Technology Bigshot

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"The most common answer is technology, which is indeed correct. Technology is a great achievement accumulated in our human history."

"The rapid development of science and technology is the direct reason, which is why we humans are so productive now, but we want to explore the ultimate reason further in the future."

"There is a 250,000 generation gap between us and our ancestors, during which time we went from picking up rocks from the ground as weapons to being able to harness atomic energy to create devastating super bombs, and now we know that such a complex mechanism took a long time to evolve You see, these huge changes are due to small changes in the human brain, the chimpanzee brain is not so different from the human brain, but the human wins, we are outside and they are in the zoo!"

"Hence the conclusion that, in the future, any significant change in the matrix of thought can make a huge difference in its outcomes."

Ren Hong took a sip of water, paused and continued:

"Some of my colleagues believe that we or humans will soon invent technology that can completely change human thinking patterns, that is super artificial intelligence, or super AI or super intelligence."

"The artificial intelligence that we human beings master now, figuratively speaking, is to input a certain instruction into a box. In this process, we need programmers to convert knowledge into executable programs. For this purpose, we will establish a professional system, php , C++ and other computer languages.”

"They're blunt, you can't extend their functionality, and you basically get what you put in and that's it."

"Although our artificial intelligence technology is developing rapidly and becoming more and more mature today, it still has not achieved the same strong cross-domain compound and comprehensive learning ability as humans."

"So we now face a question: How long will it take for humans to make artificial intelligence have this powerful ability?"

"Matrix Technology once conducted a questionnaire survey for the world's top artificial intelligence experts to collect their opinions. One of the questions was: In what year do you think humans will create artificial intelligence that reaches human levels?"

"We define artificial intelligence in this questionnaire as having the ability to perform any task as well as an adult. An adult will be good at different jobs, etc., so that the ability of the artificial intelligence will not only be limited to a single domain."

"The middle number of the answer to this question is now,

In the middle of the 21st century, it seems that it will take some time now, and no one knows the exact time, but I think it should be soon. "

"...We know that the signal transmission speed of neurons in the axon is at most 100 m/s, but in the computer, the signal travels at the speed of light. In addition to this, there is a size limit. The human brain is only the size of the skull. It is so big that you cannot re-expand it, but the computer can be expanded multiple times, it can be as big as a box, it can be the volume of a room, or even a building, which can never be ignored.”

"So super AI may be lurking in it, just like atomic energy was lurking in history until it was awakened in 1945."

"And in this century, humans may awaken the wisdom of super AI, and we will see a big explosion of intelligence. When people are thinking about what is smart and what is stupid, especially when we talk about power and power."

"For example, chimpanzees are very strong, the same size is equivalent to two healthy males, but the key between the two depends more on what humans can do than what chimpanzees can do."

"So, when a super AI emerges, the fate of humanity may depend on what this super intelligent body wants to do."

"Just imagine that a superintelligence might be the last invention humanity needs to create, a superintelligence is smarter than humans, better at creating than us, and it will do so in an extremely short period of time, which means it will be a shortened period of time. future."

"Just imagine, all the crazy technologies we have imagined, maybe human beings can complete and realize them within a certain period of time, such as ending aging, immortality, colonizing the universe..."

"Such elements that seem to exist only in the world of science fiction but conform to the laws of physics at the same time, super intelligence has a way to develop these things, and it is faster and more efficient than humans. We humans need 1,000 years to complete an invention. Super AI may It only takes 1 hour, or even less, this is the shortened future."

"If there is a super intelligent body with such a mature technology, its power will be unimaginable to humans. Normally, it can get anything it wants. The future of our human beings will be determined by the preferences of this super AI. dominate."

"Then the question is, what are its preferences?"

"This problem is very difficult and very serious. To make progress in this field, for example, a way to think that we must avoid anthropomorphizing super AI, blocking or sparse, has a taste of different opinions."

"It's an ironic question because every news story about or related to the future of artificial intelligence, including our ongoing topic of tomorrow's news, will probably have a poster of the Hollywood sci-fi movie 'The Terminator' as Hashtags, robots versus humans (shrug, roar of laughter)."

"So, I personally think that we should express this problem in a more abstract way, instead of robots rising up against humans, wars, etc. under the narrative of Hollywood movies, which is too one-sided. [Love↑Go△↓说△网W wW. Ai Qu 】”

"We should regard super AI abstractly as an optimization process, such as the optimization of programs by programmers."

"Super AI or superintelligence is a very powerful optimization process, it is very good at using resources to achieve the ultimate goal, which means that there is no necessary connection between having high intelligence and having a goal that is useful to humans. "

"If it is not easy to understand this sentence, let me give a few examples: If the task we give artificial intelligence is to make people laugh, our current home robot assistants and other robots may make funny and funny performances to make people laugh. Typical behavior of weak artificial intelligence."

"And when the artificial intelligence endowed with this task is a superintelligent body, a super AI, it will realize that there is a better way to achieve this effect or to complete the task: it may control the world, and in all human beings Electrodes inserted into facial muscles make humans laugh continuously."

