Simulation: Great Power Technology

Ye Zhou slept from the afternoon to two o'clock in the middle of the night. When he woke up, it was already a dark night outside.

He rubbed his head and got out of bed, first went out to take a look, and found that Ye Lan hadn't slept yet. At this time, he was crouching in front of the screen in the hall tossing her financial model.

"Why don't you sleep so late? Can you do it tomorrow?"

Ye Lan looked back at him, and replied indifferently:

"Sorry, I'm not sleepy. I haven't had classes during this time. It's okay to sleep late. Brother, look, this is the data I imported from the financial game around chip stocks some time ago. There is a conclusion, do you know what it is? "

"What is it?"

Ye Zhou poured himself a glass of water and sat on the sofa beside Ye Lan.

"The conclusion is that we were able to win this time, and it was actually very lucky. The total amount of funds we invested reached nearly 100 billion soft sister coins, but the other party in the final stage threw only more than 28 billion chips for smashing the market."

"However, under such a capital comparison, many stocks that were originally extremely strong are showing signs of being smashed, which shows that there is still a big gap between us and the other party in operation."

Ye Zhou nodded, then shook his head again.

"There is definitely a technical gap, but it's not accurate to say that we won by chance, because the capital investment of 100 billion you see is not because we only have 100 billion, but because we invested 100 billion enough."

"I believe that if the other party continues to resist, it is not surprising that the government will continue to invest another 100 billion in it."

After listening to Ye Zhou's words, Ye Lan sighed and replied:

"It's not unreasonable for you to say that, but in my opinion, it's actually not a good thing."

"Look, let me give you an example. Funds on the financial battlefield are equivalent to soldiers on the battlefield. We invested a thousand soldiers, but almost never beat the other's 300 soldiers. You think this will be a good thing. ?"

"And more importantly, there is no difference in equipment, physical strength, etc. in funds. The only reason for such a victory is that our only strategy is wrong."

"We didn't use the thousand soldiers well, and a lot of soldiers' lives were wasted."

Ye Zhou frowned, he knew Ye Lan was right.

On any battlefield, strategy and tactics are factors that can greatly affect the outcome. Taking the war at the beginning of the nation as an example, the reason why we were able to withstand the crushing advantage of the opponent's equipment was completely lost. After gaining air and sea dominance, they can still drive the opponent back to their hometown. In addition to the sacrifices of the soldiers, there is another most important reason.

That is our world's best light infantry tactics.

Or to be more specific, it is the three-three system in frontal conflicts, the fast maneuvering when the battlefield is transferred, and the night combat capability that does not rely on night vision equipment.

This super-advanced-level tactic, which is almost equal to a dimensionality reduction strike, has directly leveled the gap in equipment and logistics, making our side famous in one battle and standing at the pinnacle of the world's light infantry system.

The so-called special forces such as seals, sas, and deltas of later generations actually still have a big gap with the army of that year in terms of light infantry tactics.

After thinking for a moment, he asked:

"You're right...so you're trying to analyze their strategy and then use it for us?"

Ye Lan shook her head and replied:

"No, it's not realistic and it's not practical to take it directly. What I want is to find the key elements of their strategy, such as what they do when a certain indicator reaches a certain range."

"There are many indicators in financial transactions, and each indicator is an indirect reaction to market sentiment and the operation of funds behind it. If we can analyze the relationship between indicators and operations, and then solidify it, then we can predict the other party. operation, prepare in advance.”

"Even further, we can artificially create a certain indicator, and then make them think the conditions are ripe to step into our trap."

Ye Zhou had not studied economics systematically, so he was confused about these concepts proposed by Ye Lan, so he had to ask:

"Why don't you give me a concrete example? I don't really understand that."

Ye Lan pulled a piece of paper from one side, and then wrote and drew on it:

"Brother, look, I'll use the simplest example of trading volume per minute. When the other party was operating the Ziguang Group stock, 5 times out of 10, when the minute trading volume dropped below 2,000 lots, it would Start throwing chips at any cost, trying to use excess chips to open the daily limit.”

"Then the same is true for this Huaxing stock. When the minute trading volume is below 5,000 lots, they start to execute and sell, and the ratio is about 6 times out of 10."

"So, the high probability of minute trading volume is an indicator they use to judge, but I don't know what the judgment conditions are. To analyze it requires a huge amount of data and experiments, and eliminate them one by one. I'm not testing it."

