Reborn as a tycoon in Hong Kong
Chapter 803 The consequences of change, try your best (two in one)
The Iran-Iraq war broke out and crude oil prices soared.
The Iran-Iraq war broke out on September 22, and the last trading day as of this Friday was October 24, a little more than a month ago.
In the past month, the price of crude oil has soared from less than US$14.5/barrel to US$22.67/barrel, an increase of more than 50%, reaching an increase of nearly 60%.
The original cost price of the US$5 billion capital belonging to Lin Baicheng was US$14.25/barrel, but after Vivien Kelly and others made a short-term difference, it became US$14.08/barrel. After the crude oil price rose sharply, they still made a short-term difference, and then another. Some profit.
After calculation, the average cost price of Lin Baicheng's 5 billion US dollars of funds is now 14.01 US dollars per barrel, which is equivalent to Vivien Kelly and others making more than 20 million US dollars in short-term profits.
During this period, you can earn more than 20 million US dollars from short-term trading, mainly because after the crude oil price rose sharply, more funds entered the crude oil futures market, the daily trading volume increased, and the amplitude also became larger. Therefore, They also have greater room for maneuver.
The cost is US$14.01/barrel, and the current price is US$22.67/barrel, an increase of US$8.66/barrel, or 61.813%. Multiplied by the operating capital of US$5 billion, the final profit is a little more than US$3.09 billion.
These are the current book profits. If you really want to liquidate at this time, the specific amount of money you can make depends on the price at the time of sale.
However, Lin Baicheng certainly will not let Vivien Kelly sell all at this time. He has already told Vivien Kelly not to ship until the price of crude oil is no higher than 30 US dollars per barrel.
Anyway, the cost is only about 14 US dollars. If there is a big change in history, so much profit now would be enough to cause a sharp drop in the price of crude oil. You just need to make some profit at most.
"Chairman, although the price of crude oil is still rising, the rise has slowed down. I believe that the price of crude oil can reach US$25/barrel, but exceed US$30/barrel, and it will exceed this price by a lot. I I’m worried that crude oil prices won’t go up by then.”
After a slight hesitation, Vivien Kelly expressed her judgment. After all, the final profit was related to her own bonus and that of the entire team.
Maori Haruko was next to her. This time, she rarely refuted or ridiculed Vivien Kelly, because in her heart, she still hoped that Vivien Kelly could convince Lin Baicheng. It is safe not to say that all the money is lost, but at least sell part of it to get the principal back first, so that there will be no risk in subsequent operations.
"Let's take another look. After the crude oil price reaches 25 US dollars per barrel, we will observe it for a few days. If there is a major adjustment and the short position is strong, it will not be too late to consider shipping at that time."
Lin Baicheng thought for a moment and said that he believed in Vivien Kelly's judgment, but he believed more in historical data. We will wait and see if the crude oil price can rise above US$30 per barrel.
"Chairman, we have already made a profit of 3 billion US dollars. When the oil price rises to 25 US dollars per barrel, we can still make hundreds of millions of dollars in profit. By then, we will have made enough profit by starting shipments."
Vivien Kelly thought for a while and continued: "There is a saying in our industry, which is not to make the last penny of profit."
"You have to wait until the crude oil price exceeds 30 US dollars/barrel before shipping. With our funds of more than 10 billion US dollars by then, the crude oil price must rise to at least 35 US dollars/barrel before our shipments will not affect the trend of oil prices. Otherwise, if we use such a large amount of funds to smash the market, the oil price will definitely turn from rising to falling, and in the end we will have to slowly sell it at a lower price."
When large orders worth tens of billions of dollars begin to be shipped, there must be corresponding funds to take over the orders, otherwise oil prices will not rise.
"Vivien, I understand what you mean. Just do as I say. I know what you mean."
Lin Baicheng nodded, but he did not explain anything and directly made the decision as his big boss. There was no way to talk about rebirth, and he was not a professional in finance. Therefore, rather than being ambiguous and causing Vivien Kelly to disagree, it would be better not to explain it directly.
"I understand, Chairman."
Vivien Kelly sighed secretly, hoping that Lin Baicheng was right this time.
After watching what he should see, Lin Baicheng left with Maori Haruko.
