When I write a bug it becomes the core gameplay
Chapter 523 Precision Fishing
The official has requirements for the minimum probability. It is impossible for Nitiantang to not comply with relevant laws and regulations and make a card drawing system that does not produce any goods.
However, the adjustment of the order of Europe and Africa will greatly change the mentality of players.
This is the difference between "three in the morning and four in the evening" and "four in the morning and three in the evening".
For monkeys, they can accept four fruits in the morning and three fruits in the afternoon, but they cannot accept three fruits in the morning and four fruits in the afternoon.
For krypton gold game players, they are just the opposite. Most people can accept leaving Africa and entering Europe, but they cannot accept leaving Europe and entering Africa.
At the beginning, the goods were delivered, and the players were very happy, but they were not particularly happy.
But when there was no delivery later, many players' negative emotions would double when they thought of their good luck in the past.
On the contrary, at the beginning, there was not much delivery, and the players were very depressed, but later there were goods delivered, and the players were left with a happy feeling.
Gu Fan's method is to take advantage of the players' psychology, create an illusion at the beginning, and raise their psychological expectations.
Once players start to feel good about themselves and are ready to sell everything they have to rush into the 648 pool to show off their skills, reality will ruthlessly shatter their expectations.
The more you draw, the worse your luck. The more you draw, the worse your luck.
The negative emotion value generated at this time must rise rapidly.
In Lilith's opinion, from the principle of generating negative emotions, this approach is fine, and it can indeed harvest more negative emotion values from players than the conventional card drawing mechanism.
"But... even so, players will always find out, right?" Lilith raised a new question.
It is not difficult for this system to deceive players in the early stage.
But players will gradually feel that something is wrong. They may not be able to directly view the background code, because this is an online game, and the relevant data of card drawing is stored in the server, but it is not ruled out that some rich guys can do experiments.
By counting the probability changes of thousands of card draws, players will sooner or later realize this mechanism.
Gu Fan spread his hands: "Of course the players will find out, but so what?
"At least in the first few months, the players will not be able to find out. Even if they suspect it, it is difficult to have sufficient resources to verify it.
"Then during this period, the negative emotions of the players are real.
"As long as our influence in the early stage is large enough and there are enough players entering, the negative emotions gained will be very considerable.
"A few months later, even if the players find out, so what?
"After a while of calculation, they can only draw two conclusions at most: Conclusion 1, our game is based on 1000 draws as a cycle to continuously reduce the probability, the later the draw, the lower the probability; Conclusion 2, our card draw mechanism comprehensive draw probability is lower than other games on the market.
"The comprehensive draw probability of other games is generally between 1.6% and 3%, while our comprehensive draw probability is only 1.5%, and the basic draw probability is only 0.5%, which only reaches the lowest limit required by the official.
"Ms. Li, do you think players will have any positive emotions when they draw these two conclusions?
"If the players don't have positive emotions, then what does it matter if we are exposed? We have already made a lot of money."
Lilith thought about it seriously, and then nodded slowly: "Well, it makes sense! Even if the real probability is discovered, it will not overturn, but it may make the players more angry.
"After all, the comprehensive extraction probability of our game is really low.
"Okay, then the card drawing system will be temporarily set at this, I have remembered it.
"What else?"
Gu Fan hurriedly said: "Wait a minute, Mr. Li, this is not finished yet.
"To better match this card drawing system, we have to consider one issue clearly, that is, the currency output in the game.
"That is, how much can players save every month without charging money or krypton gold.
"This data will also affect the feeling that the card drawing system brings to players.
"Let me give you a simple example.
"According to our current tentative data, the comprehensive delivery rate of 1,000 draws is 1.5%, which means that 15 golds will be drawn in 1,000 draws. We calculate that 40% of the odds are permanent, which means that 9 characters in the current UP pool will be drawn in 1,000 draws.
"Since the probability is decreasing, it will probably be:
"The first 300 draws produced 5 UP characters, the middle 300 draws produced 3 UP characters, and the last 400 draws produced only 1 UP character.
"Since it is a krypton gold game, there must be a concept of "star upgrade", that is, when players repeatedly draw the same character, they can upgrade the original character to become more powerful.
"Currently, there are 4-star full stars and 6-star full stars in the game.
