Rebirth of the Wild Age

There are many experts discussing the "Iraq crisis" this month, which can be seen on TV, newspapers, magazines, and the Internet.

The mainstream view is that the United States wants to control oil and maintain its hegemony in the Middle East. In addition, there are all kinds of weird remarks, such as Bush Sr. has a grudge against Uncle Sa, and Bush Jr. will avenge his father after taking office, which makes people laugh and cry.

Of course, there are also some domestic economists who say that the United States launched the war to maintain the hegemony of the dollar, but this voice has not attracted the attention of the general public.

Song Weiyang wrote smoothly, needed data, and suddenly called Shen Si: "Send me the European and American financial data for the past two years, especially about the euro and the dollar."

Shen Si just finished the Lantern Festival in his hometown, and is packing his luggage, preparing to fly back to work tomorrow. After receiving Song Weiyang's call, she immediately took out the Shenzhou mobile hard drive from the suitcase, connected it to the computer, searched for a while, and sent the relevant official public data all over.

Shen Si carries several mobile hard drives with him anytime and anywhere, all of which are the information collected for Song Weiyang and the encrypted files of various companies under his umbrella. Of course, these are all backup contents, and they are not absolutely confidential. The files that really need to be kept secret are stored in the company’s computer without a network cable, and the paper files are locked in the safe.

As for the financial information in Europe and the United States, there is no need to go abroad to collect it. Some domestic institutions are doing research. Golden Bull Capital has sponsored economic research institutes in Hong Kong and mainland China, and receives a lot of research reports every year. Although there are few truly valuable reports, there are a lot of various data.

In fact, when the Iraqi issue became a big issue, the securities department of Taurus Capital had already started to place a small number of orders. After the United States expressed its attitude at the United Nations, Golden Bull Capital invested a lot of money to speculate in US dollar foreign exchange futures and oil futures. Many financial institutions planned to do this, but under Song Weiyang's instruction, Golden Bull Capital acted faster and more resolutely .

After Song Weiyang received the materials, he continued to write:

"Since October 2000, Iraq's crude oil exports to the United States have only been charged in euros. Immediately, Iran stated that it would reduce the dollar price of oil, Saudi Arabia withdrew 200 billion U.S. dollars from U.S. banks, and the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries hinted at 'removing the oil currency from The possibility of converting the U.S. dollar into the euro'. The above factors have caused a large amount of international capital to flow out of the United States and turn to Europe, and the exchange rate of the euro has risen rapidly..."

"In 2002, the foreign investment received by U.S. securities decreased by only US$560 billion from US$978 billion two years ago, and the inflow of foreign direct investment decreased from US$308 billion to US$14 billion. According to the statistics of the investor trust associations of EU countries, in 2002 The total amount of foreign stocks and bonds sold in 2019 was 4.9 billion euros, a record, of which 60% of the stocks and 70% of the bonds were US assets. That is to say, European investors are selling US securities like crazy, all originating from Iraq Abandoning dollar oil settlements, the dollar plummeted 22% against the euro last year..."

"If this continues, the international influence of the euro will increase year by year, and even replace the US dollar in important areas in some areas, such as: international crude oil settlement!"

Song Weiyang popularized the importance of the U.S. dollar and the fact that the U.S. sucks blood from the world by printing money. After writing this, he went to take a nap in the afternoon. He is not afraid of angering the United States, because some scholars in China have already said that Song Weiyang used public data. There has been a lot of quarrel in Europe. I don’t know how many EU scholars are exposing that EU governments are secretly supporting the anti-war movement because they also want to promote the euro.

The United States is attacking Iraq on the surface, but it is actually attacking the euro. Even if this war will cost trillions of dollars in military expenditures, the United States will still go to war recklessly. For the sake of the dollar, it must not fight!

Song Weiyang slept soundly in the afternoon, and his blog became lively. The number of views of this blog broke through 100,000 in less than an hour. Then there were all kinds of copy and paste by netizens, and it was forwarded to the whole network within half a day. Even the editors of some physical newspapers copied the article and planned to reprint it.

"Dr. Ma is still awesome. Now all the TV is talking about oil, and no one mentions the issue of the US dollar at all."

"Excellent. When Mr. Song said this, he explained all the reasons why the United States attacked Iraq. It just so happens that I graduated with a master's degree this year. Now I will change the direction of my thesis and write an analysis of the post-war world economy."

"Don't talk nonsense on the first floor. If you read more economic publications, you will know that some experts have raised the issue of the US dollar. Friends who want to speculate in foreign exchange futures can now start with US dollars. The exchange rate of the US dollar against the euro has plummeted by nearly two years. 30%, and it will definitely rise sharply in response to the battle.”

"How did Lao Song get these data? It looks so professional."

"As expected of being the richest man in China, his horizons are really broad enough. Other bosses are still focusing on the country, but Boss Song has already set his sights on the world."

"It makes sense for people to get rich, and ordinary people can't learn it."

