Spark
Chapter 217 Go cut their leeks
Chen Nian's plan was actually very simple. He knew that since some things were bound to happen, he might as well intervene and make it happen ahead of time.
This is not without disadvantages, but under the premise that the sanctions have already shown signs, Chen Nian believes that this is the only opportunity to create a window period.
It is true that the detonation of the financial crisis, especially when the financial environment in the United States is worse than that of the previous life, will inevitably lead to more serious global inflation. Under such circumstances, the country will be affected by imported inflation.
However, the world Chen Nian is in now has an absolute advantage, that is, he has something in his hands.
As long as there is a link, you can develop technology at a speed that exceeds the laws of economic and technological development, create scientific and technological achievements, and use this technological achievement to reversely increase productivity, expand demand, and digest the negative impact caused by severe inflation.
In this way, even if the government responds to the crisis by "overdrafting potential" like in the previous life, the final result will be controllable.
Hot money will not flow into real estate, but will flow into those new technologies and new industries created by ourselves.
In particular, the long-tail effect brought about by the development of the field of construction machinery, the effect of Hurricane infrastructure will become more obvious.
At that time, the typical steel industry depression in the 2008 financial crisis may not happen at all
Not to mention the depression, in the environment of Daxing infrastructure, it is still a matter of whether steel is enough.
After all, even now, under the influence of increased arms export orders, increased aircraft production, and Deep Blue 16 and surrounding projects, the domestic steel market has shown a significant growth momentum.
At that time, how to develop more mines and smelt more iron is probably the real problem to be considered.
Thinking of this, Chen Nian let out a sigh of relief.
The direction is basically clear, so the next thing I have to do is to output the technology as soon as possible, and present all the key nodes required by the construction machinery in the form of documents.
Chen Nian bid farewell to Chen Guo, and after returning to his residence, he non-stop unfolded the white paper he had prepared long ago, and began to output technical achievements one by one based on the knowledge in his mind.
Needless to say, this is a tough job.
There are two roads ahead of him.
Or, no matter what is on your mind, write it all down and put it all on paper.
Or, it is to refine by yourself first, straighten out the logic, figure out the key points, and after evaluating the difficulty of each module and each link, write out the content of the key position.
The former requires a lot of highly repetitive work and is purely physical work.
The latter needs to add your own thinking, which actually doesn't save much time.
After comprehensive consideration, Chen Nian still chose the second path.
Although this path also cannot bring knowledge increments, nor will there be any source of income, but at least, it can exercise his logical thinking ability.
So, for a whole night, Chen Nian was struggling with the first equipment of the Yishan project.
It was not until the sky brightened and the sun rose that he finally completed the output of all key technologies of the heavy excavator WK-75.
This is already a simplified version that cannot be simplified any more.
But he believes that even with this version alone, XCMG should be able to reproduce this legendary heavy excavator perfectly.
After sorting out the documents that had piled up into a thick stack, Chen Nian finally breathed a sigh of relief.
He called Chen Guo and asked him to come over and take away the documents, then threw himself on the bed and fell asleep.
At this moment, the preparatory work for the Yishan project has officially begun
Shanghai.
After confirming the information provided by Chen Nian, Chen Feiyun couldn't calm down for a long time.
From those few pieces of limited information, he saw a major opportunity, and it could even be said that he saw the legendary "National Fortune".
The financial crisis is coming.
Moreover, once the financial crisis breaks out and is properly guided by one's own side, it will hurt the most the foundation of the entire US economic system, that is, their middle class.
After all, whether it is speculative real estate or CDS, it is not something that the bottom people who are struggling on the so-called "average level" can play with, and most of the real top 1% rich people will not get involved in this risky process. High investment method.
Only those middle-class people who have a certain economic strength but are seriously lacking in investment channels will participate in such a gamble in order to get a chance to get rich overnight.
They didn't think they were going to lose—maybe they did, but they really overestimated their abilities.
Their shallow prediction of the consequences will teach them a painful lesson.
Chen Feiyun stared closely at the screen in front of him. On the screen were the latest data on CDS and US housing prices that he had collected from various sources.