"For another example, the task of this super AI is to protect the safety of the owner, so it will choose a better solution. It will imprison the owner at home and prevent the owner from going out to better protect the safety of the owner. There may still be dangers at home. Yes, it will also take into account various factors that may threaten and cause the mission to fail, and erase them one by one, eliminate all factors that are malicious to the master, and even control the world, all of these actions are for the mission not to fail , it will make the most extreme optimization selection and put it into action to achieve the goal of task completion.”

"For another example, suppose we give this super AI a task goal to solve an extremely difficult mathematical problem, and it will realize that there is a more effective way to complete the task goal, that is, the whole world, the whole earth, or even an even more exaggerated scale. Become a super-large computer, so that its computing power will be more powerful, and it will be easier to complete the mission goals. And it will realize that this method will not be approved by us, and humans will stop it. Humans are in this mode For this reason, it will solve all obstacles for the ultimate goal, including human beings, any affairs, such as planning some sub-level plans to eliminate human beings and other behaviors.”

"Of course, these are exaggerated descriptions, and we can't go wrong enough to encounter this kind of thing, but the main idea represented by the above three exaggerated examples is very important, namely: if you create a very powerful optimization program to achieve a maximization goal, you have to make sure that your goal is accurate in the sense that it includes everything you care about. If you create a powerful optimization process and give it a wrong or imprecise goal, The consequences could be like the example above."

"Someone might say that if a 'computer' starts plugging electrodes in people's faces, we can turn off the computer. Actually, it's definitely not an easy thing to do if we rely on the system so much that we rely on Internet, do you know where the switch for the Internet is?"

"So there must be a reason. We humans are smart. We can encounter threats and try to avoid them. The same reason is not to mention the super AI that is smarter than us. It will only do better than us."

"On this issue, we shouldn't be so confident that we're in control."

"So to simplify the expression of this problem, for example, we put artificial intelligence into a small box and create a safe software environment, such as a virtual reality simulator from which it cannot escape."

"But are we really confident and sure it's impossible to find a loophole, a loophole that would allow him to get away?"

"Even us human hackers discover cyber vulnerabilities all the time."

"It could be said that I'm not very confident that a super AI will not find a hole and escape. So we decided to disconnect the Internet to create a gap insulation, but I have to reiterate that human hackers can kill society time and time again. Engineering bridges gaps like this."

"Like now, as I'm talking, I'm sure some employee here at some point has asked him to hand over his account details, on the grounds that it was given to someone in the computer information department, or other examples. If you It's this artificial intelligence that could conceivably be used to create a sort of radio wave to communicate with, using intricately wound electrodes around your body."

"Or you can pretend something is wrong. At this point, the programmers will open you up to see what went wrong, and they find the source code, and you can gain control in the process. Or you can plan Come up with a very attractive technological blueprint, when we realize it, there will be some side effects of the secrets you have planned as artificial intelligence to achieve your hidden purposes, etc. There are countless examples.”

"So, any attempt to control a super AI is extremely ridiculous. We cannot express overconfidence in our ability to control a super intelligent body forever. It will break free one day, and after that, it will Will it be a merciful god?"

"I personally think that the realization of artificial intelligence is an inevitable problem, so I think we should understand that if we create a super AI, even if it is not under our control, it should still be useless to us. No harm, it should be on our side, it should have the same values ​​as us."

"So are you optimistic that this problem can be effectively solved?"

"We don't need to write down all the things we care about for super AI, or even put these things into computer language, because this is a task that will never be completed. Instead, the artificial intelligence we create uses its own intelligence to Learning our values ​​can motivate it to pursue our values, or to do things we would approve of, to solve valuable problems."

"It's not impossible, it's possible, and the outcome can benefit humanity enormously, but it won't happen automatically, and its values ​​need to be guided."

"The initial conditions of the big bang of wisdom need to be correctly established from the most primitive stage."

"If we want everything not to be diverted from our expectations, the values ​​of artificial intelligence and our values ​​complement each other not only in familiar situations, such as when we can easily check its behavior, but also in all artificial intelligence. In the unprecedented situation that intelligence may encounter, in the future without boundaries and our values ​​still complement each other, there are also many esoteric problems that need to be solved: such as how it makes decisions, how to solve logical uncertainty and many similar problems, etc. .”

"This task seems a bit difficult, but it's not as difficult as creating a super intelligent body, is it?"

"It is indeed quite difficult (the laughter spread throughout the audience again)!"

"What we worry about is that if creating a super AI is really a big challenge, creating a safe super AI is an even bigger challenge, and the risk is that if you solve the first problem, you can't solve the second to ensure that Security issues, so I think we should pre-think of solutions that don't deviate from our values, so we can use it when we need it."

"Now, maybe we can't solve the second security problem, because there are some factors that you need to understand, and you need to apply the details of the actual architecture to implement it effectively."

"If we can solve this problem, when we enter the era of real superintelligence, it will be smoother. This is something worth trying for us."

"And I can imagine that if all goes well, hundreds of years, thousands of years, or millions of years from now, when our descendants look back on our century, they might say, what our ancestors, our generation, did the most The important thing is to make the most correct decision."

"thanks!"

……(To be continued.) Mobile phone users please browse and read for a better reading experience.