Soviet Union 1991

First update

The events in Germany further developed according to Yanayev's plan. Krenz incited people in East Germany to resist the policies of the Federal German government, while Merkel secretly assisted Krenz and used her political privileges to provide support for this "people" Opinion leaders" gave the green light to incite the masses, and at the same time used the power of the government to help him clear some obstacles so that Krenz could better become a leader of the East German people.

While the situation in Germany is developing in the direction planned by Yanayev, the UK has also entered the final voting stage of the referendum on leaving the EU. The whole of Europe is watching every move of the British people, including Yanayev. He is waiting for the final result tomorrow. Whether the UK chooses to leave the EU will greatly change the situation in Europe, and even the foreign policies of Western European countries will undergo a series of changes. Therefore, when the EU encounters an international economic crisis, the British's drastic measures may become the last straw that weakens the EU's recovery.

The UK and the EU have been at odds even during the EEC period. As early as 1960, the UK applied to join the European Economic Community, the predecessor of the EU, but was vetoed by French President Charles de Gaulle. Because he believes that Britain has always practiced a policy of "glorious isolation", Britain cannot be completely regarded as an ally in Europe.

In 1973, British Prime Minister Heath restarted negotiations to join the European Community and became a member. But in 1975, British Prime Minister Wilson held a referendum, and the result was that the United Kingdom decided to remain in the European Community.

Next year, British Prime Minister Tony Blair planned to join the European single currency euro, but was blocked by then Finance Minister Gordon Brown. But this may never have happened because of John Major's actions.

Prime Minister John Major recently submitted a referendum bill to the British House of Commons and will hold a Brexit referendum in the near future. This can also be regarded as Britain's revenge for the EU's unwillingness to save the EU. It has both advantages and disadvantages in leaving the big pit of Europe.

"Now the UK can issue its own independent currency, which is conducive to maintaining its export competitiveness and having an independent fiscal policy. But this makes it difficult for it to truly join the affairs of the European continent. Especially during the critical period of the European debt crisis, due to There are obvious differences in various interests, and this traditional power is gradually losing its status and participation rights in the EU," Ryzhkov said when analyzing the current situation in the UK to Yanayev.

"And there are also 'Eurosceptics' within the British Conservative Party. Not only that, but they also believe that the EU's internal policies have a negative effect on the EU, and that some future policy trends may also harm the interests of the UK. The spread of the economic crisis has not only affected the UK's Euroscepticism is fermenting rapidly and accelerating On the other hand, the EU's policies in recent years are ostensibly aimed at the development of the European economy, but in fact they are aimed at the British economy. I think the UK should also see clearly what the EU's actions are now. That’s why we are wavering between leaving the EU and staying in the EU.”

John Major is also aware that the EU is trying to weaken the competitiveness of the UK with its integrated economy. However, for the UK, they do not belong to the European continent to begin with, so they do not care much about the irreversible accidents caused by leaving the European economy. On the contrary, the recent situation in the EU has made them realize that it is time to make a decision.

Ryzhkov continued, “Correspondingly, people in other EU countries are becoming increasingly dissatisfied with the UK’s unreliability. They believe that the UK, as a member of the EU, has been negative in the process of integrating into the EU and has been playing a role of holding back. , it not only vetoes the euro, does not participate in the EU’s crisis rescue plan, and does not provide relief It has not contributed to the crisis and is opposed to all financial regulatory policies. Therefore, the UK's exit is a good thing for the development of the EU. The mutual trust between the two parties will be less hindered in the integration process. This is also the case. Why are France and Germany indifferent to the threat of Brexit?

“Polls show that the British Workers’ Party’s support has plummeted, and John Major’s Brexit referendum remarks may help it regain some of the votes flowing to the Independence Party that supports Brexit. Cameron also hopes to use this as a bargaining chip to negotiate with the European Union. The EU negotiated to obtain more favorable membership conditions for the UK, aiming to get a bigger share of the EU pie. However, it seems that Prime Minister Major’s wishful thinking has come to nothing, and the EU’s actions are really surprising.”

"Tomorrow is the day of their referendum, and I'm really looking forward to the unexpected ending."

The Volga River has formed a thick layer of ice. Yanayev stood by the river, looking at the mother river of Russia with some sadness. Ryzhkov next to him was wearing a thick windbreaker. He could not withstand the ravages of time in his first year.

"It's hard to say." Ryzhkov held his hand on the railing by the river and took a breath of hot air from his mouth, but it quickly dissipated in the cold winter air. He turned to Yanayev and said, "Whether it is staying in the EU or leaving the EU, doing so means that the EU will gain and lose. It will lose an economy with constant friction. Maybe it can develop better?"

The sky began to darken, and the street lamps along the river emitted dim, warm light one after another, illuminating the dark and narrow river embankment.

Yanayev said to himself, "But for us, Britain leaving the EU is the best outcome. Prime Minister Major miscalculated the time. If he had proposed a referendum earlier or later, it would not be better than What comes next will be worse." Yanayev remains optimistic about Britain's departure from the EU.

"What does this sentence mean?" Ryzhkov asked.

Yanayev's face was half hidden in the shadows, with only a rough outline showing. He turned his head and said to Ryzhkov, "Because of Scotland, such a major move to leave the EU will inevitably have an impact on Scotland. Don't forget The North Sea oil fields are in the hands of the Scots. What embarrassing situation will Scotland face if it loses the EU family? "

"But wouldn't this be equivalent to cutting off the Scots' path to independence?" Ryzhkov said he didn't know the Scots very well.

Yanayev corrected Ryzhkov, "It did not cut off their escape route, but stimulated the ambition of the Scots for independence. How many years have passed since Scotland shouted for independence, especially as the economy becomes increasingly poor every year?" There will be calls for independence at that time, and with the current poor economy and political turmoil, the Scots will never be willing to take advantage of this moment to make a fuss. Once the Prometheus fire of Scottish independence is ignited, Great Britain will fall from the European powers. A second-rate country in Europe.”

After a long silence, Ryzhkov asked, "So will they just give up?"

The wind on the Volga River began to become cold at night. Just like Europe now, it is facing a bad mess due to the economic downturn, and all national leaders are thinking about the way out. With the exception of the Soviet Union, almost all major European countries are struggling to find a way out of the economic downturn.

"Definitely not."

Yanayev replied to Ryzhkov very firmly, "If the problem could be solved by referendum alone, Ireland would not launch a war of independence in 1919, and the British Parliament would not send out troops to suppress it."

Ireland's independence came at a very delicate point in time. At that time, World War I had just ended and the great powers were preparing for an agreement to carve up the world. The impact of the war on the economy was unquestionable, and one of the leaders of the Irish independence movement The underlying trigger is also an economic issue.

If you look back at this period of history, you will be surprised that the development is very similar to the current situation in the UK.

Yanayev continued, "If the two moves of Britain and Germany go well, then there will be a very exciting political change, and this change has only one result, and that is that at least two of the major Western European countries will Collapse in this turmoil. Now there are several guys waiting for something to happen in Europe to share the fruits of their victory.”

Ryzhkov asked, "Is it just like us back then?"

"Yes, they will treat them the same way they treated us back then, unfortunate fellows."

Yanayev was right to give up the line of striving for hegemony. The Soviet Union's current policy of maintaining a comprehensive defense has prevented the United States from finding loopholes in its offensive, and has also allowed them to reduce funding for European countries. At the very least, he sees that Western European countries have become white-eyed wolves feeding on unfamiliar people.

“Now we just need to wait quietly for the referendum results.” (To be continued.)