"Mr. Li, you are wise and powerful, and you must have thought that the specific number of full stars, as well as how much game currency players can obtain and how many draws they can exchange through the normal mechanism in the game every month, will most likely affect the actual experience of players drawing cards.
"Let's take an extreme example. If we have four full stars, and players can get 300 draws every month through the game, it means that players can get a full-star UP pool character for free every month. Then he has almost no reason to recharge and spend. This character is equivalent to being given away for free, and the probability we set before is meaningless.
"Can something given away for free still cause him to have any negative emotions?"
Lilith suddenly realized: "Well, yes! It seems that the numerical problem of full stars must also be considered.
"Forget it, I won't consider it. Just tell me the answer directly, and I will judge whether it makes sense or not."
Obviously, Lilith's brain is a little overloaded at this time, and she is a little unable to think more.
Gu Fan continued: "The answer is very simple.
"We allow players to get about 100 draws in the game every month.
"At the same time, we set the full star number of all characters to 'five stars', which means that players need to draw six identical characters to make this character 'full star'.
"According to the 1.5% comprehensive delivery rate and 60% non-distortion rate, players need to draw six characters, which takes about 666 draws.
"But it should be noted that the delivery rate is higher as time goes by, so the 100 draws we give to players for free are likely to produce two characters, that is, to make the characters 'one star'.
"Our star arrangement is also very clear:
"One star, we give a relatively basic numerical improvement.
"Two stars, we'll give you a big numerical improvement.
"Three stars, we'll give you a special mechanism change, which may greatly optimize the character's feel, or greatly improve the comfort, or unlock more team matching methods.
"Four stars, we'll still give you a more basic numerical improvement.
Reading the error-free version! 6=9+Shu_Bar's first release of this novel.
"Five stars, full stars, we'll give you another special mechanism change."
Lilith's eyes lit up: "Huh? This arrangement is great! It's like a carrot on a stick! ”
This star-level arrangement is obviously a deliberate fishing trick.
In the most ideal case, the player enters the new card pool from scratch, with 100 free draws from the game.
After the draws, the delivery rate is very high, and an average of 50 draws or even less can get a UP pool character, not to mention the permanent five-star ones.
At this time, he looked at the 1-star character given away for free, and then looked at the star-level improvement of the character:
One star is a trivial improvement.
But two stars have a huge improvement, and three stars can have a significant mechanism change.
At this time, he was still immersed in the feeling that he was lucky, so there was a high probability that he would make such a move. Decision:
At least get three stars?
Just get two more!
According to previous experience, 100 draws can get 2, which is about 2 648 for 100 draws.
Many rich guys may be eager to try.
Then they will draw after charging money, and they will not say a word.
When the rich guys actually charged 3 or even 4 648 to draw three stars, some rational rich guys stopped.
But some rich guys will look at the huge improvement of five stars and fall into contemplation again.
The luck of the 200 draws that I paid for before seemed very bad. But it can't be bad all the time, right?
I have to say, these five The star upgrade is too tempting, and there are only two characters between three stars and five stars.
Or, charge more?
What if the European and African conservation laws are true, and my luck gets better again?
Then a few rich guys started to get carried away and charged 648 with all their might, but they still got one after another.
This time, it will probably take 5, 6 or even more 648 to get the last two.
When the rich guy looked back after finishing the draw, he almost wanted to vomit blood.
Isn't this negative emotion coming?
In fact, according to the normal card drawing mechanism, similar regrets are not uncommon.
But the system proposed by Gu Fan is obviously This regret situation is further promoted.
This is a scam! Naked scam!
Of course, there are also undesirable situations, such as the player has already drawn 200 or 300 times before entering the card pool.
Then whether he recharges or not, his luck will be significantly worse.
Although it is a free 100 draws, the player also entered the card pool with the "expectation of drawing 2 UP characters".
In the end, only 1 was drawn, or even none.
This is also infuriating!
If you recharge money, it will be even more infuriating.
But at this time, Lilith raised a new question.
"Huh? Wait.
"What if the player simply turns into a Tun Tun rat?
"According to the current expectations, it will take about 666 draws to draw a full-star character. What if the player waits for half a year before drawing?
"This seems to be very common in krypton gold card drawing games, right?"
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