From these data, he tried to analyze a key node that could be exploited.
Now, the entire financial market is like a city wall. It seems extremely strong, but as long as the "stress concentration point" is found, the entire wall can be knocked down at a very small cost.
Where to start from.
Chen Feiyun's brain was running fast, ruling out one possibility after another.
First of all, it is absolutely impossible to directly attack the CDS market. As of September this year, the nominal holdings of CDS in the US market have reached a staggering 49.2 trillion.
With such a size, it is undoubtedly a dream to rely on one's own funds to control the entire market.
According to this logic, all the purely financial means that he is good at should be said to be ineffective.
Then, we can only start from the real economy.
The direction is very clear, that is, to reduce the overall price expectations in the US real estate market.
As long as the price of "real estate futures" falls, the spot price will also collapse accordingly.
The collapse of existing house prices will immediately lead to an increase in the default rate, and then trigger an avalanche effect, resulting in large-scale defaults.
But what to do?
Lower demand?
impossible.
Due to the particularity of subprime mortgages, the needs of most home buyers are so-called "rigid needs". It is not difficult to persuade them not to buy a house anymore, it should be said that it is almost impossible.
It is even more impossible for speculators. They participated in this market only when they saw the rising trend of housing prices. Now you go and tell them not to buy, lest housing prices rise too fast. Isn’t this trying to cover up?
policy?
Stop making trouble, now the U.S. government can't wait for housing prices to rise a bit higher to make up for the current fiscal gap. How could they cut off their arms at this time?
It is impossible for the demand to drop, and the policy will not change, so what about reducing the cost of real estate developers?
No, the real estate industry is a special industry, and the cost is not the main factor in determining the selling price. Even if the cost is really reduced, the only effect will be to make the real estate agent earn more.
For a moment, Chen Feiyun fell into confusion.
This feeling is like seeing the gold mine on the top of the mountain, but can't find the way up the mountain no matter what.
The only way he could see was to expand the housing supply.
But the question is, who will do this action?
Chen Feiyun suddenly had a flash of inspiration, and he thought of a possibility.
Perhaps, the time for domestic real estate developers to go overseas has indeed come
Two days later, inside the headquarters building of R\u0026F Properties.
Zhang Lilun sat in the boss chair behind the desk, drinking tea worth tens of thousands of yuan in a cheap enamel teacup with a leisurely expression, and said to Chen Feiyun in front of him:
"Professor Chen, what you said is not that I will not help you, but the problem is that there is really nothing we can do."
"As you know, the domestic real estate market is developing rapidly. Our company has made a lot of money every year relying on domestic investment."
"Now, you ask us to withdraw funds, abandon domestic projects, and invest in a market with higher risks, worse environment and stranger to us. Aren't you embarrassing people?"
"Besides, taking a step back, we have indeed considered the Americas strategy, but the problem is that we lack a suitable opportunity to enter the US market."
"Similarly, we also lack a...grab."
"If you want to hold a bowl to eat, at least the bowl must have a handle, otherwise, it is easy to be burned."
Chen Feiyun had long expected that the other party would say such a thing, he smiled and did not answer directly, but asked rhetorically:
"In your opinion, what is the development path of R\u0026F Group?"
"Continuously expand in the country, from residential buildings to commercial real estate, and constantly drive up real estate prices. Just like Li Ka-shing did in the past, he created various common areas, various property fees, and various spending money to cut common people's leeks?"
"Do you think this road can go on?"
"Maybe in a short period of time, you can indeed make money."
"But I want to remind you that some people will not only be nailed to the pillar of shame, but will also be punished by the queen."
"If you are really a visionary businessman, you should think about how to make your company survive in a healthy way."
Hearing Chen Feiyun's words, Zhang Lilun couldn't help frowning.
"Professor Chen, are you threatening me?"
"Isn't this a bit too much? I'm just a businessman, and all I do is to make some money. Are you so impatient?"
Chen Feiyun didn't take into account the provocative meaning in his words at all, but replied bluntly:
"It's not a threat, I'm just showing you a clear way."
