Reborn Brazil as a Plutocrat
Chapter 417 High Risk Assessment
Alvin Rockefeller also fell into deep thought after hearing Marshall's words. Of course he knew about road construction. When it comes to whether there is money to be made from road construction, the answer is yes.
However, the income of this business is too single, and it requires heavy capital investment. The initial construction time may take three to five years, during which time no income will be seen at all.
And these consortiums know very well that the entire European aid plan is now planned according to four fiscal years.
In other words, when this highway is built, the European aid plan may come to an end. Everyone has no idea what Europe will be like by then.
More importantly, everyone understands that the European aid plan has a more important goal, which is to curb the infiltration and development of the Soviet Communist Party. Look at the various industries in the areas controlled by the Soviet Communist Party. Almost all of them have been nationalized.<
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Regardless of these large consortiums or individual capitalists, who would be willing to take such a big risk to make such a heavy capital investment? Maybe they will lose everything by then.
Now, most of the people participating in this plan are actually here for the country’s aid funds. In addition, they want to take advantage of the opportunity to bargain-hunt for some high-value industries in European countries.
As for a pure fixed asset project like a highway, once it is built, it is impossible to divest the investment. Once it is nationalized, all the money will be lost.
There is only one way to recoup investment from roads, and that is to obtain a highway franchise, which is generally speaking, the right to charge. The fees collected are used to repay the cost of road construction, maintenance, operation and labor expenses.
Therefore, generally such projects need to be led by state-owned capital, but now European countries obviously do not have the ability and funds to take the lead in restoring their domestic road transportation networks.
At this time, the emergence of the European aid plan obviously made many countries find a victim.
But it is obvious that the United States’ aid to Europe is not meant to be taken advantage of. The total amount of funds for the entire aid plan is only 13.1 billion U.S. dollars. When spread among so many countries in Europe, each country may only receive more than 1 billion U.S. dollars.
If this money is really used to build roads in Europe, it may be able to barely connect some major cities, and this is still assuming that the road foundation is already there.
But the funds for this aid plan need to be used to purchase technology, equipment and basic living supplies from the United States.
If you want to build roads, you can't purchase steel bars and cement directly from the United States! How much American capital can this involve? Don't say that American taxpayers won't agree, and even the consortium won't support it.
Rockefeller, who knew the situation in the United States, was certainly very aware of these situations, so he frowned when he heard Marshall raise this difficult problem.
He said directly:
"We are just providing assistance, how can we make it seem like we owe each other something?"
These words made Marshall look embarrassed. He glanced at Charles Morgan and said helplessly:
"These countries in Europe also understand that our aid is not actually free, so they are a bit open."
This look was immediately caught by Fang Lang. At this moment, he couldn't help but start to wonder whether all this was a trap set by the Morgan consortium to get him to stand up and take on this business.
After all, Rockefeller's appearance was obviously an accident.
Fang Lang is still unable to see clearly the conspiracy involved, but he knows very well that no matter what, it is impossible for any one company to undertake this business alone.
There are so many consortia that want to participate in the aid plan, and others have put forward conditions. We cannot let one family take over this mess, and let others go crazy and make money!
Thinking of this, Fang Lang glanced at Morgan and the others calmly, then slowly said:
"For this kind of project, governments of various countries can come forward and apply for loans from banks!
As long as these governments can provide suitable collateral, I believe it will not be a problem to raise funds to build infrastructure, right?"
These words made several members of the Morgan family frown. After all, of the several consortiums here, only the Morgan family relied on finance to make their fortunes. If we want to say that they can provide loans, it must be them.
But now they are obviously unwilling to make large investments in areas where they are still uncertain.
In fact, the reason why Fang Lang felt that there was a conspiracy but could not find out the specific problem was that he had the ability to see through the fog of history.
Able to know what the future history will be like.
But neither the financial groups nor the politicians in this period have full confidence in the current situation. Now, whether it is Turkey and Greece on the front line against the Soviet Communist Party, or other European countries, such as Germany, Italy, France, etc.<
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There are a large number of political parties and people who believe in the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in the country, and even parties established in several countries have become the largest local parties.
