The Greatest Showman

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From Best Picture in a Drama Series and Best Picture in a Musical Comedy to Best Actor in a Drama Series... Harvey Weinstein's summary and predictions for the first stage of awards season are completely correct, and he has 100% grasped the Academy The trend of public relations has once again demonstrated his precise control of the awards season.

So what about Renly?

What about Renly, whom Harvey sees as a thorn in the eye?

In the battle for the best actor in the musical comedy category, "Boom Drummer" still failed to win a Golden Globe for Renly The self-deprecating Michael Keaton made a strong attack, intercepted Hu Renli halfway, and won the first important acting trophy of his career.

Not only was Harvey's prediction accurate, but his rival Renly also stumbled, watching Keaton complete the go-ahead and take the sure-footed Golden Globe trophy into his arms——

Although it is said that for the current Renly, a Golden Globe trophy has no meaning at all; but from another perspective, Renly, who has swept the world and is invincible, has never been able to achieve a breakthrough in the Golden Globes. It can be said that An interesting microcosm of Hollywood. The contradictions and disputes hidden in it are precisely the gaps that Harvey is making full use of, which may become another hint of the trend of this year's awards season.

Keaton's surprise win and Renly's snub, these two contenders really stole all the spotlight, so much so that Joaquin Phoenix of "Inherently Evil" and Ralph Fiennes of "The Grand Budapest Hotel" , Bill Murray of "Saint Vincent" and other three nominees were completely reduced to foils, and not many people mentioned them.

This is a major turning point for the entire awards season process.

Keaton's victory once again reshuffled the battle for best actor. After defeating Renly to top the Golden Globe, he also sprinted to the front of the leader; while Eddie, who was originally neck-to-neck with Renly, successfully won the drama male lead trophy. When I took it into my arms, the situation of the second stage of the battle for the best actor also changed——

The tendency to focus on Keaton is clear. Thirty years of experience in the industry, experienced peaks and troughs, conscientiously polished himself in the film and drama circles, and then reappeared in front of everyone as a self-deprecating and self-deprecating "Birdman", telling entertainment in a semi-autobiographical nature The troubles and rise and fall of the industry.

In all respects, "Birdman" has hit the excitement of the academy judges, and even went further than the "artist" of the year. The overall momentum is already catching up with "Boyhood" and "The Grand Budapest Hotel", plus With Keaton's personal charisma, as well as the inclination of credit votes and guilt votes, Keaton's voice for the best actor has faintly overshadowed Renly, and he is neck and neck with another competitor, Eddie, and stands in the leading position hand in hand.

Still, Renly was not left behind.

In terms of strength, credit, ability, charm, popularity... Even in terms of guilt votes, Renly is not inferior - especially after the Golden Globes ignored Renly again, and the "Boom Drummer" was praised as It is the best of Renly's career, and the strong influence created by absolute strength is still not to be underestimated, which also makes Renly still in the first group, slightly behind Eddie and Keaton, but basically the same. Regardless of Xuanlin, the three actors are now the frontrunners in the final battle of Oscar winners.

If you add competitors such as Benedict Cumberbatch, Jake Gyllenhaal, Joaquin Phoenix, Ralph Fiennes, Steve Carell, etc., this year's best actor competition The battle is truly hailed as the strongest matchup in the new century, surpassing the sparkling collision of Sean Penn, Mickey Rourke, and Brad Pitt in 2008, and surpassing Daniel Day-Lewis, Jay C. The 2012 matchup between Quinn Phoenix and Renly Hall was full of countless possibilities before reaching the finish line, and no one could say early on what would happen in the second stage.

Compared with male actors, the competition for actresses is a downright young year this year, and the overall pattern has been basically determined early on.

Best Actress in a Drama Series, Julianne Moore has almost no suspense to reach the top with "Still Alice". In terms of strength, this is indeed one of the best performances this year; in terms of credit and guilt, it is one of the three best performances in Europe. Julianne Moore, who has completed the Grand Slam of the Film Festival, has been with her in North America for 18 years. All the previous four nominations have failed. Is there any reason not to choose her? This should be her coronation ceremony.

Rosamund-pike of "Gone Love", Felicity Jones of "The Theory of Everything", Reese Witherspoon of "Into the Wild", Jennifer Anne of "Cake" Ston, all can only accompany you to run.

