Wealth

[======Hand Fighting=====] There is a huge disparity in the power of the two warring parties. "The Iraq War is basically a war of suspense.

but. The impact of this war on the world economy is full of suspense.

As the war situation has become increasingly clear, the world’s major economic organizations have recently predicted that the world economic growth rate will remain above 3% this year. The U.S. economy is most affected by the war.

Because of the expected impact on the launch of war in Iraq. The consumer confidence index has been greatly affected by Jing Liang, which is obviously detrimental to the economic recovery, especially when international oil prices have begun to climb.

Regarding this point, Fan Wuyi could see clearly that the economic reaction before the wars was almost the same, when the war was overcast. In other words, when expectations for future wars are still unclear, international oil prices are generally going to rise. After the war begins, the war situation will become clearer, international oil prices will fall in response, and the US stock market will begin to rebound, and the US dollar exchange rate will continue to strengthen.

Therefore, Fan Investment Group is also starting to make profits in the futures market and the stock market in response to the current situation. If it works properly. It is not without a small supplement to gain a tens of billions of dollars.

However, Fan Wuyao carefully observed the views of some mainstream media. Most of them believed that the war in Iraq would not last long and would be beneficial to the world economy this year. However, we should also see the development of different regions and countries after the war. It will be even more unbalanced.

The war has the greatest positive effect on the U.S. economy. War-related arms industry and other sectors have benefited. Iraq’s post-war reconstruction will bring a large number of orders for U.S. companies, and U.S. domestic investment and consumer confidence will increase accordingly. Britain, which is actively participating in the war, will also have greater gains, while Russia, France, and Germany will have relatively little war dividends. Therefore, the war will cause an imbalance in the economic growth of these countries.

The war cannot fundamentally solve the internal contradictions of the US economy, nor will it change the economic power of the major powers.

Some people think. There is no doubt that the United States can win the war. But it may not be able to win economic growth. This is because many problems facing the US economy will not be resolved because of the Iraq war.

first. It is because war cannot solve the problem of overcapacity in the new economy. The economic recession in the United States in recent years stems from the overcapacity of the new economy represented by four industries. Although war will help digest the production capacity of the new economy to a certain extent, The effect is limited.

Second, the peak of the US real estate industry is passing. After the stock market bubble burst, Americans lost about seven trillion U.S. dollars. In recent years, the booming real estate industry has become the main force driving the U.S. economy. Through the appreciation of real estate, Americans were compensated for their losses in the stock market from 30,000 to 4 trillion U.S. dollars.

But the most recent one. During the period, the housing vacancy rate in the United States was as high as 20%. Even the victory of the war did not expand people's demand for real estate.

In addition, the exports of many manufacturing industries other than the arms industry are sluggish. Due to the economic downturn in Europe and Japan, the exports of the US manufacturing industries have been greatly affected. War struggles are unlikely to bring too many favorable factors to the economic recovery of Europe and Japan. Therefore, there is no hope for US manufacturing exports in the short term.

Although war will stimulate some industrial sectors in the United States, it is still unknown how long this war boom will last. Because of the huge expenditure of the war. The fiscal deficit of the United States and the international current account deficit have increased significantly. The negative impact of the double deficit on the US economy cannot be underestimated.

Will the dollar's trend remain strong? How big is the oil price fall? Will OPEC limit production and insure prices? These are unknowns.

At this time, Iraq’s oil exports had a limited impact on world oil prices, and oil price fluctuations were mainly caused by international capital speculation and public psychological panic. But once the Americans win. Therefore, Iraq’s post-war reconstruction requires a large amount of oil to pay for it. The export volume is naturally different from the time when the United Nations oil-for-food program was implemented. The end of the war, coupled with the fact that Iraq has increased its oil exports, has made the fall in world oil prices inevitable, which will benefit the growth of the world economy. but. For each specific country. The situation is quite different.

The oil companies of the United States and Britain control 70% of the oil resources of Arab countries. The victory of the Iraq War will further consolidate their position, and the oil sources of the two countries will be more secure. For France, Germany, and Japan As far as the vast majority of developing countries are concerned, the source of oil is likely to be increasingly constrained by the United States and Britain. The issue of energy security may become a new insecure factor.

The Russian economy is in the process of recovery, and rising international oil prices will be an important driving force for Russia's economic recovery. Once the Iraq War is over, the drop in oil prices will have a major impact on Russia's economy.

One of the foundations of the Russian Federation’s budget this year is to maintain crude oil prices at around US$25 per barrel. If oil prices fall below US$20 per barrel, Russia’s budget plan for this year will fail, and Putin will feel very headache.

