Rebirth Starts From 2006
Chapter 99 Tell me sooner
Looking at Qin Yu, who was at a loss at first, but thoughtful as more and more questions came up, Chen Yang shrugged slightly, held the teacup in front of him again, lifted it to his mouth, "My question That's all, the answer is in it."
Take a sip of tea, um, it's a bit cold,
Sure enough, it is not suitable to sit in the open air in winter.
Qin Yu kept in a thinking posture and remained silent for a long time.
After a long time, he slowly raised his head to look at Chen Yang, frowned slightly and said, "Mr. Chen has already thought about those issues just now? Moreover, do you think that a global crisis caused by the expansion of the US subprime debt risk Sexual financial crisis, sometime next year?!"
Chen Yang pursed his lips, looked at her and said with a smile, "On Black Monday, October 19, 1987, the global stock market plummeted from the Hang Seng Index, and a global stock market crash broke out. Common people know about the Asian financial crisis, according to the economic tide theory, every ten years, what will happen next year, 2007?"
Qin Yu fell into deep thought again,
Chen Yang continued, "Of course, it does not mean that there will be a financial crisis every ten years. The economic development system is improving, and the future cycle may become longer and longer. However, whether it is long or short, all There must be signs before a crisis occurs. The difference is that some people can detect it in advance, but most people are deeply trapped in the carnival before the crash.
Without the problems I just mentioned, nothing will happen next year, but when the subprime debt market attracts the entire Wall Street and makes them a lot of profits, and then they take the hot money and invest it in the major financial markets around the world. One after another, hidden dangers are constantly superimposed. As long as there is a problem in one of the nodes, there is no doubt that a chain reaction will inevitably be formed, causing the entire building to collapse. "
Qin Yu picked up the teacup and took a sip, completely unaware that the tea was cold, then raised his head to look at Chen Yang, with a slight arc of his mouth, "The cause of this bull market comes from policy easing and the influx of international hot money, which then formed a driving effect , causing a large amount of domestic social funds to rush into the stock market crazily, and at the peak, I judge that it will double the closing price of the day before yesterday, reaching more than 4,000 points!
I have not studied foreign economies, but it is an indisputable fact that the economies of major developed countries have fallen into a growth dilemma. I don’t need to say more about the hidden dangers of the US subprime mortgage market. Any rational person will know that the method of expanding risks is not advisable, but Wall Street They don’t talk rationally to anyone, they only care about whether they can generate profits, so once the subprime mortgage market explodes, Wall Street will drag the entire United States into the water, and the United States will drag the whole world into the water.”
Speaking of which, Qin Yu didn't continue to talk about the question Chen Yang raised just now, but looked at him and said, "Your so-called precondition is to rush to ship before the thunderstorm in the US subprime mortgage market?!"
Seeing Chen Yang smiling and nodding, Qin Yu raised his brows and asked puzzledly, "I'm curious, what is your reason for judging the timing of the thunderstorm in the subprime mortgage market? Don't tell me, you can pinch and count, I will I'm a staunch materialist who doesn't believe in that."
Chen Yang raised his head and laughed twice, looked at her and said with a smile, "If I'm a fortune teller, do I still need to find you to trade?!"
Qin Yu couldn't help laughing dumbfounded, "That's true, well, maybe your morality is not enough, can you only be considered big and not small?"
The corners of Chen Yang's mouth twitched slightly, "It's okay to read less fantasy and read more urban novels."
Qin Yu's eyes were suddenly dull, and he stared blankly at him. Is this a coincidence or intentional? I love to read online novels, but not many people know about it! Even if they can find out, those headhunters won't even write these things into the information, right? !
And the key is, are there any good-looking urban novels these days?
Closer to home,
Chen Yang continued, "As I said just now, there must be signs of any crisis outbreak.
Since the subprime mortgage market is laying mines this time, we only need to focus on the subprime mortgage market. My inference is that if one of the top ten subprime mortgage companies in the United States goes bankrupt, then the alarm bells have sounded , but secondary markets such as the subprime mortgage market and the general stock market are not a concept after all. Even if they don’t want to, Wall Street and the Federal Reserve will find ways to eliminate the impact, or in other words, delay the bigger crisis as much as possible, let them There is more preparation time, and this time period, my judgment is half a year!
