The Science Fiction World of Xueba
Chapter 459 ICT Industry Report
"Xiao Pang, I am very pleased that you want to make integrated circuits, but according to the current development of the integrated circuit industry in our country, I am afraid that the little money you earn will only be heard if you throw it away."
Xu Baiqing persuaded him earnestly.
Pang Xuelin said with a smile: "Old man, you may have misunderstood. I don't plan to set up a factory for the time being. I plan to do the design first!"
"Making designs?"
Xu Baiqing was slightly taken aback.
In his impression, to engage in integrated circuits is to build a fab, so what is design alone?
Pang Xuelin seemed to see Xu Baiqing's doubts, and said with a smile: "Principal Xu, the current integrated circuit industry is not as concentrated as it used to be. Since the birth of the integrated circuit industry, the development of the entire integrated circuit industry has experienced a change from the traditional on-board The process from system to system on chip. In this historical process, the world IC industry will undergo three changes in its industrial structure in order to adapt to the development of technology and the needs of the market.”
"The first revolution: the initial stage of the development of the IC industry dominated by processing and manufacturing. In the 1970s, the mainstream products of integrated circuits were microprocessors, memories, and standard general-purpose logic circuits. During this period, IC manufacturers (IDM) were in the IC industry. It plays a major role in the market, and IC design only exists as a subsidiary department. At this time, IC design is closely related to semiconductor technology. IC design is mainly manual, and CAD systems are only used for data processing and graphics programming. The IC industry is only in the In the early stages of production-oriented."
"The second revolution: the rise of Foundry and IC design companies. In the 1980s, the mainstream products of integrated circuits were microprocessors, microcontrollers, and dedicated ICs (ASICs). At this time, fabless IC design companies and The combination of standard process and processing lines has begun to become a new model for the development of the integrated circuit industry. With the wide application and popularization of microprocessors and PCs, especially in the fields of communications, industrial control, and consumer electronics, the IC industry has begun to enter customer-oriented phase."
"There are two main reasons for this. On the one hand, it is difficult for ICs with standardized functions to meet the requirements of system cost and reliability for complete machine customers. The area reduces the volume of the system, reduces the cost, and improves the performance-price ratio of the product, thereby enhancing the competitiveness of the product, gaining more market share and more lucrative profits; on the other hand, due to the progress of IC microfabrication technology, the software Hardwareization has become possible. In order to improve the speed of the system and simplify the program, ASICs with various hardware structures such as gate arrays, programmable logic devices (including FPGAs), standard cells, and fully customized circuits have emerged. IC sales accounted for 12% in 1982; the third is that with the development of EDA tools (electronic design automation tools), PCB design methods are introduced into IC design, such as the concept of libraries, process simulation parameters and simulation concepts, etc. The design begins to enter the stage of abstraction, so that the design process can exist independently of the production process.
"
"At this stage, far-sighted machine manufacturers and entrepreneurs, including venture capital funds, saw the ASIC market and development prospects, and began to set up professional design companies and IC design departments, a kind of fabless integrated circuit design company or design Departments were established and developed rapidly. At the same time, it also led to the rise of the standard process line (Foundry). The world's first Foundry factory was established in 1987 by TSMC. Its founder, Zhang Zhongmou, is also known as the pioneer of wafer processing. father."
"And now, the integrated circuit industry is undergoing a third revolution."
"The third change, what should I say?"
Listening to Pang Xuelin's eloquent account of the development of the integrated circuit industry, Xu Boqing's expression gradually became serious, and he said seriously.
Pang Xuelin smiled lightly: "The third revolution: it refers to the separation of design, manufacturing, packaging, and testing! Father, you should have heard of the Internet, right?"
Xu Baiqing nodded.
Pang Xuelin said: "In recent years, with the rise of the Internet, the IC industry has entered a competition-oriented advanced stage, and international competition will shift from resource competition and price competition to talent knowledge competition and intensive capital competition. The competition method of expanding equipment investment centered on DRAM has become a thing of the past. For example, in 1990, the United States, represented by Intel, voluntarily gave up the DRAM market and made a big impact on the semiconductor industry in order to resist the threat of Japan’s jumping to the top of the world’s semiconductor list. Major structural adjustments, the development trend of INTEL in the past two years, I don’t know if you have noticed, the United States regains the dominance of the semiconductor industry from Japan just around the corner.”
