Soviet Union 1991

Second update

Yanayev did not focus on the deal between Japan and the Soviet Union. Instead, he turned to the recent developments of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. As Yanayev expected, OPEC announced an oil production cut before the negotiations began. News, oil prices suddenly began to rise again. Behind this, of course, lies the ambition of Saudi Arabia and other countries to attack the Soviet Union.

OPEC's unscrupulousness is entirely due to the support of petrodollars. At least no country can escape this situation now. Yanayev wants to defeat Petroleum Export Organization on his own, which is no less difficult than challenging the West single-handedly.

Yanayev sighed, "Which country does OPEC have the broadest impact on? The answer is definitely not Europe and the United States. For them, such small-scale fluctuations are acceptable, but for a certain Asian country, production cuts It can be said to be a life-threatening situation. The country's wealth is so strong that it can still bear the losses caused by this destructive trick of killing one thousand enemies and losing one hundred, but I don't know if the Japanese economy can withstand such fluctuations. It is simply adding insult to injury. Oh no, it should be said to be a blow. and a dirty trick to contain the Soviet Union.”

Oil crises have occurred three times in history, especially the third oil crisis. After Iraq captured Kuwait in early August 1990, Iraq suffered international economic sanctions, which interrupted Iraq's crude oil supply, and international oil prices soared to a high of 42 US dollars. point. The economies of the United States and the United Kingdom fell into recession, and the global GDP growth rate fell below 2% in 1991. The International Energy Agency launched an emergency plan to put 2.5 million barrels of crude oil reserves on the market every day. OPEC, led by Saudi Arabia, also rapidly increased production, quickly stabilizing world oil prices.

For the United States, it is a wise choice to use fluctuations in oil prices to hit a country's economy.

What Yanayev should recognize most now is the current oil production problem. The proven reserves in the Middle East are 99.58 billion tons, accounting for 57.4% of the world's total proven reserves. Mainly concentrated in countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iran, Kuwait, Iraq, Qatar and Syria, the reserves of these countries reach 84.93 billion tons. The region's oil production accounts for .4% of the world's total production. A considerable number of these Middle East oil-producing countries are lackeys of the United States, and some are allies of the Soviet Union.

The cumulative proven oil reserves in North America are 29.76 billion tons, accounting for 17.2% of the world's total proven reserves. Among them, Canada's reserves are 24.5 billion tons, ranking second in the world after Saudi Arabia. But as Canada is the world's major crude oil producer, its main exporter is the United States. Canada produces three to more than four million barrels of crude oil per day, and more than two-thirds of it is exported to the United States. Billions of dollars in foreign exchange enter Canada through crude oil exports. Therefore, for the United States, the variables in the Middle East do not have much impact on their own oil imports.

In the Soviet Union, the cumulative proven oil reserves of the CIS countries are 1.06 billion tons, accounting for 6.11% of the world's total proven reserves, and their oil production is 490 million tons, accounting for 14.5% of the world's total production. Although Canada's reserves far exceed those of the Soviet Union, the Soviet Union's oil production ranks second in the world, second only to Saudi Arabia. From this point of view, the Soviet Union can be said to be the second Saudi Arabia. Since the Soviet Union's oil production has threatened Saudi Arabia's interests, it is reasonable to become the target of attack by the United States and OPEC countries.

The United States has begun to pull out two nails, Libya and Iraq, followed by two anti-American countries, Iran and Syria. The relationship between Iran and the Soviet Union only exists as a military alliance under the pressure of NATO, and its most important ally in the Middle East is That leaves Assad in Syria alone.

"I think our current situation in Syria is very dangerous. After all, he is the nail in the Middle East that the United States has always wanted to remove." Yanayev told Primakov, an expert on Middle East issues.

Primakov explained to Yanayev, "The Soviet Union has deployed military bases in Syria, so NATO has no excuse to directly attack Syria anyway. Then the most likely scenario is that they will incite domestic opposition forces to create momentum. Then Providing weapons to carry out a proxy war, but without the intervention of external forces, President Assad can still forcefully suppress the opposition and try to maintain a dangerous dynamic balance in Syria."

The oil-producing countries that can speak up have been pulled out by the United States one by one, and the rest are wolves standing in the American camp. Utilizing petrodollars is tantamount to allowing the United States and its minions to control the world with energy.

"If Syria and Iran also fall, what will be the consequences of the world oil price trend?" Yanayev asked this question almost knowingly.

Primakov's answer was very concise, "The Soviet Union's oil production was manipulated and squeezed out by the energy market, making it difficult to support the overall situation. Soon the Soviet Union will be squeezed out and there will be no way out. And the Far East Development Plan that has spent huge sums of money will also will fail."

It's a difficult situation again. Yanayev sighed. The United States had already noticed the Soviet Union's movements, so it had stepped up its efforts to eliminate all the Soviet allies. Perhaps Assad had not realized that he was in a dangerous balance.

"It's time for us to do something. We must remind Iran and Syria of the dangers they may face next. We are not sure where the United States' tricks are, but we must not bow to the evil forces of American imperialism."

Primakov volunteered to stand up at this time, "If possible, send me to Syria. Attending as a Soviet envoy can just cover up our plan. And I can also visit the following Soviet terrorist airports in Syria and remind them to be prepared for variables. Compared with Saddam, Assad is much more tactful."

Yanayev nodded and said with some worry, "This is the only way now."

"Also, if a war breaks out, does the Soviet Union need to intervene in this war?"

This is the most critical issue for Primakov, because he cannot guarantee whether the Soviet Union will take the opportunity to intervene if there is unrest in Syria in the future. And how deep the intervention is, Primakov also needs to get a reply from Yanaev.

"With Assad's consent, the Soviet Air Force can strike any armed forces that invade Syria." Yanayev gave a positive answer.

"Just tell Assad that the Soviet Union is willing to provide Syria with asylum free of charge." (To be continued.)8