Experts also believe that the influence of the Iraqi war fighters...Er Tan is the heart armor of the globalization of the economy, and the global anti-globalization wave is developing rapidly. This time the United States is pursuing unilateralism and intends to abandon the United Nations to launch a war against Iraq, which has caused a wave of anti-war on a global scale. This sentiment will certainly continue after the war. Become a force to promote anti-globalization.

In the past two decades, with the rapid economic growth of Asia, especially East Asia, economic relations between the United States and Asian countries have developed rapidly. As of last year, the U.S. international current account deficit was 500 billion U.S. dollars, of which more than 200 billion U.S. dollars was generated in Asia.

According to the statistics of the International Monetary Fund, at the end of last year, the world's foreign exchange reserves totaled more than 23 trillion U.S. dollars. About sixty of them were owned by Asian countries, and most of the foreign exchange reserves of Asian countries were invested in the United States. Bonds and the stock market.

It can be said that it is Asian countries that support the strong position of the dollar. At the same time, the arcs from the Middle East and Central Asia to South Asia and East Asia have been conflicting and complicated in recent years, and they have become a problematic area that attracts the attention of the United States. therefore. After the Iraq war. The United States will further strengthen its ties with Asian countries in political, military, and economic aspects.

It can be predicted that the impact of the Iraq war on the world economy will go far beyond whether to stimulate economic growth. Although from the perspective of stimulating US economic growth, the military expenditures brought about by this war and the reconstruction of Iraq after the war are a stimulus.

However, this war will be a major trauma to Iraq and the Middle East. The wealth created over the years has been destroyed. It is also the destruction of human wealth and the destruction of human development. From the perspective of American taxpayers, a large amount of taxes that could be used to increase social welfare and promote the development of civilian technology are used on arms that cannot be consumed by people. This is a huge waste in itself.

Of course, the factors affecting the domestic economy are not the only factors that have been expected to be successful in Iraq.

Due to the outbreak of the ** epidemic, a series of market development, business exchanges and other activities planned by many local governments have been significantly affected. The annual investment promotion activities have been affected, and some have been postponed. Compared with the same period, the turnover decreased by almost 80% compared with the previous session. Due to the domestic epidemic, although the mainland government has always emphasized that it is not relevant and the impact is minimal, the international response has been obvious. For example, Fan's investment A branch of the group organized a delegation to participate in business activities in Vladimir, Russia. It was also unable to make the trip due to difficulties in obtaining visas. The Philippine merchandise exhibition planned to be held in March was also postponed to August.

influenced by. Orders for light industry, crafts, and woven products such as summer cloth and sackcloth, which were mostly sold in samples, decreased significantly, new customers for motorcycle products decreased, and export orders for agricultural products such as frozen pork decreased significantly.

at the same time. Neighboring countries have begun to respond to the domestic epidemic, and the logistics of import and export goods have been affected. Myanmar has suspended China-Myanmar border trade activities, the Xinjiang section of the China-Mongolia border, and the China-Pakistan Hong Qilafu port have been temporarily suspended. Lithuania has banned the import of animal-source food and animals, raw materials, feed, and feed additives from China, Thailand, and Vietnam.

At present, some companies affiliated to companies also report that the governments or importers of Spain, the United Kingdom and other countries require domestic companies to issue certificates of virus-free export of goods. Some importers in the United Kingdom and France have also proposed that China's inspection and inspection agencies issue ** disinfection certificates for exported clothing, rubber, cartons and other products, which have increased the export costs of enterprises.

In view of the obstruction of face-to-face business activities, the Foreign Economic Relations and Trade Commission proposed to vigorously develop Dianzi commerce and maintain normal trade order as much as possible.

Under this leading ideology, the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission recommended to key enterprises a number of online trade websites, including the e-commerce platform built by Fan's Investment Group. At the same time, after meeting with the person in charge of the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission, Fan Wubing agreed to give free support for the production of three-dimensional advertisements on the website and the release of business information on the website platform of Fan Investment Group. The platform builds a trade bridge for various enterprises and provides the latest information services such as finance and insurance.

After receiving the strong support from Fan Wuyi, the Foreign Economic and Trade Commission also began to step up the development and construction of the import and export commodity database. The central government provided special funds to speed up the trial operation of the port logistics network, and set up online negotiations and online transactions for enterprises. Platform.

At the same time, the central government also stated that it will provide a three-month online training of e-commerce courses for all foreign economic and trade enterprises, and carry out online tutoring and answering questions. In order to improve the application capabilities of enterprise e-commerce.

all in all. Although ** has not formally entered the high-level topic, in fact, some work is already underway, especially Fan Investment Group is beginning to prepare for the arrival of the epidemic. All kinds of preparations are made.