Then, on the basis of this point in time, one to two months will be pushed forward, that is, the first large subprime mortgage company will go bankrupt, and after four to five months, it must withdraw from the stock market. "
Hearing this, Qin Yu narrowed his eyes, tilted his head and thought for a while, "Well, half a year is a relatively reasonable inference. No matter whether they decide to rescue the market immediately, the crisis will not erupt immediately. There must be a buffer time , three months, six months, or even a year, it is possible to act one to two months in advance, very reasonable,
It's a pity that even if the Federal Reserve takes all-out measures, it will not be able to completely eliminate the hidden dangers of the subprime mortgage market. Unless this type of transaction is completely cancelled, at least for now, it is impossible. On the basis of the subprime mortgage market, no one will touch this bad luck, and Wall Street will not agree before suffering enough. "
Chen Yang nodded, "That's the reason, so the crisis will definitely come, and withdrawing before the crisis comes is the precondition for my shipment."
Qin Yu took a deep breath, changed the subject suddenly, stared at him and said, "Then, you told me these things, you shouldn't just tell me the delivery date, right?!"
Chen Yang shrugged, looked at her and said with a smile, "A crisis is both a danger and an opportunity. If possible, I certainly hope to take a chance."
Qin Yu rolled his eyes and asked hesitantly, "Do you want to speculate in international stock index futures?"
Chen Yang spread his arms and said with a smile, "I think so, but it's a pity that there is a lack of a partner, a trustworthy partner!"
Speaking of this, Chen Yang's meaning is very clear,
But Qin Yu lowered his head unnaturally, and after pondering for two seconds, he raised his head and looked at him, "Why me? In fact, I have never traded any stock index futures, and all my previous achievements were in the stock market .”
Here's the problem again,
Chen Yang sighed imperceptibly. It was a bit presumptuous of him to find her rashly last time. If he had a little more time, he could actually make a few contacts first, at least it wouldn't make people feel too abrupt.
Facing Qin Yu's probing gaze, Chen Yang smiled, "Ayu, your question seems to have come back to the original point. I have already answered the same question last time. In fact, if there is no follow-up question on the phone last time, I would I want to observe you for a period of time before deciding whether to cooperate with you.
But since we have already talked about this, and your action this time makes me very satisfied, so I asked you to meet today and explain to you in advance, whether you want to cooperate or not, you can decide for yourself, "
Speaking of this, Chen Yang spread his hands and smiled, "I can't force you if you don't want to, it doesn't make sense, right? As for operating stock index futures, there are already clear goals, and the rest is nothing more than a technical problem , are you doubting your own skills?!"
Facing Chen Yang's calm gaze, Qin Yu felt a little relieved, secretly thought that he was thinking too much, and then smiled, "Thank you very much Mr. Chen for having such confidence in me, and I am also very interested in cooperating with you, but this time The action is no more than stock trading, the best place to work is abroad, and a team is needed, and I am still working, and I am still happy at work, so I need to think about it.”
"It's normal," Chen Yang nodded and said with a smile, "You don't need to rush to make a decision, our cooperation is only halfway through this time, and you still need to manage the rest of the shipment. After the shipment is completed, You can answer me again."
Hearing what he said, Qin Yu secretly heaved a sigh of relief. She was really worried that Chen Yang wanted her to make a decision as soon as possible. Since there is still about half a year left, it's easy to say. Moreover, she also needs to use this time to search for information. To verify Chen Yang's judgment just now,
But then she thought of something else, and looked at Chen Yang with a strange face, "Mr. Chen, you can't, you only found me as a candidate, right?"
Chen Yang curled his lips, and said with a wry smile, "I hope to find more, but it's just that I can work steadily in a team for eight years, and I can still be an assistant and stick to my job even though I have a trading performance. The secret person seems to be you alone, if you find someone else, I'm afraid of being tricked."
The corners of Qin Yu's mouth turned up immediately, huh huh, so that's the case, if you had said that earlier, wouldn't it be very reasonable.
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