The leisurely life of rebirth

When the four people at the front and back tables heard that the old man was talking like this, it seemed that it was impossible not to say it! He had to say a few words anyway.

"Isn't the economic crisis a product of capitalism?" A middle-aged man in his forties sitting side by side with Father Fang said bravely. "Our country will not have an economic crisis like Japan's."

Someone started, and others naturally chimed in. Father Fang frowned and shook his head slightly.

The old man listened to their words and found nothing new. He gradually put down the pen in his hand and paid careful attention to everyone. When he saw Father Fang's expression, he said, "Looking at the little comrade, I don't agree with what they said."

Father Fang was directly called out, but he couldn't escape, so he had to move his buttocks, sit up straight, smile and cup his hands, "Then I'll just talk about it casually, you are all seniors, please correct me if I'm wrong."

Father Fang’s attitude was very low.[

The others were stunned and looked at the first person to speak. They thought that Father Fang was really brave. He didn’t mention the speaker’s background. Just talk about the big Buddha sitting behind him. Who knows what his background is?

When discussing with the other party, if this is an economic authority, isn’t it just a trick? At this time, there is absolutely nothing wrong with remaining humble!

However, Father Fang's attitude was low enough, and the others were just watching the excitement and wanted to hear what his opinions were.

"Okay, tell me!" the old man said, and picked up the pen again. Father Fang thought for a moment, organized his words, and said: "I just said that the economic crisis is the product of capital. This is how I understand it. I think

Regardless of whether the economic crisis is capitalist or social, in fact, any economic system will produce economic crises, without exception. This is not a very new term. Economic crises have been happening and repeated since ancient times, but the form and reasons have changed.

"

"Wow..." Everyone else looked at Father Fang as if they were a madman. There must be something wrong with this man's head! How dare he say that! The lecturer on the podium just said it. The economic crisis is a product of capitalism, why?

Maybe it’s been there since ancient times! It even sounds like the subtext is that socialism will cause an economic crisis. Little brother, even if you want to take a gamble, you can’t take such a gamble!

Everyone felt that Father Fang had taken the wrong medicine and was betting that the other party was an old leader or chief who didn't know much about economics. If you could talk into the other person's heart, you would be able to rise to the top in one step.

But is it so easy to reach the sky in one step? You might as well smash yourself to pieces first!

The man who shared the dormitory with Father Fang quietly pulled at the corner of Father Fang's clothes, but was glared at by the old man's cold eyes. He retracted his hand in a sullen voice.

The old man became interested. It was rare to hear different opinions. He looked at Father Fang encouragingly and said, "Tell me more specifically."

Father Fang continued, "We used to be in a farming economy. The biggest characteristic of the agricultural economy is its cyclicality, because the growth of crops is cyclical, and this is independent of human will. Once this cycle is disrupted, agriculture will

There will still be economic crises in the economy and society." He paused and continued, "To put it bluntly, the growth of crops depends on the weather, and the cause of this economic crisis mainly comes from natural disasters. Wind, fire, drought, floods and other natural disasters will all

If this rule is broken, the land will not be able to produce crops, and a crisis will arise; followed by war and high-level land annexation, a large amount of land will be laid waste, and a large number of landless farmers will emerge. An economic crisis will evolve into a crisis for the entire society. For example

:The change of dynasties.”

The old man nodded slightly and remained silent, but it seemed that he was willing to listen to Father Fang continue to speak.

"After entering the industrial society, especially with the development of science and technology, the production of crops is no longer restricted by the previous rules. Not only does the output increase, but also off-season planting, satellites, and the cooperation of water conservancy and meteorology. At this time, society has

The ability to withstand the agricultural economic crisis is high. At the same time, another economic crisis occurs, which is excess inventory. Industrial production is completely unaffected by the laws of nature. As long as the machine is turned on, any number of products can be manufactured. In addition, with the development of production technology

Step by step upgrading and transformation, production efficiency is getting higher and higher, and the speed of manufacturing products is getting faster and faster. When seeing a market opportunity, capital will fully intervene, so a large number of products are manufactured instantly, and soon the problem will disappear.

The market was highly saturated, and so many products were no longer needed and could not be digested. So capital began to withdraw from the industry, factories began to close, workers were laid off, unemployment increased significantly, and a crisis arose. This is

Economic Crisis of the Industrial Age.”

Father Fang continued, "The reasons for Japan's economic crisis are very complicated. First there was a financial crisis, and then it spread to the real economy. Part of the reason is that in the 1970s, Japan began economic and financial liberalization and internationalization.

Process. In the 1980s, this process accelerated rapidly. In 1985, the Japanese government issued the "Announcement on Financial Liberalization and the Current Situation and Prospects of the Internationalization of the Japanese Yen", which unveiled the comprehensive liberalization and internationalization of Japan's economy and finance.