It was almost lunch time when he left, so Lin Baicheng simply took Maori Haruko to the restaurant for lunch.
In the afternoon, Lin Baicheng and Maori Haruko didn't go anywhere, they just made babies in their apartment in Manhattan.
The fact that Phil Smith was about to become a father gave Lin Baicheng some excitement. Having lived in two lifetimes, he also wanted to be a father soon.
Lin Baicheng wanted a lot today. Mao Li Haruko was naturally curious and asked the reason. Lin Baicheng didn't hide it from her. After Mao Li Haruko knew the reason, she naturally cooperated with him. She wanted a child more than Lin Baicheng, so that she could use the child to stabilize her by Lin Baicheng's side. status.
Now Lin Baicheng's reaction tells Maori Haruko that Lin Baicheng values children more than she thought. Then after she has a child, she will be more secure, which is a great thing for her.
The only bad thing was that Lin Baicheng's body was different from ordinary people's and it was not easy for women to get pregnant. It was not that easy for her to get pregnant.
…………
Monday.
Although Maori Haruko wanted to take a day off today and go back to Japan tomorrow, Lin Baicheng couldn't spare today to accompany her.
Lin Baicheng needs to go to Lady Liberty Broadcasting Company (SLBC).
Now that Liberty Broadcasting Company has acquired First Choice TV Station, the company's office has been moved to the TV station. After Lin Baicheng arrived at the TV station, he went to find Barry Diller in his office.
"President Diller!" "Director Allen!"
When they met, Lin Baicheng and Barry Diller shook hands.
"Director Allen, please take a seat here."
Barry Diller invited Lin Baicheng to sit down on the sofa. After a while, his secretary came in with coffee.
After the secretary left, Lin Baicheng said to Barry Diller: "President Diller, how has the company developed after acquiring the TV station?"
Barry Diller replied: "It has only been about a month since the company acquired the TV station. The integration has just been completed, so there is no development."
"The company has the final say now on the TV station, right?"
Lin Baicheng asked, not surprised by Barry Diller's answer. After all, as Barry Diller said, the TV station had only been acquired for about a month, and the integration alone took a lot of time. How could it still be done? Talk about development.
"Of course."
Barry Diller nodded immediately.
Lin Baicheng looked at him and said, "Are you paying attention to this year's general election?"
"In an election year, anyone who works in the media field will pay attention to it. Daily relevant reports are a feast for the media."
In an election year, you don’t have to worry about no one reading any coverage of the election, whether it’s in newspapers or on TV.
"It's good to have attention."
Lin Baicheng nodded: "Now we are about to enter November. It is only more than a month before the general election. The current election situation is getting more and more intense. As for the candidates of the two parties this year, I think it is Will President Carter be re-elected, or will Reagan win?"
"Director Allen, how did I know this?"
Barry Diller couldn't help but shake his head. Seeing Lin Baicheng staring at him, he had to say: "But, this is my personal opinion. Although the domestic economy has declined during Carter's presidential term in recent years, the weakness of Reagan's Elephant Party is even more obvious. , he is too old, he is already 70 years old this year, it is really hard to imagine whether he will have the energy to deal with state affairs after being elected, I think this is what most people think."
"Judging from the current election situation, Reagan is at a disadvantage. The age factor I just mentioned is the biggest reason."
Yes, as of now, between Reagan, the Elephant Party, and Carter, the Donkey Party, Reagan is clearly in a weak position. If Carter had not caused an obvious economic recession during his previous term, causing many people to lose their jobs, Reagan would have become the runner-up. .
Unlike now, even though Reagan was at a disadvantage, he still had a chance, even if it seemed slim.
"I am still very optimistic about Reagan. I believe he can defeat Carter and be elected as the next president."
Although Lin Baicheng didn't know how Reagan became the president when he was in a weak situation, history was like this. He could only pray that his rebirth did not change something and allow Reagan to become the next president according to history.
Otherwise, once Reagan does not become president, the impact will be too much.
Regardless of whether the presidential candidate will change in each future term, more importantly, whether the Red Soviet Union will disintegrate according to historical development, this is very important.
If Hongsu had not disintegrated according to historical development, then there would be a big question mark as to whether China could rise as expected.
