to listen to good things." The novel chapters are updated fastest.

"It turned out to be recommended by the third uncle's family. It seems that John Nesbitt’s views are really popular." Zhang smiled and said, "Neisbite is optimistic that the rising Asia will become the center of the future world, and Asia will be the center of the future. I love to hear these words about continuing prosperity, but Nesbit ignores some of the shortcomings in the economic development model of Asia, especially East Asian countries. These shortcomings are still very serious, but we have to pay attention to..."

Ye Jianbin's third uncle and Ye Zufan's third son, Ye Zhenmin, are members of the Party Leadership Group of the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation. They are in charge of the Asian Department. Although they are not ranked high among the nearly 20 deputy ministerial levels of the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation, the Asian Department is second only to the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Economic Cooperation. In the real power department of the U.S. Department of State, due to the economic activity of Asian countries in recent years, overseas Chinese from East Asian countries accounted for the largest proportion of domestic foreign investment, and the United States’ intentional or unintentional suppression of the domestic economy, Asia The position of the company is particularly important. "Fiction" novel chapters are updated fastest

Hearing what Zhang Ke said, Ye Jianbin was excited, holding a wine glass. Leaning over: "You advocated that Schwab will temporarily slow down the expansion of business in Southeast Asia. Have you made such a judgment long ago?"

Zhang Ke and Jiaxin Industrial first put the brand agency rights of Aida DVD players in Southeast Asia and a part of the cash into Jiaxin Industrial, in order to change the status of Renxin Industrial’s second shareholder, although they acted as the agent of Aida DVD players in Southeast Asia. Quanzhi entered Schwab, but Zhang Ke persuaded Sun Shangyi, Ge Mingde and others to temporarily slow down the large-scale expansion of the DVD player business in the southeast region. They only used the current resources to organize production and sales. The most important move was to join the Ye family’s shareholding benefits. Shan Xiangxuehai is making every effort to develop Xiangxuehai's domestic refrigerator business, and Ye Xiaotong also asked Zhang Ke to instigate Zhang Ke to enter Xiangxuehai and be responsible for market operations.

"Oh, that's it." Zhang smiled, "I may miss some opportunities, but the most important rule of operation is to survive. The situation of Jiaxin Industrial was not very good at that time, and it needed a more stable business strategy. The country is so big. The market is to be opened. Of course, the domestic business will be developed first."

Today, Schwab is among the four largest shareholders. Yuexiu ranked fourth, and Shengxin Group ranked fourth. The shares held by Sun Shangyi and Ge Mingde, the second and third largest shareholders, belong to the Ge family, which is the largest shareholder in name of Schwab Industrial.

Since the formal holding of Xiangxuehai in early June, Xiangxuehai Electric Group Co., Ltd. has been established. The growth rate of Xiangxue's refrigerator business in Haiti quickly rebounded to the highest level in 1994 and 1995, because Xiangxuehai and the South Korean Samsung Group have been in a waste of business for more than a year. To regain its position in the "South Xiangxuehai, Beihaier" **** market, it will be possible to wait for the new production line of Xiangxuehai Electric Group to be put into operation. Xiangxue's refrigerator business in Haiti began to recover in the third quarter. In the third quarter, the nominal net profit of the holding company Charles Schwab was as high as 10 million. After deducting financial costs, Charles Schwab finally had a good quarterly report in the third quarter, which supported the early investors’ value judgments on Schwab Industrial. The share price of Schwab Industrial has been on the rise; these undoubtedly prove the correctness of Zhang Ke’s judgment, of course. It was also predictable in advance, otherwise Zhang Ke would not be able to persuade Sun Shangyi and Ge Mingde to adopt his suggestion.

"The economic environment in East Asia is going to be too complicated..." Zhang Lu continued, "Recently, international hot money has poured into these regions, and the previous drawbacks will be catalyzed and further aggravated; in addition, the flow of international speculative capital in recent years The economic research institute has just released a data, and the scale of hot money with sufficient liquidity has reached one trillion US dollars. No matter how credible the data of the economic research institute is, the scale of international hot money cannot be small. A weapon, dare you say that there is no fierce hunter behind?"

Zhang Ke has only had time to study Paul Krugman’s economic theory and the macroeconomics of East Asia since this year. His previous judgments naturally took advantage of the rebirth, taking the historical events of his birth and Paul Krugman’s Zhang Ke naturally has more confidence to point out the serious shortcomings in the economies of Asian countries, but his economic theories are mutually corroborated. In addition to Ye Jianbin, Sun Shangyi, Ge Mingde, etc. Apart from people, it is doubtful how many people would agree with his views.

