Tokyo Literary Godfather

Chapter 438 Kei Fujiwara's Economics Lecture

The matter of establishing a new animation studio has finally been discussed.

Since Otomo Keiichi was reluctant to make a decision, Fujiwara Kei was too lazy to talk to him and directly handed the matter over to Yoshida Kashi.

When facing these people, Yoshida Kashi was obviously more sophisticated than Fujiwara Kei. When meeting with Otomo Keiichi and other people he could talk to, he was polite and courteous on the surface, but secretly he degraded the other party to nothing. At the same time, he also pointed out that the new studio that Otomo Keiichi wanted to establish must be redeveloped into a capable one. The level of independent production requires a lot of funds and personnel, and they cannot do it on their own in a short time.

It is extremely rare that Shuibo Production is willing to respect their creative ideas without interfering too much, so to a certain extent, Shuibo Production is their best choice.

After grinding for a long time, I finally settled on it.

Water Wave Production invested in their new studio, accounting for 35% of the equity, making it their largest shareholder. In addition, more than 60% of the shares are all held by their internal members. Otomo Keiichi is the most opinionated, the most senior and the most capable among them all. He will also invest all his income in setting up the new studio this time. . It holds 30% of the shares, and the rest is divided equally among several other people.

This group of people holds more than 50% of the shares, and once Kei Fujiwara and them have differences of opinion, under normal circumstances, Kei Fujiwara can only make concessions.

Yoshida Kaishi dismissed this, because for this studio, no one party has more than 64% of the shares, so there may not be an opportunity to turn against customers.

64% is the absolute control line. Only by holding so many shares can you avoid losing control of the organization due to equity dilution and other reasons.

Although the total shareholding of these people exceeds this amount, these people are not a family, so their interest positions are not so solid. Although they seem to be more affectionate than revolutionary Comrade Jin Jian now, once something changes in the future, these people will The relationship between them will change instantly.

"The united front is temporary, but the division of opinions is long-lasting." said Yoshida Kafumi, who has been the station director for decades.

Something unexpected happened... When he said this, Kei Fujiwara was suddenly reminded that speaking of something unexpected, Japan around 1997 was about to face a big change, and even this world would not be surprised. During this time, Kei Fujiwara has been paying attention to international news and feels that the storm will definitely happen again in this world.

Therefore, during this period of time, he has been running non-stop in the securities exchange market, and has almost cleared many stocks involved in export trade, as well as stocks in Asian markets including Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia and other places. At this time, there is nothing like It is more reassuring to hold cash, especially US dollars, in your hands.

"Yoshida-san, are you still playing stocks now?" Fujiwara Kei and Yoshida Kashi were having breakfast in a coffee shop, flipping through the newspaper and pretending to be casual.

"Yes, I can play some, but it's just some spare money." Yoshida Kaishi said.

"That's good..." Kei Fujiwara took a bite of the croissant and said.

"Huh?" Yoshida Kaishi heard some implication in Fujiwara Kei's words, and couldn't help but raise his head and look at him. He knew that Fujiwara Kei was well versed in investment, and almost all the stocks he bought were more profit and less loss. , has an extremely ruthless and even forward-looking vision of the market.

Spare money is also money, and Yoshida Kashi has begun to care a little, and spare money and so on... are just Yoshida Kaashi's excuses. The so-called spare money is actually a lot of money.

So Yoshida Kaishi pulled the chair closer to Fujiwara Kei, pressed his fingers on the table, and said with a smile: "President Fujiwara, is there any news? Tell me."

Fujiwara Kei folded the upper half of the newspaper and said with a smile: "I'm not a bank employee, so there is no news."

"Then it's intuition again. Your intuition is always accurate. Tell me about it." Yoshida Kaishi asked humbly.

"It's not about intuition, nor is it a personal opinion... A certain employee in the banking industry said it to me. I think it makes sense, and I'll tell you about it. It's a bit of wisdom."

Kei Fujiwara said, making up a non-existent character.

"The countries in Asia, even those that have developed extremely rapidly after the 1980s, are essentially carved from the same template. They have a low starting point, industrial production is mainly exported, but their people do not have enough wealth for consumption, and domestic demand Seriously inadequate and heavily dependent on exports. Even after making money, industrial upgrading is not carried out in time, and low-end industries are repeated... Once the crisis breaks out, exports are sluggish but cannot absorb goods through domestic demand, problems will arise. This is the first hidden danger ."

With that said, Kei Fujiwara picked up the sandwich in front of him, took out a piece of bread and put it on the plate.

"After the 1980s, many countries expanded investment. Although it led to a certain degree of economic growth, it also spawned a large number of bubbles, triggered inflation, hurt the economy and caused instability. Large-scale investment will attract the influx of international hot money, which gives hot money short-selling Opportunities. Take the automobile industry as an example. Nowadays, many countries are investing in the automobile industry, but the cars produced do not have many sales, so that the industrial investment cannot return the cost at all... This is the second hidden danger."

Japan is a major automobile manufacturing country, and Yoshida Kafumi is deeply touched by this.

Kei Fujiwara said, taking out the ham from the sandwich in his hand and placing it on the bread slices on the plate.

"The third hidden danger is high debt. Blind borrowing is the case for individuals, companies and even countries. If domestic banks cannot borrow, they will borrow foreign currency. If they cannot borrow foreign currency, they will borrow usury. Major companies will not hesitate to borrow money to blindly expand their scale. , Once the economic situation changes, the debt crisis will erupt.”

"Also, Asian countries seem to have the habit of saving due to the influence of Chinese Confucianism. Ordinary people do not have in-depth financial knowledge and are easily incited to make irrational actions, which lays the foundation for short selling. The media said Incited, a large number of people will withdraw their money in exchange for US dollars, which will also cause ordinary people in many countries to unknowingly stand on the opposite side of their own countries and help international hot money bombard their own countries."

With that said, Kei Fujiwara has spread lettuce and tomato slices on the bread slices, and a brand new sandwich has been assembled.

Fujiwara Kei picked up the newly assembled sandwich, looked at Yoshida Kashi and said: "High exports, high investment, high debt, and high savings, these four hidden dangers are like the four components assembled into a landmine. Once they appear at the same time, A powerful bomb is assembled."

"At this time, if there is another external pressure falling from the sky and a volley kick is given, the landmine will detonate..." As he spoke, Fujiwara Kei slapped the bread slices of the sandwich to make the ingredients press harder against each other. Tight.

"External pressure? What external pressure?" Yoshida Kashi continued to ask.

Kei Fujiwara shrugged: "Who knows? Maybe the debt has accumulated to a threshold and exploded, or maybe the government of a certain Asian country made a stupid decision, such as reforming the exchange rate system, so that the country's exchange rate can be based on supply and demand in the market. It's possible that the relationship fluctuates at will, attracting the attention of some international financial giant... In short, I personally feel that the economic crisis in the early 1990s was just the beginning, and the big one has yet to come." Kei Fujiwara can't say more. .

Yoshida Kashi was a little confused after hearing this. He forgot to drink the coffee in his hand for a while, and stared at Kei Fujiwara as if he was looking at something amazing.

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