Young Football Player
Chapter 39 Calculating Probability
Li Chenglong recently discovered that the growth of his technical attributes has slowed down significantly.
Since starting the talent system, Li Chenglong found that his physical attributes and technical attributes are slowly increasing under his persistent exercise.
The technical attribute probably increases a little every month on average. The physical attribute may have a relatively low starting point, or it may be due to his age. The body is still developing, so the growth is a little slower.
Up to now, Li Chenglong's technical attribute is 70 points, physical attribute is 67 points, and mental attribute is still 74 points.
However, his skill attribute has increased to 69 points in November and 70 points in December.
But after reaching 70 points, it has been 2 months now, but it has not continued to grow.
After thinking about it for himself, Chenglong Li felt that it might be that the growth rate slowed down after the data increased to 70 points. This is easy to understand. Above 70 and below 70 are two different levels, and the growth rate will also be different.
If this is the case, Li Chenglong thinks it doesn't matter, after all, it is just slowing down, not not stopping the rise.
What Li Chenglong is worried about is another possibility. When the attribute increases to 70 points, it will be stuck and cannot increase any more.
After all, this talent system uses 60, 70, 80, and 90 as the cut-off points for card lighting requirements. At present, all the cards Li Chenglong lights up are based on 60. After the system's default attributes increase to 70, it is necessary to point It is also possible to continue to increase the attributes of cards with more than 70 points.
Although before, Li Chenglong also increased a little spiritual attribute, and his spiritual attribute itself was above 70.
But Li Chenglong felt that such things as spiritual attributes were very mysterious, and they might not be calculated according to common sense.
If it is the second possibility, then his technical attributes and physical attributes will be stuck at 70 points in the future and cannot continue to increase until the 70-level card is lit, which will be a bit painful.
After all, up to now, Li Chenglong has only lit up three cards. To light up all the remaining three 60-level cards, and upgrade them to the level where they can light up 70-level cards, I don't know how long it will take.
According to Li Chenglong's own feeling, with the attributes of double 70 in physical skills, he can only be a star in a small league like Scotland. If he goes to the five major leagues, he may only be an ordinary player.
This is not what Li Chenglong wants.
Li Chenglong searched the system for a while, but couldn't find the answer to the stuck attribute, as if the answer hadn't been put into the system.
So Li Chenglong can only pray, preferably the first situation.
He is eager to see the growth of technical attributes again.
As for Li Chenglong's current integration of the three cards, the winger fast horse has reached 48%, and two more points can activate the additional attribute of increasing the stability of the winger pass by 20%.
The fusion degree of the round moon scimitar has reached 39%, and the fusion degree of the bicycle prince has reached 26%, which is still far from activating additional attributes.
※※※
On February 13th, in the 26th round of the Scottish Super League, Dundee United played against Celtic, one of Scotland's two old hooligans.
This game is actually very important for both sides. The Celtics want to continue to maintain their top position, and Dundee United also want to continue to maintain their third position.
And after this game, the two teams will face their direct competitors in the next round.
The Celtics will play the time-honored derby in the next round, and Dundee United will go away to challenge Hearts in the next round.
So now both teams have the same idea, win this round first, continue to maintain their advantage, and then beat their competitors in the next round to directly widen the gap in points.
If you can do that, it's perfect.
It's a pity that this round of Dundee United and the Celtics will collide directly.
One team is doomed to be less than perfect.
If the two sides fight to a draw, it is even more likely that the two teams will not be perfect.
At the Tanatis Park Stadium, Jackie Chan sent an assist through a through ball in the opening 12 minutes to help Goodwell score a single-handed goal.
But before the first half was over, the Celtics had already reversed the score, leading Dundee United 2:1 and entering the intermission.
In the second half, Dundee United regained their morale and continued to fight the opponent.
Finally, in the 64th minute, Jackie Chan created a corner kick and David Robertson scored a header to equalize the score.
But in the 78th minute, Celtic forward Stokes once again helped the Celtics take the lead with a long shot.
The 2:3 score was also maintained by the Celtics until the end. The home team was behind the former visiting team, and Dundee United lost the game.
"We have worked very hard, but in the end we still lost the game. This feeling is quite bad." Li Chenglong said in an interview after the game.
"For the first time in my career, I scored or assisted and the team lost the game."
"Although there are always many firsts in life, this still makes me feel bad."
Li Chenglong was also reminded by reporters after the game that he knew that this was another first time for him, but it was a bad first time.
Previously, Dundee United had at least one draw in the games where Jackie Chan scored or assisted, but he sent an assist in this game, but the team eventually lost the game.
※※※
Dundee United lost the game against the Celtics, but Hearts beat Hamilton 2-0 away and returned to third place in the standings.
Before two rounds of competition, Dundee United was able to climb to third place only by defeating Hearts by the Celtics.
And now Dundee United lost the third place because of losing the game against the Celtics.
This may be God's will in the dark.
However, Dundee United still has a chance to make amends. The next round will be a direct match with Hearts. As long as Dundee United beats Hearts in an away game, they can regain the third place again.
But that is also an opportunity for Hearts. As long as they beat Dundee United, they can widen the gap with Dundee United in points.
Moreover, Hearts currently have the advantage in points. They only need to be unbeaten at home to continue to suppress Dundee United.
After the 26th round of the league, this season's European knockout rounds also began.
At present, Scottish fans are paying attention to Rangers to see if they can get two more European points than Basel in Switzerland and help the Scottish league return to the era of two Champions League places.
In this season's Europa League knockout draw, the Rangers drew Sporting Lisbon of the Portuguese Super League, a not-so-good lottery.
The Portuguese Super League is really competitive in the European competition, or Benfica and Porto. Although Sporting Lisbon is also known as one of the top three in the Portuguese Super League, it is still inferior to Benfica and Porto in the European competition.
But even so, the overall strength of Sporting Lisbon is still stronger than that of Rangers, but it is also limited, and it is not that Rangers have no chance of advancing.
As for Rangers' "competitor" Basel, they drew the Russian Super League's Spartak Moscow.
The result of Basel's lottery is actually similar to that of Rangers, and it is also slightly inferior in strength, but there is still a chance to advance.
By the end of the first round of the UEFA Europa League round of 32 in midweek, the concerned Scottish fans were a little tangled.
Rangers drew 1:1 with Sporting Lisbon at home, which is not a very good result.
But Basel lost 2:3 to Spartak Moscow at home, which is another very ideal result.
After Basel lost at home, the possibility of being eliminated from the Europa League is very high, but Rangers failed to win the game at home, and even allowed their opponents to score an away goal. The promotion situation is not too optimistic.
The Scottish media analyzed the entire night, but they still couldn't figure out what the next game would be like, so that the Scottish League would overtake the Swiss League.
They just said that the situation is complicated and they need to wait until the end of the second round.
The situation is indeed not clear, after all, Basel has not been eliminated, and they still have the possibility of going to an away game.
And even if Basel is eliminated in the end, they still have three possibilities: being eliminated in an away game, being eliminated in a tie, or even eliminated in a win, and each possibility will produce different results.
However, although it is complicated, it should not be to the extent that it is not clear.
In terms of calculating the probability alone, the Scottish media is really not good.
If the Chinese media encounters this situation, it will be calculated clearly for you every minute.
The Chinese media is not bragging about calculating the probability. Any theoretical probability can be calculated for you.
The main reason is that the conditions are good, there is no way.
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