This is also the reason why the political situation in various countries was chaotic during this period.
As for the United States and the United Kingdom, as the boss and second child of capitalism, of course they must find ways to maintain the order of the capitalist world. This is why the United Kingdom is still trying its best to support Turkey and Greece even when it is in very difficult circumstances.
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Because they know very well that if the people of Turkey and Greece cannot have a better life under their social order, they will not hesitate to fall into the arms of the Soviet Communist Party.
Once Turkey and Greece fall, the whole of Europe will fall one after another like dominoes. This situation is absolutely unacceptable to the US and British governments that represent the interests of the big bourgeoisie and big landowners.
This is why the United States insists on advancing this European aid plan even though it knows that it may encounter strong backlash from the domestic public.
Even in history, when Marshall delivered a speech on the steps of Memorial Church in Harvard Yard, announcing that the United States was ready to help Europe recover, in order to avoid American newspapers paying attention to the speech, no American journalists were invited to the speech, and Truman also deliberately
A press conference was held on the same day to divert the attention of domestic media.
Fang Lang, who came from a later generation, knew very well that this European aid plan actually achieved his goal.
Of course, this plan is only one of the means to maintain the capitalist world order. It is already January 1947, and in March, Lao Du will deliver a speech at the joint meeting of the two houses of Congress, declaring: All countries in the world today
They are all faced with the choice of two different lifestyles.
This is also the announcement of the start of "Lao Du Doctrine", and also marks the official beginning of the confrontation between the two world hegemonisms.
People standing in the fog of history cannot see the future, but they can see the power of the Soviet Communist Party. Therefore, even the old and American people with their big guns have no absolute confidence that they will definitely be the victor.
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Therefore, everyone is strongly wary of this kind of total asset investment project in road transportation.
After the Lao Du Doctrine was officially implemented in Greece and Turkey, and the United States sent troops to successfully intervene in the Greek civil war and win victory, it slowly built up the confidence of these large consortiums and capitalists to fight against the Soviet Communist Party.
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As more and more victories were achieved, various consortiums and big capitalists finally believed that they could win the final victory, and their investment in European countries increased.
In other words, although these large consortiums and big capitalists have seen the huge benefits behind this European aid plan, they still have certain doubts about whether this plan will ultimately succeed.
Everyone's attention is now mainly focused on the US$13.1 billion in aid funds that the US government can provide. Therefore, major consortiums do not want to invest large sums of money in European countries now.
This is also the reason why preparations for the European aid plan had already begun, but were not implemented immediately. Instead, after the announcement of the "Lao Du Doctrine", with the support of the powerful military power of the United States, rehearsals were first conducted in Greece and Türkiye.
After both Greece and Turkey achieved victory, the entire aid plan was officially announced the following year and launched quickly, and this process was even more bloody and violent.
Almost all were carried out with the cooperation of the US military, which is why the United States will have nearly a thousand military bases around the world in later generations.
Of course, these are the specific directions for subsequent implementation. Although the various consortia are not absolutely sure, they are very clear about how much benefit this plan can bring.
With the temptation of such a huge benefit, the capitalists will try every means to promote the implementation of this plan. As for whether it will trigger a new world war, it is not what the capitalists should be concerned about.
After all, there is no need for them to fight in the war, but they can make another war fortune.
Therefore, this so-called European aid plan has never been a simple economic aid plan. It is a sugar-coating used to wrap cannonballs.
While European countries accept this assistance, they must also accept military intervention from the United States. Of course, this intervention is packaged under the cloak of a NATO ally.
Fang Lang even suspected that it was precisely because of this that Truman chose to appoint a five-star general as the civilian Secretary of State.
Now, the reason why everyone is hesitant about this type of infrastructure projects is due to risk assessment considerations.