"Therefore, I personally believe that the increasingly large integrated circuit industry system is not conducive to the development of the entire IC industry. Only by division can we be refined and integration can become an advantage. In the future, the transformation of the IC industry structure to a highly specialized structure will become a trend. A situation in which the design industry, manufacturing industry, packaging industry, and testing industry are independent has begun to form..."
...
As the time passed, Xu Baiqing did not interrupt. Pang Xuelin talked for nearly half an hour before he finished telling Xu Baiqing the development of integrated circuits for the next twenty years.
Xu Baiqing pondered for a moment, and said, "Xiao Pang, if you have time these two days, write down what you just told me."
"Write it out, what do you want to do?"
Pang Xuelin said in surprise.
Xu Baiqing smiled and said: "Although I am not engaged in the semiconductor industry, I think what you said is very valuable and has guiding significance for the development of our country's semiconductor industry. I still have a little face in academia, old man. This report can be submitted as a reference for high-level decision-making."
Pang Xuelin couldn't help being a little dumbfounded, he didn't expect Xu Baiqing to come up with such an idea.
I have to say that Xu Baiqing is really sharp.
What Pang Xuelin said comes from a summary of the development of the entire integrated circuit by later generations.
In this era, basically no one in China is aware of the next development trend of the integrated circuit industry.
This is also the reason why Project 908 and Project 909 failed one after another.
The Hanxin revolution in the early 2000s dealt a fatal blow to China's integrated circuit industry, directly delaying the development of China's integrated circuit by ten years.
It wasn't until Huawei HiSilicon, SMIC, Ziguang Zhanrui and other enterprises gradually developed in later generations that people saw a glimmer of hope to catch up with the United States.
After pondering for a moment, Pang Xuelin smiled and said, "Okay, then I'll go back and think about it, and I'll send it to you in two days."
Xu Baiqing nodded with a smile, and said: "Okay, if you have nothing to do, you can go back first. As for the talents you want in the field of microelectronics, I will sort out a copy for you at that time. Of course, whether you can hire someone or not depends on the situation." It's up to you."
Pang Xuelin smiled and said, "Of course."
...
After leaving the principal's office, Pang Xuelin went to find Chen Wenyuan again.
As a result, as soon as he arrived at Chen Wenyuan's office, Pang Xuelin discovered that not only Chen Wenyuan was there, but Mu Qingqing was also there.
Seeing Pang Xuelin, Mu Qingqing's beautiful face suddenly revealed an expression of extreme surprise.
"Brother Pang, are you back?"
Pang Xuelin smiled and nodded towards Mu Qingqing, a little strangely said: "Qingqing, why are you here?"
At this time, Chen Wenyuan on the side said triumphantly: "Why can't Qingqing be here? She is my apprentice now, but you kid. What did you say at the beginning? As a result, she disappeared after school started. If you didn't do a good job outside, the principal I'm afraid I've fired you long ago."
Pang Xuelin smiled awkwardly and said, "Master, I have been absent from class for so long and have not been expelled. Doesn't that mean that what I do is more important than studying?"
"Just show off your crooked reasoning!"
Chen Wenyuan glared at Pang Xuelin, checked the time, and said, "When did you come back? Have you been home?"
Pang Xuelin pointed to his backpack and said, "Didn't I say hello to you right after getting off the plane?"
Chen Wenyuan rolled his eyes and said, "It's no wonder I believe you. Qingqing, it's almost time, let's stop here today."
"Okay, master!"
Mu Qingqing closed the exercise book.
Chen Wenyuan got up and said: "Go, go to your third uncle and third aunt to eat noodles, you boy, after walking for so long, although they don't say anything, they always remember you..."
Pang Xuelin touched his nose shyly.
Counting, Pang Xuelin has not been back for nearly four or five months.
Communication is inconvenient in this era. Although there is a telephone at home, my uncles and aunts think that the phone bill is too expensive. They only dare to make a call for two minutes each time, and they keep counting until one minute and fifty-nine seconds before they hang up.
