Rebirth of the Wild Age
630【Daydreaming】
Professor Lang is talking on the stage, expounding his main research results in recent years, that is, establishing a professional manager system for state-owned enterprises to prevent the loss of state-owned resources.
But the problem is that three-quarters of the participants in the audience are relatively successful private entrepreneurs. Why did he come to talk about this today?
Song Weiyang listened with a smile on his face the whole time. Brother Xiao Ma leaned over and said in a low voice, "Professor Lang is said to break but not build, and only asks questions but doesn't solve them, but what he said just now is very good."
"It's at a certain level, but it's too difficult to operate, and it will inevitably lead to chaos if it is implemented in an all-round way," Song Weiyang said.
Brother Xiaoma thought about it carefully, nodded and said, "That's true."
Song Weiyang said with a smile: "And he was not the first to put forward this point of view. As early as 2002, the central government promulgated the "2002-2005 National Talent Team Construction Planning Outline", which initially proposed to explore and formulate a qualification evaluation system for professional managers. The central government has long been aware of this problem and began to try to establish a relevant evaluation system. In the past two years, dozens of universities set up ebma classes at the same time. Do you think it came out of nowhere? The purpose of setting up EMBA classes in Chinese universities is to join After the WTO, China’s private enterprises will train elite backbones, and the second is to train professional managers for state-owned enterprises. Professor Lang’s speech today, the central government has already made preliminary attempts, so what’s new?”
Brother Xiao Ma was surprised: "You actually remember the general policy documents two years ago so clearly?"
"Of course I remember. Don't you usually watch "News Network" and "People's Daily?" Song Weiyang asked back.
Brother Xiaoma said, "I don't think so much."
"You hardly read it?" Song Weiyang asked.
"Almost." Little Ma smiled awkwardly.
In 2015, Wu Xiaobo said in an interview: "Whether it is Ma Xiaoyun or Xiao Ma, their publicity is much worse... This is related to the growth of the entire generation. Lao Liu , Wang Shitou’s volume is definitely much greater than that of Ma Xiaoyun, Ma Xiaoyun is a person who doesn’t study much, and Xiao Ma’s accumulation in the field of social science is also very low... When the entire microphone is handed over to them, they sometimes Too busy to choose words, don’t know what to express. They don’t pay enough attention to public topics, but they become opinion leaders. When a person becomes an opinion leader, people will ask him all public questions. What is his problem If you have to answer, then you will find that there must be a gap in the humanistic quality of this generation compared with the previous generation.”
Brother Xiao Ma realized this problem very early on and made some fools, but he soon learned to restrain himself and became more and more low-key.
Ma Xiaoyun is keen to be an opinion leader, so much so that the nonsense that 996 is a blessing was predicted by Wu Xiaobo in advance. As for the books that Ma Xiaoyun always carries in his bag when he goes out, those books are either martial arts or mysterious metaphysics books like Lao Zhuang. His social science cultural accumulation is really poor.
"Next, Mr. Song Weiyang is invited to speak on stage, and everyone applauds!"
The Entrepreneur Forum lasted for three days. The first day was to review the 20-year development history of Chinese companies, the second day was to discuss various difficulties faced by entrepreneurs, and the third day was a free discussion in small groups.
It was the second day at this time, Song Weiyang walked to the main podium amidst applause, coughed twice and said: "I basically agree with Professor Lang's speech just now, but the specific operation needs to be studied and discussed. Besides, I am the owner of a private enterprise, and the issue of state-owned enterprise reform is not in my turn." It’s up to me to talk too much, so I don’t want to talk too much about it. However, Professor Lang said that the real estate bubble in mainland China is too serious, and it will burst in at most ten years. Breaking, but don’t forget that China’s urbanization rate is still very low. Our migrant worker friends are now providing demographic dividends for China’s manufacturing industry, and they will also provide demographic dividends for China’s real estate in a few years. This is a very cruel reality. I sympathize with them very much, and I only hope that the real estate bosses will have a conscience in the future, at least not to cut corners in order to rush the construction period..."