The first thousand and ninety-three chapters of the two sessions closed

The two sessions finally convened as scheduled. The replacement of the old and new leadership is a major event, making this year's two sessions particularly eye-catching.

What made Fan Wubing feel more satisfied was that six of the eleven new Central Committee members who were newly added at the two sessions this time were local leaders fostered by the Fan family.

This incident can also show that in this meeting, Fan Heng’s power has grown greatly, and if we add in the relationship between the other military and political leaders of the offensive and defensive alliance, then Fan’s There are already more than 30 central committee-level leaders that can be affected, and it can be said that it is a very powerful group force.

Of course, if you add peripheral members, the influence will be even greater. Fan Wuyi did not dare to imagine this, but the Fan family has no other extravagant hopes, and it is impossible to usurp the party to seize power. Everyone can Coming together, it is nothing more than the Fan Investment Group's inseparable interest relationship with these people in the past economic activities.

There is a saying that is very good, there are no eternal friends, no eternal enemies, only eternal interests.

certainly. It is impossible for only a part of the people to see this. At the victory of the two sessions, the most important domestic news media interviewed Fan Wubing. Of course, Fan Wubing did not enter the National People’s Congress or the CPPCC. He just Participated in some meetings of the two sessions as a special adviser to the State Council. In nominal terms, he is about the same as an observer.

The questions asked are of course clichés, what do you expect from the new leadership, what are the trends of the Chinese economy in the next few years, the impact of the global economy on China, and whether e-commerce has a future in China, etc.

With regard to these more brain-dead problems, Fan Wubing also had to be patient, slowly talking nonsense with them, and drew a set of theories that also fooled everyone into the cloud to prevaricate them.

Only in the back, some southern media asked Fan Wubing whether he knew about the SARS outbreak in Guangzhou.

"I've heard about this matter a little bit." Fan Wubing replied more cautiously.

So far, high-level officials have not expressed their views on this issue. Although the Beijing local government has already talked about this issue when responding to media reports, at the two sessions, everything has to stay on the sidelines, so whether it is the Beijing local government or As for the Ministry of Health, when faced with SARS questions, the answers were quite consistent, that is, it did happen, but it was not serious. Everything is under control, and there is no possibility of a large-scale outbreak. At the same time, they also said that this will not pose any threat to the tourism industry, and they are still welcoming friends from all over the world to visit the mainland.

In view of this, it is impossible for Fan Wubing to exaggerate the seriousness of the matter. After all, his identity is sensitive and he can take precautions for some things, but if he can’t shut his mouth, the consequences will be very serious. serious.

This is not to say that the authorities dare to do something against themselves, but to say that in terms of their own influence, if they openly disagree with the government, it will make the top executives feel very embarrassed, and always take care of the high-level face. Row.

As for privately speaking, Fan Wubing didn't mind arguing with them, arguing with a blushing face.

But at this time in the media, Fan Wubing cannot say that he knows nothing about it. After all, Fan Investment Group has already started a large-scale donation in Guangzhou, and is cooperating closely with the prevention and treatment work of the municipal government. The company has also begun to issue emergency plans for the prevention of infectious diseases, etc., and conduct emergency inspections and hold relevant knowledge lectures for employees to improve everyone's awareness of prevention and control.

Therefore, Fan Wubing simply expressed two sentences, "Infectious diseases. Sometimes it will definitely occur once or twice, but everyone has increased their awareness of prevention and control and strengthened their own maintenance to avoid the epidemic to the greatest extent possible. In this respect, as long as the people’s living standards have been improved and the living environment has been improved, these problems will naturally be easily eliminated. So even if there is such a thing, you don’t need to panic, just be personal. The protection work is enough, and everyone must fully trust the government. Not to mention, just from last year’s perspective, the infectious disease prevention and control base built by our Fan Investment Group and the government has been built. This shows that the government With a long-term view, I have always been very concerned about the lives and safety of the people."

At the end of the day, Fan Wubing glanced over and found that a reporter from CCTV was also standing by with a camera. There was also a female reporter with a few microphones that looked familiar, but she had seen it when she went to CCTV before. A veteran reporter turned the conversation and said two more sentences, "I believe that under the correct guidance of the new central leadership, there are no gaps and obstacles in China that cannot be overcome, and everyone should have more confidence in our country. That's it."

After dealing with these reporters, Fan Wuyao was about to leave by car under the **** of the staff, when he saw Zi Qi running over. Squeezed into his car.

The weather was a bit gloomy, and a few raindrops had fallen, so Ziqi's hair looked a little wet. It was obvious that she had been outside for a long time.

"Have you come here for an interview? The anchor is still doing this?" Fan Wubing asked in surprise.