As a result, in a chain reaction, the history in Lin Baicheng's memory will undergo earth-shaking changes, and the impact on him will be great.
Therefore, whether it is for current interests or future interests, Lin Baicheng hopes that Reagan can become the next president, and he is willing to do his best for this.
"That's what Director Allen said."
Barry Diller echoed indifferently, obviously he didn't agree with Lin Baicheng's point of view, but he didn't say it out loud.
"President Diller, I hope the TV station can support Reagan and report more of Reagan's speeches, etc. Do you understand what I mean?"
After a moment of silence, Lin Baicheng finally explained his purpose.
Barry Diller heard this and said: "Director Allen, if you do this, the few donkey party members who did not object to the Robin family selling the TV station to us will definitely be dissatisfied."
"The original agreement with them was not that the TV station could not support the Xiang Party, but that when those congressmen were running for election, our TV station supported them, right?" Lin Baicheng retorted.
"That's true, but what they want is for us to support the Donkey Party, at least not to turn against the Donkey Party. If we support the Elephant Party's Reagan candidacy, those Donkey Party congressmen will definitely be dissatisfied when they find out. But now Carter of the Donkey Party has the upper hand, and the Donkey Party is likely to be in power for the next four years. If we offend the Donkey Party, it will definitely not be easy for us in the next few years."
Barry Diller solemnly said that the company has not developed yet, and if it offends the powerful Donkey Party, the company's future development will definitely not go smoothly.
"President Diller, I have always been very supportive of people I like."
Looking at Barry Diller, Lin Bai said sincerely: "Just like I am optimistic about President Diller and believe that President Diller can develop the TV network, in terms of company management, I am very fond of President Diller. I am absolutely on your side, President Diller, on the board of directors.”
“I am always grateful for Director Allen’s support.”
Barry Diller immediately thanked Lin Baicheng. Lin Baicheng occupied four board seats. Without Lin Baicheng's support, he would not be able to hold the position of president and manage the company so easily. If Lin Baicheng suddenly stopped supporting him, he would be in big trouble. Someone from the other three companies might come out to snatch the company's management rights from him.
"Although Reagan's age is a disadvantage, he is very eloquent, and he has the support of Hollywood. A large number of media are on Reagan's side. We should really learn more from our colleagues in Hollywood."
"I believe Reagan will not let everyone down."
A smile appeared on Lin Baicheng's face: "Once Reagan succeeds in the election, I think it will be good for the development of our company, right?"
"Of course!"
Barry Diller nodded, but he thought that the prerequisite was that he could succeed in the election. Otherwise, if Carter was re-elected, he would offend the Donkey Party's companies and he would not be able to live well in the next few years.
But there is no way. Barry Diller must get the support of Lin Baicheng. He can't control whether the company's development will be hindered for the time being. Otherwise, if the company's management rights are taken away, no matter how good the company develops, it will not have much impact on him. relation.
As the company grows, it is true that Barry Diller's shares will increase in value, but he values the influence brought by managing the company more than the money worth of the shares.
"President Diller, I have always believed that under your leadership, the TV network we expected will definitely develop and grow to a point that others cannot ignore. You will also become a new generation of media leaders."
After a pause, Lin Baicheng said meaningfully: "I am just a foreigner after all!"
"Thank you Director Allen for your continued support. I will support Director Allen just like Director Allen supports me!"
Barry Diller suppressed the excitement in his heart. Of course he could hear the meaning of Lin Baicheng's words, which was that he would transfer part of the shares and director seats to him in the future to increase his voice, which was exactly what he wanted.
"I'll see."
After patting Barry Diller on the shoulder, Lin Baicheng left.
Lin Baicheng came to Liberty Broadcasting Company today to get the TV station to support Reagan. As for the company's various affairs, he would not ask about it. Barry Diller was the president, and he had never thought about letting Barry Diller become the president. A puppet.
If Barry Diller is really regarded as a puppet, with Barry Diller's ability, he will definitely not choose to cooperate with Lin Baicheng, then it will not be so easy for the TV network to develop.
Lin Baicheng has drawn a line for himself not to interfere in the daily affairs of the broadcasting company. However, it is a major decision of the company. When he and other directors intervene, they will not be resisted by Barry Diller.
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