Of course, there are some issues that can be communicated with Xu Xueping, Ye Zhenmin and others, but Zhang Ke has only recently thoroughly studied some issues. Before, he could not directly point out the extremely serious economic crisis in Asia next year.

"Hey, what are you two big men doing together?"

Zhang He glanced at her head, and Sun Jingmeng stood behind him with her arms akimbo, close to her, her nose almost rubbed against her tall chest. Zhang wasn't the kind of person who didn't take advantage of it, but Sun Jing's advantage was that he didn't dare to take it casually. He leaned against the bar, sniffed the faint fragrance from Sun Jingmeng, turned his head to look at Tang and the others. The other staff in the bar have already been here. The three girls, Tang, Feirong Chen, and Su Yiting, couldn't get in. They were sitting in there drinking drinks and chatting.

Zhang Ke and Ye Jianbin were speculative in discussing the Asian economy. Their heads were close to each other. Zhang Yan took out a pen and napkin to write down some key economic data and drew a picture for Ye Jianbin to see.

"How old is it that you still like to scribble on napkins?" Sun Jingmeng reached out and filled the dense data with a red pen.

Bring a stack of napkins from the **** map, stared at it for a while, didn't see anything? "

"You can't understand it." Ye Jianbin took the napkin from Sun Jingmeng's hand. "You won't be interested in these things." Spread the napkin on the bar, tapping on the bar with his fingers, with one hand resting his chin, Zhang Ke also turned around and sat upright, ignoring Sun Jingmeng.

"How do you know that I am not interested in these things?" Sun Jingmeng tyed her cheeks. She was also taking care of the bar very seriously during this time. The contempt of Ye Jianbin and Zhang Ke made her feel uncomfortable.

"Then look at it," Ye Jianbin moved aside. Let Sun Jingmeng sit between him and Zhang Ke, "Looking at this thing is so dizzy that it affects appetite... Ah, should we deliver the takeaway?" He raised his hand and looked at the watch, then looked back at it. The entrance to the bar.

Zhang Ke glanced at Sun Jingmeng wearing a smoky gray short-sleeved cashmere sweater. Apart from her white and tender arms exposed, she also showed a large piece of smooth back muscles. She was lying on the bar, looking at the data and some economic terms written on the napkin. The leather skirt that wrapped the small buttocks was lowered a bit, revealing the lace edges of the red **** inside. The exposed psoas muscles were delicate and white, and Zhang Ke didn't dare to look at it. When she leaned on the bar, she inevitably saw a white and tender breast muscle on Sun Jingmeng's chest. I had to sit up and talk with Ye Jianbin over Sun Jingmeng's head.

"Just watch it, I don't mind, and I won't talk to your little girlfriend." Sun Jing gave Zhang Ke a look. As he said this, he pulled up his shirt and covered the white flesh that was exposed between his back and buttocks.

Sun Jingmeng's eyes were still quite sultry, Zhang Ke scratched his nose, not daring to provoke the enchantress, and walked to the other side of Ye Jianbin and sat down.

Ye Jianbin smiled. Last year, Zhang Ke and Xu Si were guests at Sun’s house. They spent a lot of time with Sun Jingmeng. Sun Jingmeng would be a little bit suspicious. There were certain things that the client knew well. If they were accidentally pierced by others , That's what's called dying, no wonder Zhang Ke didn't even sneer at this moment, probably wishing that Sun Jingmeng ignored his existence. Ye Jianbin also turned sideways to ignore Sun Jingmeng, and said to Zhang Ke, "When will you go to Beijing, or should I invite Sanshu to come and chat with you?"

Talk, naturally, talk about the macroeconomic situation in Asia.

Regarding the economic situation in Asia, especially East Asia, mainstream views have always been quite optimistic. Paul Krugman’s views are non-mainstream and are not valued by mainstream groups, while Zhang Yifan’s remarks are based on Paul Krugman’s views. Lugerman's economic theory provides more detailed arguments, which are naturally more convincing.