Ziqi wiped her hair with a dry towel in the car, then smiled and said, "I am from the Economic Channel. We are also very concerned about the discussion of some economic topics in the two sessions, especially the industrial and commercial sectors that participated in the meeting recently. There are more representatives, so come and intercept them, so it's easier to interview them."

"Then why don't you interview me?" Fan Wuyao smiled.

"You are only attending, and you are not an official representative." Zi Qi gave him a white glance.

Fan Wubing patted his head, but his heart is the same. No wonder no one paid any attention to him when he got inside. On the contrary, after he came out, he was surrounded by a large group of people, and the questions were centered on the economic aspect. Yes, I probably came to the interview as a passerby who actively supported the new central leadership group.

In fact, because the economic channel has been following the senior reporter interviewing the NPC and CPPCC, he suddenly had a fever and was admitted to the hospital, so Ziqi just came to make a guest appearance. There will be her show to be broadcast in the evening, so it is naturally unlikely to stay here too much. old.

"Some of my colleagues have a fever and keep their distance. Why don't you use the mask I gave you?" Fan Wubing asked with a frown when he thought of this.

"How about interviewing the representatives of the two sessions. You asked me to wear a big mask too?" Zi Qi groaned.

Fan Wubing smiled, saying that it was really inappropriate.

It was originally a sensitive period. Although the government has repeatedly emphasized that there is nothing wrong, in fact, everyone is actively spreading the gossip in private, especially these representatives, who estimated that after returning to the hotel from the venue, they immediately put on big masks. But in the public, it is still necessary to avoid taboos, after all, this matter cannot be publicized.

In fact, the media is also very difficult to do during the two sessions. The Guangdong delegates attending the National People's Congress proposed a proposal to consider seeking international assistance to control a major epidemic without affecting national security. Both Zhong Nanshan, the leader of the Guangdong SARS expert steering group, and Huang Wenjie, the deputy leader, believe that when some major epidemics and unknown viruses appear and occur, it is difficult to solve them by the strength of a single country's medical science.

A newspaper with a circulation of more than one million copies in Guangdong interviewed a person in charge of the Ministry of Health of the People's Republic of China during the NPC and CPPCC, and put forward his views on the prevention of SARS in Guangdong Province. The deputy minister thought that Guangdong's prevention was lagging behind and made sharp criticisms.

After the report was issued, it caused dissatisfaction among Guangdong leaders and reported it to the central government.

The newspaper was named and criticized by the Central Propaganda Department and issued a document stipulating that reports on SARS are generally in general drafts and cannot be reported at will. The newspapers in this issue have all been recalled, and the newspaper's webpage has removed the interview draft.

While Hong Kong media have accused the Guangdong authorities of concealing the SARS epidemic, the newspaper was punished for reporting on the SARS incident in Guangzhou. The editor-in-chief was forced to write a review book, and it took quite a while to get through.

In fact, when the Guangzhou media reported on the SARS incident in Guangzhou at first, they were cautiously tentatively proceeding step by step.

Around February 8, Guangzhou residents discovered that the news about the epidemic of SARS in Guangdong broadcast by Hong Kong ATV and TVB had not been covered up by the local government as sensitive news as before. As a result, the newspaper was the first to report the incident, and other Guangzhou media followed up. These reports were ordered to end after the local government announced the SARS epidemic in Guangzhou on February 11.

When it came to this matter, Fan Wubing used four words to comment, "Hold your ears and steal your bells."

With regard to this issue, Fan Wubing specifically called Tong Yushan to inquire about the matter, but Tong Yushan said that he did not know the news and did not go through his procedures. He thought it was through a minister or deputy minister of the Propaganda Department to directly give it to the department. The order given, after all, to clean up a small newspaper, does not require much energy, in fact, only a member of the Central Committee is enough to get it done.

What's more, the leaders of Guangdong Province are at least a big figure with a position in the Politburo. To do this is also very easy.

Fan Wubing nodded after hearing it~www.wuxiaspot.com~ It’s better to say that it’s not your responsibility, otherwise, in case of settlement after the fall, these people who make the decision will not have a good face to look at, but Fan I still congratulated Tong Yushan, because this time he officially entered the ranks of the members of the Central Committee and also became an alternate member of the Politburo. This is a rare improvement.

Although he is still an alternate member of the Politburo, its meaning is quite different from that of a member of the Central Committee. Once given the opportunity, he can immediately be added to the Politburo and formally become a deputy state leader.

However, Fan Wuyi soon received an invitation from the new leader to attend an internal meeting. ========== To provide you with the fastest and latest online novels. Our website is the first letter of Pinyin + browse by NET mobile phone users===============

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