There were at least 20 real estate owners present. When they heard Song Weiyang say that "China's urbanization rate is still very low", their clever minds immediately realized that they wanted to hug Song Weiyang and kiss him on the spot.
Song Weiyang continued: "I don't think there is any problem with China's economic shock this year, and Chinese companies don't have any difficulties. Now is the golden period for the development of China's manufacturing industry. If you can encounter difficulties during the golden period, it can only be said It’s your own problem. So I won’t discuss the current dilemma today, but let’s predict what kind of dilemma Chinese companies will face as a whole in five years’ time. Can anyone answer?”
"Boss Song, we are not gods. How can we guess what will happen five years from now? The most urgent thing is to solve the current problem." A boss said.
Everyone burst into laughter.
"Then I'll be a god for a while," Song Weiyang said with a smile, "There is no doubt that China has now become the world's factory, and the products made in China are being sold all over the world. This is also the foundation of China's rapid economic growth for three consecutive years. Reason. If this trend continues, after five years, the traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States will be washed away, the unemployment rate in Europe and the United States will rise rapidly, and the economies of Europe and the United States will experience continuous recession. What should the European and American people do if they have no money? "
"Ha ha ha ha!"
Everyone laughed wildly because the topic was so funny.
Has the traditional manufacturing industry in Europe and the United States been completely overwhelmed by China? European and American economies in full recession? Ordinary people in Europe and America can't afford Chinese goods? This is like a fairy tale, more like the ravings of a lunatic, which can make people laugh until their stomach hurts for several days.
Song Weiyang laughed with everyone, and said after laughing: "Last year, the Commercial Press translated and published a book, which is "World Economic Hegemony 1500-1990" by American economic historian Charles P. Kindleberger. Kindelberger Ge said meaningfully in the book that the most important thing for a country's economy is to be productive. Most of the economic hegemony in history have undergone a transition from productive to non-productive, which makes the economic hegemony country have another life cycle. Therefore, it is impossible to escape the fate of turning from prosperity to decline. Now the global manufacturing industry is frantically shifting to China, European and American manufacturing industries are bound to lose their market in globalization, non-high-tech products are at a price disadvantage, and the market is constantly being squeezed. European and American countries are losing their 'productivity', and the economic decline will happen sooner or later, and I think it will start to show up in five years. Professor Lang, do you believe my prediction?"
Professor Lang didn't expect Song Weiyang to ask him by name, and he smiled immediately: "I don't agree with this view. The transfer of European and American manufacturing industries to Asia stems from their own industrial upgrading. Take Nike's sports shoes as an example, the profit of a pair of shoes If there is 100 yuan, then the Chinese who are in charge of OEM production can only earn 1 yuan, and the remaining 99 yuan will be earned by Nike. To put it bluntly, we are working for Europe and the United States, and our productivity is the lowest. The productivity of European and American countries is higher, and European and American countries have not lost their productivity."
"The capitalists in Europe and the United States have not lost, but the common people in Europe and the United States have lost," Song Weiyang said. "If the traditional manufacturing industries in Europe and the United States are washed away, where will their common people make money? Are they all in the service business, or are they all in finance or high technology? When there are a large number of unemployed people in a country, and the unemployment rate rises year by year and cannot be lowered, then the country’s economic recession becomes inevitable.”
Professor Lang was thoughtful and didn't know how to refute for a moment. Because Song Weiyang's words are too many, professional economists don't know where to start complaining, but the core idea seems to be correct.
Song Weiyang said: "If you don't plan for the future, you can't plan for a moment. If you don't plan for the overall situation, you can't plan for a corner. We should not only see the general trend, but also predict and promote the general trend, so I would like to ask everyone to prepare as soon as possible. Five Two years later, the European and American economies began to decline, which will inevitably affect the export of Chinese goods. Then we have only three choices: first, let the country take the lead in expanding domestic demand, and you will jointly build the local market; The manufacturing industry is gradually shifting to mid-to-high-end products, vying for the market with mid-to-high-end products from Europe and the United States; thirdly, to deploy in the markets of the third world countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America, and sell Chinese products to every corner of the world. Thank you, my speech is over. As for everyone Believe it or not, listen or not, that is your own business. Goodbye! By the way, friends who want to test drive can go downstairs, and my Tesla is parked in the downstairs square for a test drive."
