We're building a super chaebol in Hong Kong
#835 - Situation speculation
Tianwen Oil Company was, after all, established for too short a time. Although it had successively acquired many petrochemical enterprises, there was still a significant gap in foundation compared to international first-tier petrochemical enterprises.
Therefore, if Tianwen Oil Company wanted to catch up with top oil companies such as Shell, ExxonMobil, and British Petroleum, it had to constantly increase its foundation.
Having one more oil field that could be exploited would give Tianwen Oil Company more confidence.
He had been working at Tianwen Oil Company for quite a long time, and during this time, he had already fully felt the sense of being trusted. He was very satisfied with Su Cheng as his boss.
Su Cheng naturally didn't worry that Li Yihui would do anything to harm the company. After all, he also had informants on Tianwen Oil Company's side, and he could immediately know if there were any problems.
In addition, Tianyuan Investment Company would also send people over to check the accounts every month.
In this way, he could naturally trust the person in charge of the company with confidence.
"Oh, by the way, what is the current international oil market situation?" Su Cheng asked after taking a sip of hot tea.
He hadn't paid attention to oil prices for a long time.
"Currently, the situation in Persia is gradually stabilizing. Affected by this, international crude oil prices are also constantly falling. From a peak of more than sixty US dollars a barrel, it has now fallen to about thirty-seven US dollars, and it is still falling. According to this situation, many international experts have declared that this oil crisis is about to pass.
My current view is that the oil crisis is still in a very confusing state. The current situation makes me very uncertain about whether the crisis has passed. Although international crude oil prices are still falling, they are still at a very high level compared to the prices before the oil crisis. This doesn't look like the oil crisis has passed at all. Although oil prices have been falling, it is obvious that it will take a long time to fall back to the original price, even at the current speed."
Li Yihui answered in detail, and expressed the international voices and his own views. He looked serious at the end.
Li Yihui was indeed an expert in the oil industry, and his analysis was reasonable.
However, with the cheat code of Little Ai, Su Cheng was naturally very clear about whether the oil crisis had passed.
"I do have some insights," Su Cheng thought for a while and decided to reveal something to Li Yihui.
After all, if Li Yihui could grasp the future situation, it would also be beneficial to the future development of Tianwen Oil Company.
"Boss, please speak, I am all ears!" Li Yihui said solemnly.
He was very clear that although the boss was not from the oil industry, he had very unique insights. For example, before the oil crisis, he dared to spend 10 billion Hong Kong dollars to hoard crude oil. This was unique in the world, and the final result was that the boss won!
"Then I'll just say a few simple words," Su Cheng picked up the teacup again and drank all the warm tea in the cup at once, moistening his throat in advance.
Li Yihui added tea to Su Cheng at the right time.
Su Cheng continued: "In my opinion, the oil crisis will not end so quickly, because the oil companies in the beautiful country will be the first to come out and oppose it. You should also understand the situation in the beautiful country, right?"
"Yes, boss. As far as I know, the supply of private oil in the beautiful country is still tight. Not only that, but oil is still very tight in many countries in the world," Li Yihui nodded and said.
"The crude oil production has clearly recovered to the production volume before the crisis, so why are oil prices still so high? The ultimate reason is naturally that these oil giants have tasted the sweetness during the crisis. As the world's oil giants, they naturally hope that this crisis will last longer and the higher the oil prices, the more they earn.
If there are no accidents, even if the oil crisis really ends, oil prices cannot return to the price of about 12 US dollars a barrel before the crisis. The manipulation of capital does not allow them to restore oil prices to the original oil prices. Of course, as an oil company, this is also good news for us. After all, the higher the oil prices, the higher our profits."
Li Yihui nodded in agreement, thinking carefully, that was indeed the case.
Having tasted the sweetness of rising oil prices, how could these giants easily let oil prices return to their original levels!
Su Cheng continued: "Moreover, if you carefully study the situation in the Middle East, you can find that although the current situation in Persia has calmed down and the original king has been driven away, this has actually laid hidden dangers for future turmoil.
The Pahlavi dynasty of Persia has close relations with the beautiful country. Now that the fate of this dynasty has ended, the beautiful country will naturally not give up. In addition, there will be a war between them and Iraq.
Once the Iran-Iraq War breaks out, international crude oil prices will immediately be affected. The current stable situation is only temporary, and in my opinion, this peaceful situation will not last long. At most, by next year, the Middle East will be like a powder keg, erupting in war.
The latest novel is first published on Liu 9 Shu Ba!
Regardless of whether the final result is the same as my guess, you must pay attention to these issues. Tianwen Oil Company is, after all, an oil company. These issues may seem to be in the Middle East, but the Middle East is the place with the most oil production in the world. If something goes wrong there, it will affect the entire oil industry!"
Li Yihui nodded as he listened.
He didn't expect that the boss would consider such a long-term view because of an oil problem, and even guess the future situation in the Middle East.
No wonder he was so bold before the crisis to invest 10 billion Hong Kong dollars in crude oil. It seems that the boss is very confident in his guess.
"Boss, I will pay attention. I have kept everything you said tonight in my heart," Li Yihui replied, and couldn't help but use a respectful tone.
Although Su Cheng didn't reveal much, Li Yihui learned a lot from it. Some things don't need to be pointed out too clearly.
Even if these things don't really happen, it's always right to take precautions.
For example, hoarding enough crude oil to deal with another outbreak of the crisis.
Even if the crisis does not continue to break out, the hoarded crude oil can still be used, and they will not lose anything. (End of this chapter)
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