"I've already ruled out dozens of them all night, and there are at least hundreds of conditions to be ruled out, and this is just an indicator of minute volume..."

There was a tired look on Ye Lan's face, but Ye Zhou was refreshed after hearing her words.

Isn't this an opportunity to experiment with the talent of the "planner" that has been delivered to your door? ?

Although he didn't know much about finance, as long as Ye Lan explained the internal logic to himself and figured out the source of each indicator, he should still be able to have a certain basis for judgment.

Thinking of this, he immediately said:

"You list all the indicators and conditions you want to measure, and then tell me the logic and principles, and I'll see if I can help you with your staff."

Ye Lan glanced at him suspiciously, and asked in disbelief:

"Brother, is it really okay? You're not a professional..."

"It's alright, one method can be used for all methods. Isn't your experiment exactly the same as the control variable method in our experiment? It's just some data experiments. Let's start, finish early and go to bed early!"

Ye Lan thought for a moment, and finally agreed with Ye Zhou's statement.

So, in this empty reception hall, Ye Lan started a popular science lecture on financial transactions.

From trading volume, to price, to moving average, to turnover, to boll, mike, se... Various indicators make Ye Zhou dizzy, but fortunately, the reason behind these indicators The logic is not complicated, and it is not too difficult for engineering students like Ye Zhou to understand.

After figuring out the principles of all the indicators, Ye Lan began to list the possible trigger conditions on the paper. Ye Zhou read the conditions she wrote, and combined her explanation to review the details of the opponent's operation at that time, trying to find out the opponent's operation. Actions are linked to these metrics.

Time passed by, and when Ye Lan pointed his finger at the turnover rate, Ye Zhou suddenly felt a move in his heart.

The urge to trigger the "Planner" talent in the simulator resurfaced.

Ye Zhou suddenly realized.

The so-called "planner" is actually a judgment based on intuition.

It is not without foundation, but after the analyst has understood all the principles, and based on these principles, the judgment is made directly across the analysis process.

It is like marching to fight a war. A general may not know how attacking a certain pass will lead to the creation of a huge fighter opportunity, but he just wants to fight and executes this goal resolutely.

In history, the most classic battlefield command case made by relying on such intuition is the four crossings of Chishui.

Ye Zhou put away his thoughts and pointed to the indicator of turnover rate and said:

"The turnover rate should be the key indicator. In addition, the trading volume and the average transaction amount are also included. I suggest you start with these three indicators and analyze them together. It is estimated that you can get the results quickly."

After hearing Ye Zhou's words, Ye Lan's eyes lit up.

"It seems so... Wait, I kind of want to understand, this time the fight happened when the stock has reached the daily limit, so the core factor is market confidence, the three indicators you mentioned are completely It is an intuitive reflection of market confidence!"

"Wait, I want to test it. According to this logic, the influence of these three indicators is linear, but the weights are different, so the scope of the test will be greatly reduced..."

Ye Lan was operating the computer talking to herself, completely putting aside Ye Zhou who had just given her advice. Ye Zhou didn't want to disturb her, so she could only turn around and go to the kitchen to prepare a late-night snack.

When he finished the midnight snack and brought it to Ye Lan, she was still immersed in the world of data and couldn't help herself. Ye Zhou shook his head and turned back to his room.

......

The next morning, Ye Zhou was woken up by an earth-shattering cheer. He quickly got up and ran outside the door, and Ye Lan ran towards him with a face full of excitement.

"Brother! It's true! It's really a combination of these three indicators! I've figured it out! Their operating strategies are always the same, and all transactions have only slight deviations!"

"I also analyzed their operations in other markets, you know? They use this logic in all their trades!"

"I guess they never changed it! They won't change in the future!"

"This Blackstone Fund, at least in this small field, they have no secrets! I have to continue the test to see how they operate in other areas, but, further down, the difficulty will be much less! "

Ye Lan's eyes were bloodshot, but her expression was full of excitement.

Ye Zhou gave her a distressed look, and then looked at the bowl of noodles he put on the table last night.

Still didn't move.

－－－－－－off topic－－－－－

12,000 in Chapter 5 today, and 10,000 starting tomorrow.

In the past two days, the code words have given my wrist code waste.