The prologue. International financial giants brought a large amount of capital to speculate on the Japanese stock market and property market, significantly raising housing prices and exchange rates, causing them to become seriously bubbled. Then at the beginning of this year, a large number of short orders showed their power, causing the Japanese stock market to collapse.

Then came the housing market, which forced capital to flee and made the country's asset prices worthless."

"In the early 1980s, the Japanese government proposed that Japan would move from an "economic power" to a "political power" and that Japan-US relations would become the cornerstone of a "political power." In the "Plaza Meeting" in 1985 and the 1986

During the "Louvre Conference", Japan became the strongest ally of the United States. In 1985, Japan faced three major strategic changes at the same time: from a "controlled economy" to an "open economy"; from an "economic power" to an "open economy".

The transformation of a "political power"; the transformation from an "external demand-led economy" to a "domestic demand-led economy". Such a major and profound change concentrated in such a short period of time may cause macroeconomic policies to lose room for maneuver. When internal balance and

When issues such as external equilibrium, domestic policy coordination and international policy coordination are intertwined, macro policy trade-offs, choices and adjustments will become very difficult, and serious mistakes may occur due to loss of balance." Dad Fang said, "At this point,

The economic crisis has evolved from a crisis of overproduction into another form, that is, a financial crisis, a credit crisis, or excess liquidity and shortage of liquidity. But debts must always be repaid, and when the debtor is unable to repay the debt

, this model cannot continue, and a crisis arises. In short, Japan’s economic crisis this time is inevitable.” As his daughter said, how can others be allowed to snore on the side of the bed, how can the interests of the United States be threatened, little devil

It's like a lamb to the slaughter, and the knife is always in the hands of the Yankee.

Others were confused, and the old man nodded in his heart. This young man was not simple, but full of wisdom that could see through everything. He asked, "Since no matter what we do, there will be a new economic crisis, then what?

What do you think is the best way to deal with the economic crisis?"

Father Fang paused for a moment, smiled, and said: "I think it is necessary to have a sound security system, and it is always good to prepare for a rainy day. In ancient times, if a famine occurred, the emperor would open warehouses to release grain, even if it was

Let everyone drink porridge, but as long as we survive this year and produce food in the fields next year, this crisis will be over. Now the economy

Although the form of the economic crisis is opposite to that before, I think the solution is the same. As long as there is a sound unemployment compensation and subsidy system, even if there is an economic crisis, people will not be very panicked, as long as they survive for one or two years

, companies will digest their inventory and restart production, and at this time the economy will enter an upward stage again."

"Then your point of view is that the economic crisis is not terrible and there is no need to carry out economic stimulus measures?" the old man asked, with a serious expression.

Father Fang was not alarmed and said: "The premise is that the security system is sound and the society is stable! Under this premise, an appropriate economic crisis can promote the survival of the fittest and the reallocation of capital flows, thereby resolving the serious imbalance in social distribution."

The others looked at Father Fang in surprise at this time. This must be too courageous! He actually said that the economic crisis was justified and was seeking death! "Can you write down what you said in writing?" The old man had a serious expression on his face.

Then he disappeared and said kindly, "Forget it..." We agreed not to record it, but now we asked people to write some written materials.

"Okay!" Father Fang immediately agreed. The Japanese economic crisis is of great significance and can help us avoid detours.[

The old man stood up, patted Father Fang on the shoulder, and left the classroom without saying a word, taking his notepad.

After the old man left, other people began to attack Dad Fang, "You are so brave. You dare to say that the economic system will be in economic crisis."

Dad Fang shrugged, "The Soviet Union is also a socialist country, and it's still in economic crisis."

"What nonsense are you talking about?"

Father Fang spread his hands, "I'm not talking nonsense. You haven't seen that the Soviet Union's war in Afghanistan, the arms race between the United States and the Soviet Union, and the drastic changes in Eastern European countries have indirectly proved that the Soviet Union's ability to control has weakened. If it wasn't too busy to take care of itself, how could he allow Eastern Europe to do so?"

Dramatic changes." Although consultation was not developed at this time, some clues could still be seen on the TV news. Of course, the most important thing was that Fang's father received a lot of information from Fang Monan. Even though he went to the party school, his daughter also sent many messages.

Packages - newspapers, magazines.

The middle-aged man who shared the dormitory with Father Fang smiled and said, "Zhengping knows a lot."

"Haha..." Father Fang scratched his head with a sneer on his face.

Because Fang's father's remarks were too shocking, he was even more isolated. Fang's father still had a faint smile on his face as usual. After the written materials were taken away, he also

When a stone sinks into the sea, people ask about it. (To be continued)