In the words of the old man, "In the past 20 years of reform and opening up, there has never been a person who can understand an industry better than this young man", Zhang Ke's opinion, let alone Ye Jianbin, the rest of the Ye family attaches great importance to it. Shengxin's transformation to focus on home appliance chains was also a decision made after listening to Zhang Ke's opinions and carefully inspecting the market. It only took more than a year. It seems that this move is the most successful move that Yejia has made in business in recent years. Taking advantage of the influence of Ye Zhenmin and other Ye's family members in Shanghai and Zhejiang, Shengxin Global Electric has completed the home appliance chain industry in Shanghai and Zhejiang, and its assets have rapidly expanded to more than 500 million; Ericsson in East China The mobile phone agency business continues to provide considerable funds for Shengxin's exhibition, but it is no longer the most important business of Yejia. It is precisely because of Shengxin Universal Electric Group’s extremely well-measured and timely development that Ye Jianbin’s position in the Ye family has rapidly increased, and has become the representative of the Ye family in the business world. In the past, the scattered industries of the Ye family have been integrated and merged into the Sheng Under Xin's name, Shengxin has begun to take the form of a large group from a trading company two years ago.

Although Zhang Ke clearly pointed out that the impact of the Asian financial turmoil on the country has more advantages than disadvantages, it is mainly because the financial industry policies implemented by the State Council in the past few years have largely resolved some of the shortcomings of the domestic economy. It is also after the Asian financial turmoil. , China has ushered in the golden decade of economic development, but a more accurate judgment of the Asian economic situation will undoubtedly benefit the domestic economy more...

Ye Zhenmin is in charge of the Asian Department of the Foreign Economic and Trade Department, directly handling economic and trade affairs with Asian countries, and is one of the important figures in formulating economic and trade policies for Asian countries. Although it is not a big deal to misjudge the economic situation in Asia following the trend, if you can accurately predict the economic situation in Asia and benefit the domestic economic and trade activities with East Asian countries, it will definitely be a stroke in your political career.

Ye Jianbin therefore hoped that Zhang Ke would have a chat with his third uncle Ye Zhenmin.

"Don't you just tell it?" Zhang Ke said, "I have nothing to do in these two days. You have to be free. I will brag with you."

"I'll tell you, I may not be able to explain the problem thoroughly, so let the third uncle come back." Ye Jianbin is more able to accept Zhang Ke's judgment. As for whether his third uncle Ye Zhenmin can accept it, I don't know if he can accept it, and let them have a face-to-face chat. Only by chatting can I explain the problem thoroughly, and then I remembered something, "Liu Zhijun invited you to meet, would you talk about this?"

"If they are willing to listen. Of course I will say," Zhang Ke said. "After all, there are several big projects in the province, and Tao Jin needs to nod himself."

"The project of Donghai United Steel and East Japan Railway?" Ye Jianbin asked.

In order to make Xiaogang County in the southeast of the city built into an important iron and steel production base in the east, the province launched the East China Sea Joint Steel Project last year, with the equipment and technology required for the project. Both plan to import from Japan. In the end, the Tohnichi Railway Group, a subsidiary of the Mitsui Consortium, was selected for cooperation negotiations.

In early April, I was angry at Little Japan's arrogance and rudeness. Zhang Ke, Ye Jianbin, Li Yijiang, and others single-handedly concocted the Fuchun Pavilion buying spring incident, which exposed the Japanese negotiators' behavior of buying spring and insulting China at the Fuchun Pavilion Hotel before the public was exposed.

The event. An anti-Japanese and anti-Korean trend of thought set off in the province also caused the project negotiation to be suspended for a while. The province also expressed that it would not matter if the negotiations were to be suspended. Tohnichi Railway knew that it was at a loss, and recalled all the negotiating team members involved in the Fuchun Pavilion buying spring incident. Another person is sent to restart negotiations.

Zhang Ke nodded.

"Yes, but it's more than that."

"Oh?"

"I personally agree with Paul Krugman's understanding of the economic situation in Asia," Zhang said lightly, "although Nesbit’s view of Asia’s continued prosperity is more popular at this time. The popularity of Nesbit’s view can be It is one of the catalysts for the influx of a large amount of hot money into East Asian countries in recent years. A large amount of speculative hot money and the economic shortcomings of East Asian countries are very likely to induce economic crises in these regions. What do you think of those international financial investment giants? Didn't smell the smell of blood from it?"

"Yeah!" From the detailed data collected by Zhang Ke, Ye Jianbin also tends to think that there is a great possibility of a local economic crisis in East Asia.

"If the Asian economy is to be lively and turbulent, it will start with Southeast Asia. In particular, countries such as Thailand and Indonesia have extremely serious economic maladies, and their ability to prevent crises is poor. In the past two decades, Southeast Asia has been Japan's largest capital exporter. , Southeast Asia’s economic instability will surely affect Japan, and it will first be reflected in the exchange rate. The yen’s exchange rate against the US dollar has fallen, and the renminbi has been relatively strong. Make a profit on the exchange rate."