When he came back this time, he planned to stay at home with his third uncle and aunt.
Following Mu Qingqing and Chen Wenyuan to the store, they were pleasantly surprised to see Pang Xuelin, three uncles and three aunts.
At present, the three uncles, three aunts, and Shui Wa have moved into the three-bedroom house that Pang Xuelin bought. Compared with the difficult living conditions in Xiaoxinfang, the life in Lancheng is like a paradise for the three uncles and three aunts.
In the next few days, apart from giving two reports to the students of Lanzhou University, Pang Xuelin spent most of his time writing about the development of the integrated circuit industry.
But as it was written, Pang Xuelin injected more things into it.
Gradually, his report began to not be limited to the integrated circuit industry, but to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the entire ICT industry.
For example, Pang Xuelin directly predicted that with the development of the Internet, personal computers will surely spread to thousands of households, and the Internet will be formed between each other through the information highway.
We can use the digital high-capacity optical fiber communication network to establish computer networking among government agencies, universities, research institutions, enterprises and ordinary families. The completion of the Internet will change the way people live, work and communicate with each other, speed up scientific and technological exchanges, improve work quality and efficiency, enjoy film and television entertainment, remote medical care, implement distance education, hold video conferences, realize online shopping, enjoy interactive TV, etc. .
In addition, the popularity of computers will also promote factory automation, office automation and home automation, forming the so-called 3A revolution.
The information and communication network formed by the fusion of computer and communication technologies has promoted the internationalization of the economy.
The global financial information network formed by the financial community enables funds to overcome the time difference and greatly increase in value through global circulation throughout the day and night.
Multinational corporations control a large part of production and international trade.
At the same time, this system also expands people's educational opportunities, so that more people can engage in more creative labor. The development of the Internet industry will have a profound impact on the global political and economic structure.
In addition, Pang Xuelin also described in the report how computers are rapidly popularized in various industries, which companies will become the standard makers of the future computer industry, the important position of the software industry in the future computer industry, how many computer engineers China needs, and the future of the Internet. Development and profit models, the application of supercomputers in all aspects of production and life, etc.
Even, Pang Xuelin also added some content of the mobile Internet and the future digital society.
Therefore, a week later, when Pang Xuelin took the nearly 20,000-word report in front of Xu Baiqing, Xu Baiqing read it for more than two hours before taking off his reading glasses and looking at the young man in front of him in disbelief.
Although Pang Xuelin had a high status in Xu Baiqing's heart before, Xu Baiqing still regarded him as a young man with excellent talent and his own personality, with great potential for development in the future.
However, this report on the ICT industry given by Pang Xuelin broke Xu Baiqing's perception of this young man.
Through this report, Xu Baiqing even faintly felt that Pang Xuelin's eyes penetrated the thick fog of history and saw the distant future.
Based on the current technological development analysis, Xu Baiqing can't even deny the seemingly whimsical imaginations put forward by Pang Xuelin in this report.
"Little Pang, are you able to think independently?"
Pang Xuelin said with a smile: "Principal Xu, I think too much while writing. Is there any problem with this report?"
Xu Baiqing quickly shook his head and said, "No problem. In two days, my ministry will have a meeting and just submit this report. You, you, sometimes I really don't know how your brain grows."
Pang Xuelin chuckled and didn't say much.
...
In the following days, Pang Xuelin began to stay at home with peace of mind.
Xu Baiqing went to Beijing with that report, but no news came back.
Instead, CCTV's Son of the East program officially aired the interview with Pang Xuelin.
The name Pang Xuelin was officially spread throughout the country through CCTV.
Almost everyone knows that this eighteen-year-old genius boy invented a video player called China Audio-Visual Disc, and sold it in Hong Kong, creating a fortune of 80 million.
In fact, at this time, the total sales volume of Xinghuan CVD in Xiangjiang officially exceeded 100,000 units, and the total sales exceeded 600 million.
Among them, the net profit belonging to Xinghuan Technology reached 350 million.
And this money, also under the remote command of Pang Xuelin, was invested in Xiangjiang's stock market.
By the end of December, Pang Xuelin's wealth had exceeded one billion Hong Kong dollars.
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