It is worth mentioning that Jennifer Aniston has been in the comedy field for many years, but this year, she relied on the small-budget independent film "Cake" to fight her way, and won her first-ever drama performance nomination. Going a step further at the Oscars is also a big talking point.

In addition, Rosamund Pike, who has received numerous accolades for her "Gone Lover", was born with solid and tough acting skills, and her winning voice continued to soar. She should be the only actor who can attack Julianne Moore. Now - as for Felicity, the whole focus of The Theory of Everything is on Eddie Redmayne, and Harvey's PR focus is also on Eddie, not spending much energy on the actress , a nomination is a victory.

But overall, this should be one of the least suspenseful awards this year, and the impact of Rosamund is real

Limited, not only the Golden Globes, but even the Oscars, Julianne's momentum is far ahead, and there shouldn't be too many surprises in the second stage.

Best Actress in a Musical Comedy, Amy Adams took home the Golden Globes for "Big Eyes" -- last year for "American Hustle."

However, compared to the leading actor department and the best film in the musical comedy category, the competition for this award is not much to watch, because all the strong seeded players in the musical comedy category this year are big male lead roles, and the actresses do not have much room to play. , even the nomination list appears unsatisfactory.

Emily Blunt of "Magic Black Forest", Quvenzanne Wallis of "Annie: Romance of New York", Helen Mirren of "Michelin Love", Julianne Moore of "Star Chart", respectively are four other nominees.

Except for Julianne, who was nominated for two actresses and actresses, who could create some threats, Amy Adams hardly encountered any challenges, because the other three nominations were more like making up the numbers, and their overall strength was far from being worth performing, let alone. To say that the work itself is already a disaster.

To be precise, even Amy, her performance this year is far from outstanding, and more of a taller than a short one.

Obviously, in stark contrast to the hundreds of flowers in the male protagonist department, the heroine department is basically Julianne's best.

However, the supporting role department still gave some surprises. The competition between male actors and actresses is very fierce, and at the same time, the leading advantages are relatively obvious.

Best Supporting Actor, "Boyhood" Ethan Hawke, "Foxcatcher" Mark Ruffalo, "Birdman" Edward Norton and "Daddy Judge" Robert Duvall, all of them Competitiveness, especially the top three, are potential winners that cannot be ignored from work to strength, but in the end they all lost to jk-simmons of "Boom Drummer".

Best Supporting Actress, Keira Knightley for "The Imitation Game," Emma Stone for "Birdman," Meryl Streep for "Black Forest," and "Year of the Storm" Jessica Chastain, they also have a good competitiveness and have the impact of winning, but Patricia-arquette of "Boyhood" still won easily.

The common point of the two award departments is that the overall competition pattern has been initially formed, the works and strengths have been affirmed, and the first group has been relatively stable; but in the first group, the trend of voice and support has once again formed a gap, jk - Simmons and Patricia Arquette have now loomed at the top of the pack, and the upward momentum is accelerating, gradually increasing the distance between them and the other candidates for the nomination.

Of course, there are still many variables in the second stage, and everything is possible until the Oscars reveal the answer, but from the current situation, these two awards are like the best actress department, lacking more suspense and lack of more There are many waves, and it is difficult for the overall trend to turn around.

If this is the case, then all the focus of the performance department will be on the best actor, the competition for the best actor will reach an unprecedented height, and the academy public relations of major film companies will do their best. It is bound to be a bloody and violent Shura field.

From the point of view of the awards ceremony, the academy definitely does not want to see such a situation. So, will they add more waves for the sake of discussion and attention, and make some movements in the other three awards? Will any film company seize such an opportunity to create more storms and break the overall balance of the second stage?

Everything is possible!

Even Julianne Moore still doesn't dare to take it lightly - the company responsible for the release of "Still Alice" is a Sony classic, how to balance its public relations power, and seek more possibilities in the second stage, firmly grasp the existing advantage, which will also be an important subject for Sony classics.

It must be known that Sony Classics is facing the encirclement and suppression of film companies such as Focus Pictures, Weinstein Pictures, Fox Searchlight, Warner Bros., etc. In addition, there are many small independent distribution companies that are eyeing, Sony Classics can Never dare to be arrogant and think that the victory is guaranteed.

The most direct proof is that the Golden Globes have divided the cake again, and Fox Searchlight firmly seized the opportunity and took the Best Screenplay Award in the midst of a melee, which also means that the main awards of the Golden Globes Once again, once again, it belongs to many different films.

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