Some people may also think that since they are not sure, they can put it aside for now! It will not be too late to wait until then. But in fact, before these large consortiums start to implement such a big plan, they must first make a good distribution of interests.
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Otherwise, by then, everyone will know that there is a lot of money to be made here, and everyone will swarm in the same direction, and it will be chaos, right?
And now the difficult problem raised by General Marshall is the hard nut that no one is willing to take on.
If these benefits are not distributed before the plan officially starts, everyone will only want to eat the meat and not chew the bones, which will inevitably affect the subsequent plan for everyone to make a fortune together.
This is why Marshall said this is a difficult problem.
Although Fang Lang's words made Morgan frown, it made Marshall's eyes light up. As a military strategist and politician, his goal is not whether the consortium can make money, or how much money it can make.
But whether his political ideals and ambitions can be realized, when he heard Fang Lang's words, he understood that there was room for control.
It's not that he doesn't understand such a simple truth, but he has already had a round of communication with the Morgan Consortium and other consortiums on this matter, but everyone is obviously unwilling to invest funds in it. This kind of effect is slow and the risk is huge.
Under asset project.
His uninvited visit today was because the Morgan family deliberately asked him to raise this issue in front of Fang Lang again to create pressure on Fang Lang.
After all, Fang Lang is now staring at his share of grain exports and only wants to get the maximum benefit from the entire plan, but has not paid enough. It is also time for him to understand that there is no free lunch in the world.
The reason why these big conglomerates can eat the fattest and biggest meat is because they also have to face the hardest bones to chew.
Unexpectedly, this guy casually said that it would be enough to let the governments of various countries take mortgage loans. What does he have to say? If there was not the risk of political instability, who doesn't know that roads can be built with loans and money can be made by tolling.
But the regime that believes in the Soviet Communist Party doesn’t care about you! All capitalists’ belongings will be confiscated directly! If the plan fails by then, this type of heavy asset investment will be a business that loses everything.
Even the Morgan family may be directly bankrupt and liquidated. Who dares to take such a risk?
"Governments of various countries are of course willing to provide appropriate collateral and are even willing to make appropriate concessions in other aspects such as the length of the franchise.
As long as road traffic in various countries can be restored as soon as possible, the local economic situation will definitely grow rapidly.
This is very important for the rapid recovery of the entire European economy, so I sincerely hope that all gentlemen can seriously consider it."
At this time, Marshall did not pay attention to Morgan's eyes, but quickly responded to Fang Lang's words. After all, he came here not only to help the Morgan family, but more importantly, he urgently needed to find a solution to the problem.
Everyone understands what he said, but at this time, no one is willing to take on this high-risk business.
Eli Morgan, who has always been close to Fang Lang, tilted his head towards Fang Lang and whispered:
"It's not that everyone doesn't know the importance of transportation, nor is it that everyone is unwilling to invest in road construction. The main reason is that the risks are too high. Take Greece now as an example. The Democratic Army of Greece formed last year has gone through several confrontations with government forces.
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Not only was it not eliminated, it became more and more powerful, and now has a team of nearly 30,000 people.
If, once the Democratic Army wins, all our early investment will be in vain."
After hearing what Eli Morgan said, Fang Lang said with some confusion:
"Have our troops not intervened yet?"
Fang Lang did not lower his voice. Everyone heard this and everyone looked at Fang Lang in surprise.
After Marshall heard this, he coughed slightly in embarrassment and said:
"Ahem...This is another country's internal affairs. How can we just send troops to interfere?"
Now it was Fang Lang's turn to be surprised. He quickly realized why everyone gave such a high risk assessment to road construction. It turned out that although Fatty Qiu from the UK had given a speech in the United States.
But at this time, Lao Du in the United States did not know whether Lao Duism had not yet thought of Lao Duism, or whether it was in the brewing stage.
In short, it is obvious that the United States has not yet begun to formulate the ideological concept of the world police in the future and start to dictate the internal affairs of countries around the world.
I have to save my face to some extent, and do not unscrupulously regard myself as the savior of the capitalist world.
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