"We know what you real estate developers want to do."
"A few years back, maybe we really can't do anything about you, but now, what I can tell you is: the wind direction has changed."
"In this wind, you only have two choices."
"Or, you do as we say."
"Or, you can play for a few more years, but I promise, you will put your name on me."
"you?"
Zhang Lilun looked at Chen Feiyun suspiciously, with contempt in his eyes.
In his opinion, no matter how prestigious Chen Feiyun is in China, he is just a "consultant" in the field of economics.
He may be able to influence the decision-making of the upper management to a certain extent, but how much influence?
In fact, everyone knows it well.
So, so what if you put your name on it?
What's the matter, do you still want to submit a copy to me in front of the leader?
Thinking of this, he said:
"Professor Chen, if you want to talk like this, then I have nothing to say."
"I can't accept such a threat. If there is nothing else, then I will see off the guests."
With that said, Zhang Lilun stood up and made a "please" gesture.
Chen Feiyun didn't say much, but walked out of the office straight away.
In fact, before coming, he had already made mental preparations in advance.
It must not be so easy to convince these real estate developers who live too comfortably in the country.
As Zhang Lilun said, the domestic market alone is enough for them to make a lot of money, so why bother to develop abroad?
Not only R\u0026F, but several real estate developers including Greenland and New World actually gave him the same reply.
Such a reply did not disappoint him, but excited him a little.
The truth has been explained clearly, and the pros and cons have been conveyed to you.
If you insist on going all the way to the dark, if you insist on planting leeks and cutting leeks, then don’t blame them when the leeks grow well, we will cut you off
Thinking this way, Chen Feiyun walked out of the building of R\u0026F Group, but what he didn't expect was that before he had time to go down the steps, Zhang Lilun behind him had already caught up.
"Professor Chen! Professor Chen!"
Zhang Lilun ran forward panting, and grabbed Chen Feiyun's arm.
"Professor Chen, I was wrong, sorry!"
"Give me a chance, give me another chance"
His expression was extremely humble, even a little frightened.
That kind of behavior is like a child who has made a mistake. Before the parents have time to react, he has already prepared the whip and stick, and he can't rest assured if the parents beat him up immediately.
Chen Feiyun looked at Zhang Lilun in surprise, and asked:
"Who did you call?"
Zhang Lilun hesitated for a moment, then replied:
"Boss Liu from Poly."
"I guess it is. Then why are you looking for me?"
"You know that Poly is involved, and you know that they are our guarantee. Do you think you still have hope?"
"To be honest, I was quite optimistic about you at first, but now, I can only say that I have no regrets."
After saying that, Chen Feiyun wanted to shake off Zhang Lilun's hand, and Zhang Lilun reacted quickly, he grabbed Chen Feiyun's sleeve, begged and said:
"Professor Chen, give me another chance!"
"What happened just now, just pretend it never happened!"
"It's my dog's brain that's broken, it's my short-sightedness!"
"Give us this chance, what Poly can do, we can do too!"
"Also, I know why you are looking for us. We are in contact with 555 Fulton. As long as you give us this opportunity, I promise that R\u0026F Group will purchase 555 Fulton at its own expense, as Poly's starting point!"
Hearing Zhang Lilun's words, Chen Feiyun's expression finally eased a bit.
It seems that this person is not stupid.
That's right, the reason why I approached R\u0026F Group was because of their relationship.
If they can win the American real estate company 555 Fulton through them, then the follow-up actions will be much simpler.
Pretending to hesitate for a moment, Chen Feiyun replied:
"There is a meeting next week, so you can come too. The address will be announced separately."
"Thank you! Thank you!"
Zhang Lilun kept shaking Chen Feiyun's hand until the latter got a little impatient, then he called his driver and sent Chen Feiyun away.
Sitting in the car, Chen Feiyun let out a sigh of relief, and finally put a smile on his face.
Don't you want to cut leeks?
It's boring to cut too much in the country.
Now, I give you a chance, go to America and cut their leeks.
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