At this moment, the takeaway was delivered to the store. They had to finish dinner and start the night business. Zhang and Ye Jianbin temporarily stopped discussing these issues and asked Tang and the others to come and prepare together. Sun Jing took the napkins on which Zhang Ke had just written down a string of economic data. After looking at it for a long time, she couldn't see why. She threw the napkins to Ye Jianbin angrily, and saw Ye Jianbin put the napkins away like a treasure, black and white. The distinct eyeballs turned over a few times, and the momentum was taken away, but he couldn't say anything with sharp teeth. She didn't understand Zhang was still in high school, why could she know this?

After dinner and tidying up, the bar officially started the day’s business. Tang, Feirong Chen, and Su Yiting entered and exited a place like a bar for the first time, and they were very excited when they watched the influx of people; Zhang Ke and Ye Jianbin looked for it. A corner continued their unfinished topic before dinner.

Speaking of the East China Sea Joint Steel Project, this is the largest investment project in the history of the East China Sea Province, involving a total of tens of billions of dollars, of which nearly 70% to 80% of the funds will be used for equipment and technology from the East Japan Railway. The source of funding is a very important negotiation item.

If all Japanese yen loans can be obtained from Japan to introduce equipment and technology, and the loan repayment period is postponed to after 1998, after the Asian financial turmoil in 1998, the yen's exchange rate against the US dollar fell sharply, and the RMB exchange rate was strong, only this part You can actually repay more than 30% of the loan.

Japan is one of the first countries to provide government loans to China. Since 1979, the Japanese government has provided China with a total of about 2.9 trillion yen in aid loans that received 60% of foreign official aid loans. The Japanese government’s provision of aid loans to China has profound historical and political factors, but the main economic reason is that Japanese companies have obtained a large number of contracts in loans to China, and through this large-scale entry into the Chinese market, to promote the development of the Japanese economy. .

The cooperation between Donghai United Steel Group and East Japan Railway can obtain low-interest loans from Japan through official negotiations.

In addition, although the country resisted the Asian financial turmoil, the economy in 1998 and 1999 was still affected to a certain extent. The State Council put forward appropriate measures based on the situation at that time to relieve the pressure of the economic slowdown, but vigorously The development of industries such as real estate and education to stimulate domestic demand also left many problems for people's livelihood in the future.

Zhang Ke had some exchanges with Xu Xueping on these issues before. If Tao Jin can also accept Paul Krugman’s judgment on the economic situation in Asia, Donghai Province can definitely make some preparations and strengthen the foundation before the Asian financial crisis. Investment in facility construction—40% of the Japanese government’s aid loans to China should be used for infrastructure construction—strengthen negotiations with the Japanese government to increase as much as possible the amount of Japanese aid loans to China this year and next. Provincial highway network, railway network, and **** infrastructure construction.

All of these have naturally emerged after the Asian financial turmoil.

However, the political significance of the Japanese government's aid loans to China is relatively significant. Uukanshu.com is usually an important bargaining chip used by the Japanese Prime Minister to improve Sino-Japanese relations in the 1980s. Since the 1990s, in order to meet the needs of Japanese companies to enter the Chinese market on a large scale, the conditions for related loans have been gradually relaxed. It is also difficult for Xu Xueping to promote the success of investment in infrastructure in the province.

Even if you cannot obtain low-interest aid loans and obtain commercial loans from Japan, as long as the project is negotiated before the Japanese economy is affected in 1998, you can directly benefit from the Asian financial turmoil.

Of course, Zhang Ke is not without his own balance of interests.

Xiangxuehai will introduce new production lines and technologies this year and next year, and Xinguang Paper will also aggressively expand its paper production capacity this year and next year. Project finance on both sides will add up to nearly one billion. Zhang Ke tends to cooperate with Japanese and Korean companies. The technology and machinery manufacturing of Japanese and Korean companies in these two aspects are still worthy of trust, but only with the private influence of Xiangxuehai and Shinkong Paper, he wants to obtain commercial loans from Japan. With minimal sexuality, Zhang Ke wants Xiangxuehai and Xinguang Paper's projects to be a free rider in the province and become a sub-project of the province's package of projects. Nearly half of Xiangxuehai's shares are state-owned. Shin Kong Paper has planted large-scale forests in the upper and middle reaches of the Association and plans to build a large-scale pulp production base. Of course, there are reasons to enjoy some convenience. These are just part of Zhang Ke's entire plan.