Struggle in Russia

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Whether Menshikov wants to go to Turkey has nothing to do with Li Xiao, not to mention that Li Xiao doesn't care about Bulgaria's progress. In fact, he cares more about Bulgaria's situation than anyone else, because only he knows that Bulgaria will become an explosion in Europe. The fuse of the war, once Nicholas I made the decision to exert extreme pressure, the last and only choice for Turkey was to resist to the end.

Of course, saying this is a bit of a slap on the face of Turkey. If there is no behind-the-scenes support from Britain and France, they will probably still choose to surrender when facing the extreme pressure of Nicholas I. The sick man of the Near East was not in vain!

Once the war is detonated because of Bulgaria, Wallachia will inevitably become the frontline battlefield. It is conceivable that waiting for Wallachia at that time will not be a good thing.

So Li Xiao naturally pays special attention to the progress of Bulgaria. Almost every week, he will correspond with the old Igor to inquire about St. Petersburg's attitude towards Turkey, and then contact David Leboeuf to inquire about the latest developments in France.

But these are relatively passive, because even if Li Xiao knows, he can't change anything, and sometimes he even feels powerless because he knows the result clearly.

"Menshikov? The old eunuch?"

Alexey was also surprised by the latest news brought by Li Xiao, but he was surprised that Menshikov was able to get this opportunity. In his opinion, the status of the three-year-old eunuch has declined visible to the naked eye. , Why is it not his turn to deal with such important matters?

Li Xiao sighed, and said, "You think so because you don't know how much that uncle of mine likes that old eunuch, how could he fall out of favor!"

This statement is a bit arbitrary, because this judgment is entirely based on the conclusion drawn by Li Xiao based on history. In history, Menshikov went to Turkey with an ultimatum, and then single-handedly ruined Russia's last chance, which directly led to the outbreak of war. . After Britain and France declared war on Russia, faced with a messy situation, the old eunuch even went off to command the battle in person, and achieved certain results.

This shows how unique he is in Nicholas I's mind, but Li Xiao knows very well that this old man is definitely the one who can do bad things.

Why do you say that? Because as a plenipotentiary envoy, Menshikov has a lot of autonomy in his hands. If he can strengthen his principles and flexibility, it is very likely that there will be no Crimean War in history, because the Turkish Sultan first He chose to make a concession. It should be said that the concession is quite amazing. If Menshikov accepts it as soon as he sees it, it will be a successful diplomatic blackmail, which is worthy of special mention.

It's just that this guy doesn't understand what flexibility is at all, and in the end he insisted on carrying out Nicholas I's orders without compromise, forcing the Turks to have no way out, and finally had to start fighting.

In other words, if Menshikov had made different choices back then, the result might have been completely different. It is a pity that the old eunuch was too dull and messed up everything.

Li Xiao didn't think that Menshikov would improve in this time and space. In his opinion, the old eunuch was still the same as in history, and there would be no difference between this time and the last time.

So he told Alexei in frustration: "Be prepared to fight, I have a hunch that the war may break out as soon as this year!"

Alexey was shocked, because he didn't understand how Li Xiao came to this conclusion, because the current situation didn't look like a war, the Turks' knees were weak and their waists were weak. Just like Grandpa Neng. As for Britain and France, although the public opinion is relatively lively, even these public opinions dare not just shout and kill, okay?

From the analysis of many factors, it is very likely that Turkey will make concessions. The war will not break out so soon, right?

"Isn't it? Did the Turks eat gunpowder?"

Li Xiao sighed and said, "I don't know if they took gunpowder or not, but I know that my uncle must have taken gunpowder.

And Menshikov will definitely carry out all his will meticulously, so you understand! "

Seeing the look in Li Xiao's hand, Alexei was a little puzzled. He didn't know what he should know. Even if Nicholas I lost his mind because of greed, there is nothing to be afraid of the soft Turkey, right? As long as they act fast enough, they will teach the chickens a lesson before Britain and France support Turkey. At that time, at most Britain and France can help Turkey prop up a little fig leaf on the negotiating table, what else can they do?

Li Xiao sighed again and pointed to the report in his hand: "You have to pay attention to the movements of the Royal Navy's Mediterranean Fleet. Haven't you noticed that they have been circling the Aegean Sea? In addition, the French Navy in Toulon is also very active, the British and French I'm afraid it will come sooner than you think!"

Alexei frowned, and said: "It is true that the British and French navies are very powerful, and we are indeed not opponents, but we have an absolute advantage on land. Even if the Black Sea Fleet can't do anything to the Turks, we will still win on land! "

Alexey's point of view represents the general thinking of Russian nobles in this era. They always feel that they are very powerful on land, and the British are the same except for the Royal Navy.

But things are not that simple. The Russian army is far less powerful than the nobles imagined, and even bullying Turkey has no absolute advantage. In history, when the Crimean War just broke out, Turkey taught Russia a lesson and defeated the mighty Russian army first.

Then, as Britain and France gave Turkey a reassurance, when the battle entered a stalemate, it is true that the Russian army is stronger than the chickens, but under Turkey's human sea tactics that do not count casualties, whether it is Paskovich or Duke Mikhail They were all helpless, and did not achieve a decisive victory quickly.

Later, as Austria rebelled against the water, and the British and French navies directly wiped out the Black Sea Fleet and then landed in Crimea to besiege Sevastopol, the so-called self-confidence of the Russian army quickly became a big joke. If it weren't for the commander of the Anglo-French coalition forces being also a pig's head, it would be impossible for Sevastopol to persist for so long.

"I'm not as confident as you. Although the Turks are not strong, they are not something we can defeat quickly. We have played against them so many times before, which time did we win easily?"

Faced with Li Xiao's questioning, Alexei fell into deep thought. He was quite objective in this regard. After thinking about the N times of confrontation in history, he had to admit that Li Xiao's words made sense. It is not so easy to win against Turkey quickly. .

After thinking for a while, he asked, "This is indeed something to worry about, so what do you think we should do?"

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