Rewrite the Technological Landscape

Chapter 610 Macroeconomics

On September 12, Meng Qian set off for Yanjing to attend a very important economic meeting.

As of September 2009, the economies of many countries began to recover to varying degrees. Although from the perspective of God in the future, this recovery may need to be put in double quotation marks, but fundamentally speaking, many countries can at least get rid of the crisis. Two words.

So at this stage, all countries need to start adjusting their economic policies. If the stimulus plan during the financial crisis is still used, the common people all over the world will be driven crazy by inflation, and Huaxia is no exception.

This conference is attended by top domestic economists, and top entrepreneurs like Meng Qian also have the opportunity to participate. Of course, leaders are indispensable.

In fact, Meng Qian participated in an economic conference on how to deal with the financial crisis last year. Basically, these were the people. Originally, Meng Qian wanted to express something. After all, Meng Qian, like many people, felt that 40,000 The 100 million plan may be a bit radical.

But when Meng Qian really participated in this occasion and learned the truth of some things, he chose to close the microphone because he realized that he could not give better advice.

It was only after Meng Qian participated in this matter that he realized that since the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007, Huaxia has always insisted on the strategy of stabilizing prices and maintaining inflation rates. Unexpectedly, starting from December 2007, almost All developed countries have chosen a monetary policy that begins to release liquidity in the face of excess capacity, and it is a monetary policy that is directly directed to individuals.

This policy of developed countries has led to a sharp drop in foreign orders for countries like Huaxia.

Who would have thought that in a global financial crisis triggered by the subprime mortgage crisis, developed countries in the West chose to let the people borrow more money for consumption and make the people owe more debts to solve the problem.

But Western countries, especially the United States, have the capital to play this way, because the whole world pays for the Indian rice currency, but China does not have the capital to play this way, and only the Chinese people pay for the Indian currency.

Under such a background, if Huaxia must tighten the currency significantly in order to control prices, but if the currency is tightened substantially, the Huaxia economy will have a high risk of collapse under such external pressure.

So when Meng Qian was reborn and experienced all this in depth, he felt very helpless, and he further understood how terrible currency hegemony is.

Even if people are going to die, they can drag the whole world to be buried with them. It can be seen from this that the international status of Ruanmeibi must be improved, otherwise it will always be led by the nose. Currency hegemony is more worthy of attention than technological hegemony.

Now in 2009, the policy change in the United States has been mentioned before, that is, capital is pouring into high technology, and the rapid development of high technology in the United States has begun.

Huaxia also needs to change now. The most serious problems before it are overcapacity and idle capital.

At this moment when economic policies need to be changed, Meng Qian decided to speak up, because at this time he thought he could and should make some suggestions, "In my opinion, there are two problems before us now. One is excess capacity, especially in steel, which we have completely lost our ability to digest.

The second is that with the recovery of the economy and the softening of economic policies, a large number of assets need to find new investment directions. In the context of overcapacity in the traditional manufacturing industry, the situation I am most worried about now is that capital will surge. To real estate, and in fact, housing prices have indeed started to rise in the past two months.

Therefore, as a representative of a technology-intensive enterprise, my suggestion now is to let capital flow into technology-intensive industries, especially high-tech industries. "

The suggestion put forward by Meng Qian is actually very listenable to everyone. In fact, someone has proposed it in one lifetime, because it is indeed a good way to arrange the whereabouts of funds. Otherwise, the United States would not do this, and the country is not It really has to rely on raising housing prices to increase GDP. Who would not be happy if technology-intensive industries can boost GDP.

But the problem is that although everyone had such an idea in 2009, the Chinese high-tech industry at that time could not absorb the huge funds that would appear soon.

Moreover, at that time domestic high-tech companies were basically invested by the state, and few private companies were truly high-tech companies. Finally, there were a group of companies with potential, and their profitability was still unknown to everyone. No. 1 technology companies basically didn't make much money in 2009.

The premise of capital investment is to make money. They invest in real estate because they can make money, but they don’t know whether investing in high-tech can make money, and capital dare not enter the market easily.

But in this life, there are obviously some changes. The emergence of Dafeng Group has changed many things. The domestic high-tech industry has entered a period of rapid development ahead of schedule. To make money, although China's overall high-tech level is still far behind that of the United States, at least it is much better than the previous life.

Seeing everyone's silence, Meng Qian continued, "Letting money flow into the high-tech industry will not only give capital somewhere to invest, but also improve the technological level of our country, and technology-intensive industries can foster the cultivation of a large number of technical talents. The explosion of technical talents can increase the average income of national households, while suppressing the rise in housing prices can also make people's money more valuable.

I believe all experts know that a perfect economic ecology means that capital can be invested in healthy assets, and the people can spend wealth.

It may be possible to achieve such a goal by promoting capital investment in high-tech industries now. "

Meng Qian said before that he wanted to slow down the subsequent surge in housing prices. Some people think that Meng Qian is delusional, thinking that it is a price increase to remove inventory, so Meng Qian can't do anything, but don't forget that the price increase to remove inventory is only superficial after all. The real core issue is still a macroeconomic issue.

It is because ordinary people have no money to buy a house that there is a backlog of inventory. It is because the physical manufacturing industry continues to decline and the high-tech industry has not yet developed. Capital has nowhere to invest in real estate, which has become the best investment direction.

Why in 2019, the country was clearly and high-profilely promoting the development of high-tech while controlling housing prices under high pressure, and did not shy away from expressly expressing capital investment in high-tech industries.

Because at least the best investment target that everyone can see in the next ten or twenty years is the high-tech industry, and by 2019, Huaxia will have certain conditions to develop high-tech in an all-round way, so the money will start to go to the high-tech industry. Whether it can get out of a healthy macro-economy in the future, and whether Huaxia High-tech can cross the first hurdle after 2025 will be very important, but it is a pity that Meng Qian has no chance to see it.

However, although Meng Qian did not have the opportunity to see the development of his previous life, Meng Qian still felt very lucky, because he was able to try to make money flow into the high-tech industry in advance in 2009 in this world.

Of course, looking at it now, it is only a chance to put forward such an opinion, and a certain degree of housing price rise in front of us is definitely unstoppable, because time is here, even if the above approves Meng Qian's idea, from the outset It will take one or two years for the policy to be further promoted, and then to the adaptation of the company's capital. Therefore, the house price should rise in the early stage or it will rise, but the later stage depends on how far Meng Qian can win.

What Meng Qian will face next is all kinds of questions from the experts.

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