Song Weiyang directly chose Shenyin, instead of participating in the forum on the third day, he wandered around the special zone in deep thought.
When what he said was reported by major media, it aroused widespread discussion in Chinese society. There is no way, every sneeze of the richest man is news, not to mention Song Weiyang's speech is too unbelievable.
"China's richest man predicts that European and American economies will usher in a big recession in five years"
"Song Weiyang: European and American countries are losing productivity, and economic hegemony will end its life cycle"
"China, as the world's factory, will overwhelm traditional manufacturing in Europe and America within five years"
...
Most people listened to this as a joke, because it was so unbelievable that it completely broke through the imagination of Chinese people.
Not to mention saying such things in 2004, even in 2006, the Prophecy Post on Tianya Forum was hung up and laughed at for a long time. In the post, netizens predicted this way: In 2007, the Chang'e-1 probe was successfully launched around the moon; in the 2008 Olympic Games, China ranked second with 45 gold medals; Shenzhou 7 was successfully launched, and the astronauts walked out of the cabin; Three links; Beijing-Shanghai and Beijing-Guangzhou high-speed railways were put into operation in 2010, China's foreign exchange reserves reached 2 trillion US dollars, and China's GDP surpassed Germany to rank third... In 2013, a large number of domestic TV dramas were exported in China, and Hanfu became popular in China; in 2014, China The high-speed rail network has been preliminarily completed, and it will solve the economic constraints of insufficient railway transportation... In 2016, China's total GDP surpassed Japan's and ranked second in the world. China's per capita GDP exceeded 6,000 US dollars. The national urban population exceeded 60%, and the agricultural population was less than 40%. , China completed the transformation from an agricultural country to a post-industrial country. In the same year, the difference between rural and urban household registration was eliminated. In 2017, China's industrial upgrading was initially completed. Chinese companies transferred production lines to Africa, India, Southeast Asia, and Latin America. The proportion of China's local manufacturing gradually declined... "
Looking at it from the perspective of 2019, there are too many slots in this post. Why South Korea and North Korea formed a free economy, Loongson chips accounted for more than 10% of the international cpu market share, mobile phones were eliminated in 2018, handheld computers replaced mobile phones and desktop computers, and the penetration rate exceeded 80%, these contents are ridiculous In terms of mobile phones, this man's prediction is very accurate. The handheld computer he predicted is actually a smart phone, and the penetration rate is really far more than 80%.
But more predictions in the post were fulfilled by China ahead of schedule.
Especially in the world ranking of gdp, China just ranked fourth when posting, and ranked third in the second year of posting (2007). But the poster predicted that it would be ranked third in 2010. At that time, netizens from all walks of life ridiculed it in turn, thinking that China's gdp would not surpass Germany soon. As for predicting that China's gdp will surpass Japan's Benzene in 2016, that is daydreaming. However, China surpassed Japan's Benzene in the second year after surpassing Germany, eight years ahead of the forecast posted.
The current mainstream public opinion is that although China has become the factory of the world, it is only picking up what others have left. China is weak, China is very poor, and China is decades behind Europe and the United States!
Song Weiyang ran out and said those words, and everyone became mischievous again as the richest man. Some even ridiculed Song Weiyang for his brain becoming abnormal after he became rich. He only knew how to daydream all day long, completely divorced from China's actual national conditions, and completely unaware that the people at the bottom of China Everbright are still struggling to make a living.
But it is undeniable that Song Weiyang has become popular again, and his domestic popularity has become higher, and even the sales of the Shenzhou electronic products he endorsed have increased.
Some people ridiculed on the Internet that there are three strange things among Chinese entrepreneurs: Shi Yuzhu only knows how to squat at home and play games all day, Wang Shitou only thinks about where to climb mountains all day long, and Song Weiyang is talking big with his eyes closed all day long.
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