"The United States is really disgusting. Its own economy is not good enough to print money and let people all over the world pay for the United States. What a big killer is it. It turns out that it is only because Iraq does not accept dollars when it sells oil."

"Hehe, what can't the United States do? Don't forget, a few years ago, they bombed our embassy and hit our plane!"

"Support Boss Song, we must expose the truth."

"I must read Boss Song's blog every day. Every article is the essence. It's a pity that Boss Song writes too few articles."

"Stop flattering the one in front. The essence of Song Weiyang's last blog post is just a few words, saying that he was hacked to death several times in "Legend". I can write 100 such articles a day .”

"There are a lot of sycophants here, no matter how comfortable you lick Song Weiyang, they won't give you a few cents."

"..."

This blog post attracted the attention of the Internet at this time, more because of Song Weiyang's status as the richest man. Because although the Iraqi issue is making a lot of noise, but there is no real war yet, maybe it will be mediated by the United Nations?

Until a month later, the war broke out, and the whole people immediately paid attention to it.

All the media in China are reporting on it, and even local newspapers like the Jinling Morning Post have snatched a "scoop" from major official media. There were also newspapers in the Jinling area who sent two "war reporters." They did not dare to go directly to Iraq, so they went to neighboring countries to conduct interviews and write a series of peripheral news about the war.

As for the official media, there are several special editions when they report, and CCTV reports 24/7, and many experts are invited to analyze and discuss. After the outbreak of the war, the ratings of CCTV 1 and 4 increased by 400% and 500% respectively, and the ratings of international news were 36% higher than that of CCTV during prime time, which was completely beyond everyone’s expectations.

At the same time, it also shows how much the common people pay attention to this war.

Song Weiyang's article was in line with the tone, so some experts who were too lazy to check the information by themselves cited various data and opinions. Some quoted and even mentioned Song Weiyang's name, and some didn't mention it at all. Anyway, Song Weiyang used international public data.

The "dollar theory" quickly overwhelmed the "oil theory" and became the mainstream point of view in domestic media analyzing the US-Iraq war, which was largely inspired by Song Weiyang's blog post. Of course, countless experts and scholars also helped Song Weiyang disperse the firepower, so that Lao Mei would not let Song Weiyang focus on him alone.

Major portal websites, including Sogou Blog, took the opportunity to invite scholars to write columns.

Those websites also made special topics on war. After clicking on the special report, Song Weiyang's blog post will always be in the most prominent position in the current commentary section. As a result, many netizens have changed their address to Song Weiyang, and all jokingly refer to him as "Teacher Song".

The simple title change means that netizens have changed their perception of Song Weiyang, and everyone no longer regards him simply as a businessman.

In the foreign exchange futures market, guys who planned to speculate on the rise in the exchange rate of the dollar against the euro quickly lost all their underwear.

In the first week of the war, as countless speculators were optimistic about the United States and the dollar, the exchange rate of the dollar against the euro rose by 2.3%. But in the second week, everyone felt that the war might not go well, and the exchange rate of the dollar (to the euro) fell by 1.47%. In the third week of the war, the U.S. military advanced to the vicinity of Baghdad, and the dollar exchange rate rose another 1.06%.

Such a situation has stimulated many investment institutions to continue spending a lot of money to buy the appreciation of the dollar. They believe that the dollar will go all the way up.

As a result, in the fourth week, the victory of the US military is imminent, and the uncertainties of the war have subsided. Everyone began to pay attention to the huge cost of Iraqi reconstruction and the huge deficit caused by the war in the United States, and the exchange rate of the US dollar began to fall slightly. And then there's the continued decline throughout the year because the U.S. economy is very sluggish. The chief economist of Morgan Stanley even predicted that in the next few years, the dollar will depreciate by 15% due to trade factors.

Song Weiyang may not know anything else, but he was in business in his previous life. He knew that since Iraq announced that it would use euros for oil settlements, even if the United States won the war, the depreciation of the dollar would not be able to stop the car. The central banks of many countries have reduced their holdings of U.S. dollar foreign exchange reserves and increased their reserves in euros, and some commodity transactions have also begun to be settled in euros (this phenomenon has not stopped because of the war, but it has increased year by year anyway). For the United States, Uncle Sa opened A very bad head, even death by a thousand cuts is not a pity.

Jinniu Capital and some investment institutions with super analysis and forecasting capabilities have made a lot of money by placing short orders on the US dollar exchange rate.

And countless investment institutions that predict the appreciation of the dollar can't cry. Including the netizen under Song Weiyang's blog who fooled others into speculating in dollars, he couldn't figure out why the dollar kept falling and falling when the war was won so cleanly? The U.S. dollar has continued to appreciate for a full ten years before. It stands to reason that as long as the disobedient Iraq is killed, the U.S. dollar will re-enter the appreciation period!

The stock market is risky, investment needs to be cautious, and the futures market is the same.